CECO Environmental Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| CECO Stock | USD 68.85 2.01 2.84% |
CECO Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although CECO Environmental's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of CECO Environmental's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of CECO Environmental fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of CECO Environmental's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.415 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.004 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.4817 | Wall Street Target Price 64 |
Using CECO Environmental hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CECO Environmental Corp from the perspective of CECO Environmental response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CECO Environmental using CECO Environmental's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CECO using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CECO Environmental's stock price.
CECO Environmental Short Interest
An investor who is long CECO Environmental may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about CECO Environmental and may potentially protect profits, hedge CECO Environmental with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 44.1342 | Short Percent 0.0743 | Short Ratio 7.93 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.1 M | 50 Day MA 60.3666 |
CECO Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CECO Environmental Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 70.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 113.21.CECO Environmental Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CECO Environmental's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CECO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CECO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CECO Environmental Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CECO Environmental's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CECO Environmental.
CECO Environmental Implied Volatility | 0.73 |
CECO Environmental's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CECO Environmental Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CECO Environmental's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CECO Environmental stock will not fluctuate a lot when CECO Environmental's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CECO Environmental Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 70.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 113.21. CECO Environmental after-hype prediction price | USD 67.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CECO Environmental to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CECO contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CECO Environmental Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0456% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With CECO Environmental trading at USD 68.85, that is roughly USD 0.0314 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CECO Environmental's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CECO Environmental Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.73%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 CECO Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CECO Environmental's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CECO Environmental's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CECO Environmental stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CECO Environmental's open interest, investors have to compare it to CECO Environmental's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CECO Environmental is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CECO. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
CECO Environmental Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CECO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CECO using various technical indicators. When you analyze CECO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CECO Environmental Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of CECO Environmental Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 70.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.83, mean absolute percentage error of 4.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 113.21.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CECO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CECO Environmental's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CECO Environmental Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CECO Environmental | CECO Environmental Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
CECO Environmental Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CECO Environmental's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CECO Environmental's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 68.03 and 73.01, respectively. We have considered CECO Environmental's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CECO Environmental stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CECO Environmental stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.5255 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.826 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0318 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 113.2149 |
Predictive Modules for CECO Environmental
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CECO Environmental Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CECO Environmental's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CECO Environmental After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CECO Environmental at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CECO Environmental or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CECO Environmental, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CECO Environmental Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CECO Environmental's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CECO Environmental's historical news coverage. CECO Environmental's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 65.30 and 70.24, respectively. We have considered CECO Environmental's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CECO Environmental is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CECO Environmental Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
CECO Environmental Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CECO Environmental is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CECO Environmental backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CECO Environmental, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 2.49 | 1.13 | 0.13 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
68.85 | 67.77 | 1.57 |
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CECO Environmental Hype Timeline
CECO Environmental Corp is currently traded for 68.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. CECO is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 67.77. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 101.22%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.57%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.46%. The volatility of related hype on CECO Environmental is about 907.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 68.98. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.44. CECO Environmental Corp last dividend was issued on the 14th of September 2017. The entity had 1:5 split on the 29th of September 1992. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CECO Environmental to cross-verify your projections.CECO Environmental Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CECO Environmental's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CECO Environmental's future price movements. Getting to know how CECO Environmental's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CECO Environmental may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PCT | Purecycle Technologies Holdings | (0.12) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 9.68 | (7.47) | 29.42 | |
| VVX | V2X Inc | 0.08 | 8 per month | 1.61 | 0.08 | 3.81 | (2.27) | 11.60 | |
| SCS | Steelcase | (0.18) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.68 | (1.45) | 6.67 | |
| HLIO | Helios Technologies | (0.09) | 10 per month | 1.54 | 0.15 | 3.90 | (3.06) | 9.43 | |
| DXPE | DXP Enterprises | 1.46 | 12 per month | 4.46 | 0.06 | 4.42 | (3.76) | 18.99 | |
| HNI | HNI Corp | 0.97 | 7 per month | 0.73 | 0.16 | 2.32 | (1.55) | 6.56 | |
| PBI | Pitney Bowes | 0.10 | 10 per month | 1.41 | 0.02 | 2.65 | (2.42) | 9.16 | |
| ROCK | Gibraltar Industries | 0.60 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.00 | (3.96) | 23.65 | |
| CDRE | Cadre Holdings | (0.35) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.07 | (3.69) | 10.56 |
Other Forecasting Options for CECO Environmental
For every potential investor in CECO, whether a beginner or expert, CECO Environmental's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CECO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CECO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CECO Environmental's price trends.CECO Environmental Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CECO Environmental stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CECO Environmental could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CECO Environmental by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CECO Environmental Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CECO Environmental stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CECO Environmental shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CECO Environmental stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CECO Environmental Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 34792.82 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.33) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 69.21 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 69.09 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.36) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.01) |
CECO Environmental Risk Indicators
The analysis of CECO Environmental's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CECO Environmental's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ceco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.58 | |||
| Variance | 6.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.45 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.08) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CECO Environmental
The number of cover stories for CECO Environmental depends on current market conditions and CECO Environmental's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CECO Environmental is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CECO Environmental's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
CECO Environmental Short Properties
CECO Environmental's future price predictability will typically decrease when CECO Environmental's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CECO Environmental Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CECO Environmental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CECO Environmental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 37.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CECO Environmental to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Will Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components sector continue expanding? Could CECO diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CECO Environmental. Projected growth potential of CECO fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every CECO Environmental data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | Earnings Share 1.43 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.458 | Return On Assets |
Understanding CECO Environmental Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects CECO's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what CECO Environmental's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push CECO Environmental's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between CECO Environmental's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CECO Environmental should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, CECO Environmental's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.