Camtek Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

CAMT Stock  USD 115.50  9.15  8.60%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Camtek on the next trading day is expected to be 115.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 376.82. Camtek Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time The relative strength index (RSI) of Camtek's share price is above 80 suggesting that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 97

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Camtek's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Camtek, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Camtek hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Camtek from the perspective of Camtek response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Camtek on the next trading day is expected to be 115.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 376.82.

Camtek after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 115.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Camtek to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Camtek Stock please use our How to Invest in Camtek guide.

Camtek Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Camtek price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Camtek using various technical indicators. When you analyze Camtek charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Camtek polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Camtek as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Camtek Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Camtek on the next trading day is expected to be 115.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.18, mean absolute percentage error of 57.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 376.82.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Camtek Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Camtek's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Camtek Stock Forecast Pattern

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Camtek Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Camtek's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Camtek's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 111.91 and 119.09, respectively. We have considered Camtek's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
115.50
111.91
Downside
115.50
Expected Value
119.09
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Camtek stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Camtek stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.1617
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation6.1774
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0563
SAESum of the absolute errors376.8209
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Camtek historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Camtek

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Camtek. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
111.90115.50119.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
91.6695.26127.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
103.82112.45121.08
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Camtek

For every potential investor in Camtek, whether a beginner or expert, Camtek's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Camtek Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Camtek. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Camtek's price trends.

Camtek Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Camtek stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Camtek could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Camtek by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Camtek Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Camtek's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Camtek's current price.

Camtek Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Camtek stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Camtek shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Camtek stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Camtek entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Camtek Risk Indicators

The analysis of Camtek's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Camtek's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting camtek stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Camtek Stock Analysis

When running Camtek's price analysis, check to measure Camtek's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Camtek is operating at the current time. Most of Camtek's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Camtek's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Camtek's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Camtek to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.