Cardinal Health Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| CAH Stock | USD 217.08 -2.01 -0.92% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.194 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.7473 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.3052 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.5781 | Wall Street Target Price 249.2667 |
This view frames how Cardinal Health responds to recent headlines and peer activity within its market context. Sentiment is summarized using Cardinal Health's options positioning and short interest activity.
Cardinal Health Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Cardinal Health's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Cardinal. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Cardinal Health stock and how bullish or bearish investors.
200 Day MA 180.7446 | Short Percent 0.0245 | Short Ratio 2.95 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.1 M | 50 Day MA 216.2096 |
Cardinal Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Cardinal Health on the next trading day is projected to be 227.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 262.56.Cardinal Health Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cardinal Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cardinal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cardinal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cardinal Health's market sentiment to its price can help traders make decisions based on the overall investor consensus about Cardinal Health.
Cardinal Health Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
Cardinal Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cardinal Health stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cardinal Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Cardinal Health on the next trading day is projected to be 227.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 262.56.Cardinal Health after-hype prediction price | $ 216.11 |
Sentiment indicators are one input among forecasting models, technical signals, analyst estimates, earnings data, and momentum measures.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cardinal Health to cross-verify projections for Cardinal Health. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Rule 16 for the current Cardinal contract - Volatility Context
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 0.0306% for the 2026-06-18 options. With Cardinal Health trading near $ 217.08, that translates to about $ 0.0665 per day in either direction.
Open Interest for Cardinal 2026-06-18 Options
Open interest counts active option contracts on Cardinal Health, providing a view of participation and positioning in the options market. It adds context to volatility and price behavior.
Cardinal Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cardinal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cardinal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cardinal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 15th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Cardinal Health on the next trading day is expected to be 227.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.23 , mean absolute percentage error of 26.00 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 262.56 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cardinal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cardinal Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cardinal Health | Cardinal Health Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Cardinal Health uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cardinal Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cardinal Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.2063 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.2348 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0196 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 262.5589 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cardinal Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cardinal Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cardinal Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cardinal Health's historical news coverage.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Cardinal Health assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cardinal Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cardinal Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cardinal Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 2.00 | 0.97 | 0.08 | 10 Events | 6 Events | In 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
217.08 | 216.11 | 0.45 |
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Hype Timeline
On the 14th of March 2026 Cardinal Health is traded for 217.08. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.97, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Cardinal is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 216.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 32.89%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.45%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Cardinal Health is about 380.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 217.16. About 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.42. Cardinal Health recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.95. The company last dividend was issued on the 1st of April 2026. The firm completed a 3:2 stock split on 23rd of April 2001. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 10 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cardinal Health to cross-verify projections for Cardinal Health. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cardinal Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cardinal Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Cardinal Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BDX | Becton Dickinson and | -5.15 | 9 per month | 0.99 | 0.1 | 3.22 | -1.86 | 7.67 | |
| EW | Edwards Lifesciences Corp | 0.76 | 13 per month | 0.00 | 0.001 | 3.00 | -2.68 | 6.60 | |
| COR | Cencora | 5.61 | 12 per month | 2.02 | 0.06 | 2.01 | -2.45 | 10.81 | |
| A | Agilent Technologies | -1.59 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.20 | 2.48 | -3.01 | 7.20 | |
| HLN | Haleon plc | -0.01 | 7 per month | 1.45 | 0.1 | 2.88 | -1.81 | 9.03 | |
| IQV | IQVIA Holdings | 10.73 | 11 per month | 0.00 | -0.13 | 4.03 | -5.04 | 15.97 | |
| VEEV | Veeva Systems Class | 1.29 | 1 per month | 0.00 | -0.16 | 2.53 | -4.21 | 13.65 | |
| RMD | ResMed Inc | -0.95 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 2.12 | -3.22 | 9.75 | |
| BRKR | Bruker | 1.64 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.13 | 4.30 | -4.74 | 18.12 | |
| ARGX | argenx NV ADR | -7.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.18 | 2.39 | -3.33 | 9.31 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cardinal Health
For every potential investor in Cardinal, whether a beginner or expert, Cardinal Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.Cardinal Health Related Equities
The following equities are related to Cardinal Health within the Health Care space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Cardinal Health against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cardinal Health Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cardinal Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cardinal Health shares will generate the highest return on.
| Accumulation Distribution | 40959.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.31 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 219.38 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 218.61 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -3.30 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -2.01 |
Cardinal Health Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cardinal Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cardinal Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Variance | 3.71 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.95 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.31 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cardinal Health
Coverage intensity for Cardinal Health matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Cardinal Health Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Cardinal Health matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 242 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.9 B |
More Resources for Cardinal Stock Analysis
A structured review of Cardinal Health often starts with core financial statements and trend context. Key ratios help frame profitability, efficiency, and growth context for Cardinal Health Stock. Outlined below are key reports that provide context for Cardinal Health Stock:Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cardinal Health to cross-verify projections for Cardinal Health. The view provides historical context for the projection set. For information on how to trade Cardinal Stock refer to our How to Trade Cardinal Stock guide.Analysis related to Cardinal Health should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.194 | Dividend Share 2.038 | Earnings Share 6.95 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.188 |
The market value of Cardinal Health is measured differently than book value, which reflects Cardinal accounting equity. Cardinal Health's market capitalization is 51.08 B. With a P/B ratio of 16.07, the market values Cardinal Health well above its book equity. Enterprise value stands at 57.81 B. Intrinsic value represents an estimate of underlying worth and can differ from both market price and book value. Valuation methods compare these perspectives to frame context.
Note that Cardinal Health's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. For Cardinal Health, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 16.0, a P/B ratio of 16.07, a profit margin of 0.68%, and revenue of 222.58 B. By contrast, market price reflects the level where buyers and sellers transact.