C4 Therapeutics Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CCCC Stock | USD 1.89 0.06 3.28% |
CCCC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast C4 Therapeutics stock prices and determine the direction of C4 Therapeutics's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of C4 Therapeutics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the rsi of C4 Therapeutics' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using C4 Therapeutics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of C4 Therapeutics from the perspective of C4 Therapeutics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of C4 Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 1.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.66. C4 Therapeutics after-hype prediction price | USD 1.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of C4 Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections. C4 Therapeutics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CCCC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CCCC using various technical indicators. When you analyze CCCC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
C4 Therapeutics Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of C4 Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 1.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CCCC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that C4 Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
C4 Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest C4 Therapeutics | C4 Therapeutics Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
C4 Therapeutics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting C4 Therapeutics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. C4 Therapeutics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 6.45, respectively. We have considered C4 Therapeutics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of C4 Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent C4 Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.7175 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0124 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0776 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0352 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.6552 |
Predictive Modules for C4 Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as C4 Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of C4 Therapeutics' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
C4 Therapeutics After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of C4 Therapeutics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in C4 Therapeutics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of C4 Therapeutics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
C4 Therapeutics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting C4 Therapeutics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on C4 Therapeutics' historical news coverage. C4 Therapeutics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 6.43, respectively. We have considered C4 Therapeutics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
C4 Therapeutics is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of C4 Therapeutics is based on 3 months time horizon.
C4 Therapeutics Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as C4 Therapeutics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading C4 Therapeutics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with C4 Therapeutics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 4.56 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.89 | 1.87 | 1.06 |
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C4 Therapeutics Hype Timeline
C4 Therapeutics is currently traded for 1.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. CCCC is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.87. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.34%. The volatility of related hype on C4 Therapeutics is about 38000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.89. About 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.19. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. C4 Therapeutics has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.07. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.67. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of C4 Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections.C4 Therapeutics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to C4 Therapeutics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict C4 Therapeutics' future price movements. Getting to know how C4 Therapeutics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how C4 Therapeutics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IMDX | Insight Molecular Diagnostics | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 9.42 | (7.38) | 35.29 | |
| SGMO | Sangamo Therapeutics | (0.12) | 10 per month | 6.01 | 0.01 | 9.52 | (7.14) | 73.25 | |
| CYBN | Cybin Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.01 | 0.05 | 6.03 | (5.05) | 16.13 | |
| MOLN | Molecular Partners AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.48 | 0.05 | 4.73 | (3.57) | 14.54 | |
| CDXS | Codexis | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.66 | (7.74) | 21.68 | |
| PEPG | PepGen | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.00 | 0.05 | 10.14 | (10.09) | 27.05 | |
| ARMP | Armata Pharmaceuticals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.96 | 0.06 | 13.80 | (7.66) | 28.76 | |
| SAVA | Cassava Sciences | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 9.05 | (6.98) | 35.02 | |
| OABI | OmniAb Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.49 | 0.02 | 5.99 | (5.31) | 15.55 | |
| MIST | Milestone Pharmaceuticals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.18 | (6.38) | 28.79 |
Other Forecasting Options for C4 Therapeutics
For every potential investor in CCCC, whether a beginner or expert, C4 Therapeutics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CCCC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CCCC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying C4 Therapeutics' price trends.C4 Therapeutics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with C4 Therapeutics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of C4 Therapeutics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing C4 Therapeutics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
C4 Therapeutics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how C4 Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading C4 Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying C4 Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify C4 Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
C4 Therapeutics Risk Indicators
The analysis of C4 Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in C4 Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cccc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.39 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.56 | |||
| Variance | 20.82 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for C4 Therapeutics
The number of cover stories for C4 Therapeutics depends on current market conditions and C4 Therapeutics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that C4 Therapeutics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about C4 Therapeutics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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C4 Therapeutics Short Properties
C4 Therapeutics' future price predictability will typically decrease when C4 Therapeutics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of C4 Therapeutics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential C4 Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. C4 Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 69.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 244.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of C4 Therapeutics to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade CCCC Stock refer to our How to Trade CCCC Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Will Biotechnology sector continue expanding? Could CCCC diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of C4 Therapeutics. Projected growth potential of CCCC fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every C4 Therapeutics data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding C4 Therapeutics requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects CCCC's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what C4 Therapeutics' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push C4 Therapeutics' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between C4 Therapeutics' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding C4 Therapeutics should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, C4 Therapeutics' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.