Cabot Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| CBT Stock | USD 69.49 0.60 0.87% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.18 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.5942 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.26 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.8791 | Wall Street Target Price 77.8 |
The hype-based view summarizes Cabot's price response to recent headlines and peer coverage. This section reviews Cabot's options positioning and short interest as sentiment context.
Short Interest for Cabot
An investor who is long Cabot may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cabot and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cabot with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential.
200 Day MA 72.8169 | Short Percent 0.0712 | Short Ratio 4.96 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.3 M | 50 Day MA 72.7796 |
Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Cabot
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Cabot on the next trading day is expected to be 69.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.77.Cabot Sentiment-to-Price Pattern
News-driven sentiment around Cabot often diverges from its fundamental value. Tracking the gap between Cabot's news sentiment and price action can identify arbitrage opportunities that close as the market digests available information.
Contrarian investors seek out stocks where sentiment has diverged from fundamental value. For Cabot, tracking the sentiment-to-price relationship can highlight periods where crowd behavior has overshot fair value.
Cabot Implied Volatility | 0.7 |
Cabot's implied volatility is a forward-looking measure derived from Cabot's option prices. It represents the market's consensus expectation of how much Cabot's stock will move over a given period - regardless of direction.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Cabot on the next trading day is expected to be 69.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.77.Cabot after-hype prediction price | $ 69.49 |
This hype view sits alongside price forecasting, technical analysis, analyst consensus, earnings estimates, and momentum indicators.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cabot to cross-verify projections for Cabot. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set.Rule 16 for the current Cabot contract - Market Context
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 0.0438% for the 2026-04-17 options. At a recent price around $ 69.49, the implied daily move is approximately $ 0.0304 , which is informational only.
Open Interest Across 2026-04-17 Cabot Option Contracts
For Cabot, open interest represents outstanding option contracts and offers a snapshot of market participation and positioning.
Cabot Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cabot price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cabot using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cabot charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 15th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Cabot on the next trading day is expected to be 69.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.13 , mean absolute percentage error of 2.53 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 67.77 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cabot Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cabot's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cabot | Cabot Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Cabot uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cabot stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cabot stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.1992 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0415 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1295 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0157 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 67.77 |
Mean reversion is the tendency of Cabot's price to return to its historical average after periods of extreme deviation. Investors who identify when Cabot's is significantly above or below its mean may find compelling entry or exit opportunities.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
This probability density chart for Cabot shows how predicted future prices are distributed across a range of outcomes. Wider distributions reflect higher uncertainty, while narrow distributions indicate greater consensus about Cabot's likely price range.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
Historical news analysis for Cabot provides statistically derived price boundaries for the session following a significant headline. Cabot's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 67.36 and 71.62, respectively. These boundaries are derived from Cabot's past price reactions to comparable news events, not forward-looking forecasts.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Cabot assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cabot is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cabot backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cabot, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 2.13 | 0.09 | 0.06 | 8 Events | 8 Events | In 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
69.49 | 69.49 | 0.00 |
|
Hype Timeline
On the 14th of March 2026 Cabot is traded for 69.49. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Cabot is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 123.12%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cabot is about 191.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 69.55. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Cabot was currently reported as 30.16. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.0. Cabot recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.72. The company last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2022. The firm completed a 2:1 stock split on 25th of March 1996. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 8 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cabot to cross-verify projections for Cabot. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
Monitoring how Cabot's competitors respond to market-moving news provides a leading indicator for how Cabot itself may react to similar events. Peer hype analysis captures this cross-asset sentiment signal.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PRM | Perimeter Solutions SA | 0.09 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.12 | 2.70 | -3.29 | 14.27 | |
| SSL | Sasol | 0.26 | 27 per month | 3.07 | 0.26 | 7.18 | -4.81 | 18.92 | |
| FUL | H B Fuller | 1.06 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 3.51 | -4.24 | 10.40 | |
| SXT | Sensient Technologies | 2.47 | 7 per month | 1.80 | 0.02 | 2.93 | -3.03 | 8.59 | |
| AVNT | Avient Corp | 0.32 | 16 per month | 1.63 | 0.13 | 3.08 | -2.30 | 11.14 | |
| CE | Celanese | 0.24 | 11 per month | 2.26 | 0.18 | 7.62 | -5.29 | 16.08 | |
| KNF | Knife River | -2.26 | 27 per month | 2.58 | 0.05 | 4.93 | -4.57 | 20.91 | |
| HWKN | Hawkins | 3.10 | 10 per month | 2.82 | 0.04 | 3.39 | -4.40 | 12.97 | |
| WDFC | WD 40 Company | 6.10 | 6 per month | 1.85 | 0.18 | 3.03 | -2.59 | 10.75 | |
| MEOH | Methanex | -0.27 | 3 per month | 3.37 | 0.16 | 6.33 | -4.75 | 19.65 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cabot
For investors of all experience levels considering Cabot, understanding Cabot's price movement is fundamental to making sound investment decisions. Cabot Stock price charts contain significant noise that can obscure meaningful trends.Cabot Related Equities
The following equities are related to Cabot within the Materials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Cabot against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cabot Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Cabot stock provide investors with a framework for assessing how the security responds to changing market conditions. These indicators help determine optimal entry and exit points for trading Cabot.
| Accumulation Distribution | 11252.67 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.3571 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 69.38 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 69.42 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.41 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.6 |
Cabot Risk Indicators
Assessing Cabot's risk indicators is a critical component of any rigorous approach to forecasting its future price. Understanding the risk involved in holding Cabot's allows investors to make an informed decision about whether to accept or mitigate that exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.12 | |||
| Variance | 4.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.29 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.85 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.47 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cabot
Coverage intensity for Cabot matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Cabot Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Cabot matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 258 M |
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