CF Bankshares Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| CFBK Stock | USD 28.53 -0.33 -1.14% |
Momentum
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.45 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.87 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.18 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.72 | Wall Street Target Price 29 |
The hype-based view summarizes CF Bankshares' price response to recent headlines and peer coverage.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CF Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 28.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.54.CF Bankshares after-hype prediction price | $ 28.53 |
This hype view sits alongside price forecasting, technical analysis, analyst consensus, earnings estimates, and momentum indicators.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of CF Bankshares to cross-verify projections for CF Bankshares. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set.CF Bankshares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CFBK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CFBK using various technical indicators. When you analyze CFBK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CF Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 28.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.36 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.54 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CFBK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CF Bankshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CF Bankshares | CF Bankshares Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for CF Bankshares uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CF Bankshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CF Bankshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1008 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4668 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0163 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.5415 |
Mean reversion is the tendency of CF Bankshares' price to return to its historical average after periods of extreme deviation. Investors who identify when CF Bankshares' is significantly above or below its mean may find compelling entry or exit opportunities.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
This probability density chart for CF Bankshares shows how predicted future prices are distributed across a range of outcomes. Wider distributions reflect higher uncertainty, while narrow distributions indicate greater consensus about CF Bankshares' likely price range.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
Historical news analysis for CF Bankshares provides statistically derived price boundaries for the session following a significant headline. CF Bankshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.42 and 30.64, respectively. These boundaries are derived from CF Bankshares' past price reactions to comparable news events, not forward-looking forecasts.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to CF Bankshares assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CF Bankshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CF Bankshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CF Bankshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 2.11 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 8 Events | 7 Events | In 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
28.53 | 28.53 | 0.00 |
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Hype Timeline
CF Bankshares is currently traded for 28.53. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. CFBK is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on CF Bankshares is about 2453.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.50. About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.01. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CF Bankshares last dividend was issued on the 13th of October 2025. The company completed a 181:1000 stock split on 21st of August 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 8 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of CF Bankshares to cross-verify projections for CF Bankshares. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
Monitoring how CF Bankshares' competitors respond to market-moving news provides a leading indicator for how CF Bankshares itself may react to similar events. Peer hype analysis captures this cross-asset sentiment signal.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FCAP | First Capital | -0.86 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 6.89 | -6.67 | 20.19 | |
| LARK | Landmark Bancorp | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 4.01 | -3.63 | 10.08 | |
| PEBK | Peoples Bancorp of | -0.03 | 10 per month | 1.11 | 0.16 | 2.38 | -1.74 | 7.05 | |
| HNVR | Hanover Bancorp | 0.17 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.09 | 1.93 | -1.94 | 10.18 | |
| FNWD | Finward Bancorp | 1.08 | 6 per month | 1.89 | 0.02 | 3.32 | -2.76 | 9.56 | |
| CZWI | Citizens Community Bancorp | 0.19 | 10 per month | 1.35 | 0.06 | 2.27 | -2.20 | 8.84 | |
| MRBK | Meridian Bank | 0.03 | 8 per month | 1.04 | 0.15 | 3.51 | -1.84 | 9.34 | |
| OVBC | Ohio Valley Banc | -0.19 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 1.79 | -1.94 | 6.14 | |
| EBMT | Eagle Bancorp Montana | -1.28 | 7 per month | 1.21 | 0.18 | 3.08 | -1.87 | 9.30 | |
| ECBK | ECB Bancorp | -0.02 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1.52 | -1.59 | 5.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for CF Bankshares
For investors of all experience levels considering CFBK, understanding CF Bankshares' price movement is fundamental to making sound investment decisions. CFBK Stock price charts contain significant noise that can obscure meaningful trends.CF Bankshares Related Equities
The following equities are related to CF Bankshares within the Financials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing CF Bankshares against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CF Bankshares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for CF Bankshares stock provide investors with a framework for assessing how the security responds to changing market conditions. These indicators help determine optimal entry and exit points for trading CF Bankshares.
CF Bankshares Risk Indicators
Assessing CF Bankshares' risk indicators is a critical component of any rigorous approach to forecasting its future price. Understanding the risk involved in holding CF Bankshares' allows investors to make an informed decision about whether to accept or mitigate that exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.02 | |||
| Variance | 4.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.57 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.71 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.81 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CF Bankshares
Coverage intensity for CF Bankshares matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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CF Bankshares Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to CF Bankshares matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 259 M |
More Resources for CFBK Stock Analysis
A structured review of CF Bankshares often starts with core financial statements and trend context. Ratio context helps frame profitability, efficiency, and growth trends for CF Bankshares Stock. Highlighted below are reports that provide context for CF Bankshares Stock:Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of CF Bankshares to cross-verify projections for CF Bankshares. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set. For more detail on how to invest in CFBK Stock please use our How to Invest in CF Bankshares guide.Analysis related to CF Bankshares should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.45 | Dividend Share 0.29 | Earnings Share 2.49 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth -0.17 |
The market value of CF Bankshares is measured differently than book value, which reflects CFBK accounting equity. CF Bankshares' market capitalization is 146.34 M. A P/B ratio of 1.01 indicates the market values CF Bankshares above its accounting book value. Intrinsic value reflects what CF Bankshares' fundamentals imply about worth, which may differ from both the trading price and the book figure. Analytical frameworks help reconcile those views.
Note that CF Bankshares' intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. For CF Bankshares, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 5.26, a P/B ratio of 1.01, a profit margin of 31.98%, and ROE of 9.45%. The quoted price is simply the exchange level where supply meets demand.