Century Aluminum Stock Forecast - Total Risk Alpha

CENX Stock  USD 40.94  1.76  4.49%   
Century Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Century Aluminum's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Century Aluminum's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Century Aluminum, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Century Aluminum's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.68)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.08
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.47
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.87
Wall Street Target Price
40
Using Century Aluminum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Century Aluminum from the perspective of Century Aluminum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Century Aluminum using Century Aluminum's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Century using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Century Aluminum's stock price.

Century Aluminum Short Interest

An investor who is long Century Aluminum may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Century Aluminum and may potentially protect profits, hedge Century Aluminum with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
23.475
Short Percent
0.1433
Short Ratio
4.01
Shares Short Prior Month
7.4 M
50 Day MA
31.282

Century Aluminum Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Century Aluminum's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Century. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Century can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Century Aluminum. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Century Aluminum's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Century Aluminum.

Century Aluminum Implied Volatility

    
  0.78  
Century Aluminum's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Century Aluminum stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Century Aluminum's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Century Aluminum stock will not fluctuate a lot when Century Aluminum's options are near their expiration.

Century Aluminum after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 40.96  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Century Aluminum to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Century Stock please use our How to Invest in Century Aluminum guide.At this time, Century Aluminum's Inventory Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is likely to rise to 17.04 in 2026, whereas Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to drop 2.16 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 67.1 M in 2026. Net Loss is likely to drop to about (13.3 M) in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Century Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Century Aluminum's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Century Aluminum's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Century Aluminum stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Century Aluminum's open interest, investors have to compare it to Century Aluminum's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Century Aluminum is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Century. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Century Aluminum Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Century price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Century using various technical indicators. When you analyze Century charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Century Aluminum has current Total Risk Alpha of 0.
Check Century Aluminum VolatilityBacktest Century AluminumInformation Ratio  

Century Aluminum Trading Date Momentum

On January 02 2026 Century Aluminum was traded for  40.94  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 41.50  and the lowest listed price was  39.56 . The trading volume for the day was 1.3 M. The trading history from January 2, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 2.39% .
Compare Century Aluminum to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Century Aluminum

For every potential investor in Century, whether a beginner or expert, Century Aluminum's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Century Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Century. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Century Aluminum's price trends.

Century Aluminum Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Century Aluminum stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Century Aluminum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Century Aluminum by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Century Aluminum Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Century Aluminum's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Century Aluminum's current price.

Century Aluminum Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Century Aluminum stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Century Aluminum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Century Aluminum stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Century Aluminum entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Century Aluminum Risk Indicators

The analysis of Century Aluminum's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Century Aluminum's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting century stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Century Stock Analysis

When running Century Aluminum's price analysis, check to measure Century Aluminum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Century Aluminum is operating at the current time. Most of Century Aluminum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Century Aluminum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Century Aluminum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Century Aluminum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.