Crescent Capital Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CCAP Stock | USD 12.94 0.07 0.54% |
Momentum
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.15 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.41 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.6383 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.548 | Wall Street Target Price 15.4167 |
This view frames how Crescent Capital BDC responds to recent headlines and peer activity within its market context. Sentiment is summarized using Crescent Capital's options positioning and short interest activity.
Please review Dividend Yield and Price To Sales Ratio.
Crescent Capital Implied Volatility | 0.97 |
Crescent Capital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Crescent Capital BDC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Crescent Capital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Crescent Capital BDC on the next trading day is expected to be 12.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.09.Crescent Capital after-hype prediction price | $ 12.94 |
Sentiment indicators are one input among forecasting models, technical signals, analyst estimates, earnings data, and momentum measures.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crescent Capital to cross-verify projections for Crescent Capital. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Rule 16 for the current Crescent contract - Volatility Context
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 0.0606% for the 2026-06-18 options. With Crescent Capital trading near $ 12.94, that translates to about $ 0.007845 per day in either direction.
Open Interest for Crescent 2026-06-18 Options
Open interest counts active option contracts on Crescent Capital, providing a view of participation and positioning in the options market. It adds context to volatility and price behavior.
Crescent Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Crescent price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Crescent using various technical indicators. When you analyze Crescent charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Crescent Capital Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Crescent Capital BDC on the next trading day is expected to be 12.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.04 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.09 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Crescent Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Crescent Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Crescent Capital Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Crescent Capital | Crescent Capital Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Crescent Capital Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Crescent Capital BDC uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Crescent Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Crescent Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.9553 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0344 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1654 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0119 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.087 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crescent Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Crescent Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Crescent Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Crescent Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Crescent Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Crescent Capital's historical news coverage.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Crescent Capital BDC assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Crescent Capital Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Crescent Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Crescent Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Crescent Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.54 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 6 Events | 7 Events | In 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.94 | 12.94 | 0.00 |
|
Crescent Capital Hype Timeline
Crescent Capital BDC is currently traded for 12.94. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Crescent is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Crescent Capital is about 1050.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.92. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.68. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Crescent Capital BDC has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.89. The company last dividend was issued on the 31st of March 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 6 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crescent Capital to cross-verify projections for Crescent Capital. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Crescent Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Crescent Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Crescent Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Crescent Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GAIN | Gladstone Investment | -0.11 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 1.41 | -1.29 | 4.62 | |
| ECC | Eagle Point Credit | -0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.21 | 3.04 | -5.73 | 10.44 | |
| MSIF | MSCome Fund | -0.05 | 5 per month | 0.00 | -0.08 | 2.27 | -2.49 | 6.18 | |
| PNNT | PennantPark Investment | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.10 | 2.15 | -2.74 | 10.16 | |
| GLAD | Gladstone Capital | -1.02 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.14 | 2.04 | -1.67 | 8.85 | |
| CION | Cion Investment Corp | 0.03 | 3 per month | 0.00 | -0.25 | 1.38 | -2.55 | 7.49 | |
| ALTI | Alvarium Tiedemann Holdings | -0.04 | 3 per month | 3.85 | 0.04 | 5.08 | -4.95 | 21.63 | |
| MCI | Barings Corporate Investors | -0.11 | 18 per month | 0.00 | -0.003 | 2.25 | -1.93 | 7.01 | |
| TCPC | BlackRock TCP Capital | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.24 | 2.71 | -3.78 | 16.50 |
Other Forecasting Options for Crescent Capital
For every potential investor in Crescent, whether a beginner or expert, Crescent Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.Crescent Capital Related Equities
The following equities are related to Crescent Capital within the Financials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Crescent Capital against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Crescent Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Crescent Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Crescent Capital shares will generate the highest return on.
Crescent Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Crescent Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Crescent Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Variance | 2.33 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Crescent Capital
Coverage intensity for Crescent Capital BDC matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Crescent Capital Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Crescent Capital BDC matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 31.5 B |
Additional Tools for Crescent Stock Analysis
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk | |
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Bond Analysis Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios. | |
| Latest Portfolios Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios | |
| Insider Screener Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance | |
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity |