Crawford Dividend Mutual Fund Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Crawford Dividend Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Crawford price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Crawford using various technical indicators. When you analyze Crawford charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Triple exponential smoothing for Crawford Dividend - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Crawford Dividend prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Crawford Dividend price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Crawford Dividend.

Crawford Dividend Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Crawford Dividend Opportunity on the next trading day is expected to be 50.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.24.

Crawford Dividend Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Crawford Dividend Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Crawford Dividend mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Crawford Dividend mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Crawford Dividend observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Crawford Dividend Opportunity observations.

Predictive Modules for Crawford Dividend

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crawford Dividend. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 46.43 47.39 55.22 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 42.97 43.93 55.22 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 45.70 47.80 49.91 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Crawford Dividend. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Crawford Dividend's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Crawford Dividend's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Crawford Dividend.

Crawford Dividend After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Crawford Dividend Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Crawford Dividend Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Crawford Dividend Hype Timeline

Crawford Dividend is currently traded for 50.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.81, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Crawford is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 47.39. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 3.07%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -5.6%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Crawford Dividend is about 77.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.09. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crawford Dividend to cross-verify your projections.

Crawford Dividend Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Crawford Dividend

For every potential investor in Crawford, whether a beginner or expert, Crawford Dividend's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Crawford Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Crawford. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Crawford Dividend's price trends.

Crawford Dividend Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Crawford Dividend Market Strength Events

Crawford Dividend Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Crawford Dividend

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