Blaize Holdings Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| BZAI Stock | 1.09 -0.02 -1.80% |
The successful prediction of Blaize Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Blaize Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
As of today, the short-cycle RSI for Blaize Holdings is 0, signaling extreme oversold conditions. Readings below 20 are commonly associated with potential stabilization zones.Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter -0.10 | EPS Estimate Current Year -2.25 | EPS Estimate Next Year -0.49 | Wall Street Target Price 7.8 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter -0.13 |
This view frames how Blaize Holdings responds to recent headlines and peer activity within its market context. Sentiment is summarized using Blaize Holdings' options positioning and short interest activity.
Blaize Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Blaize Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Blaize. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Blaize Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors.
200 Day MA 2.8296 | Short Percent 0.0711 | Short Ratio 1.76 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.8 M | 50 Day MA 1.5449 |
Blaize Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Blaize Holdings on the next trading day is projected to be 0.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.69.Blaize Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Blaize Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Blaize. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Blaize can time the market purely based on public headlines and social.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Blaize Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help traders make decisions based on the overall investor consensus about Blaize Holdings.
Blaize Holdings Implied Volatility | 2.76 |
Blaize Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Blaize Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Blaize Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Blaize Holdings on the next trading day is projected to be 0.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.69.Blaize Holdings after-hype prediction price | $ 0.96 |
Sentiment indicators are one input among forecasting models, technical signals, analyst estimates, earnings data, and momentum measures.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blaize Holdings to cross-verify projections for Blaize Holdings. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Rule 16 for the current Blaize contract - Volatility Context
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 0.17% for the 2026-05-15 options. With Blaize Holdings trading near $ 1.09, that translates to about $ 0.00188 per day in either direction.
Open Interest for Blaize 2026-05-15 Options
Open interest counts active option contracts on Blaize Holdings, providing a view of participation and positioning in the options market. It adds context to volatility and price behavior.
Blaize Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Blaize price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Blaize using various technical indicators. When you analyze Blaize charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 16th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Blaize Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.04 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.69 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Blaize Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Blaize Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Blaize Holdings | Blaize Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Blaize Holdings uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Blaize Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Blaize Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.8223 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1588 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1031 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.6856 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blaize Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Blaize Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Blaize Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Blaize Holdings' historical news coverage.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Blaize Holdings assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Blaize Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Blaize Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Blaize Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.90 | 6.18 | 0.13 | 0.38 | 9 Events | 6 Events | In 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.09 | 0.96 | 11.93 |
|
Hype Timeline
Blaize Holdings is currently traded for 1.09. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.38. Blaize is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.96. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -11.93%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.9%. The volatility of related hype on Blaize Holdings is about 1447.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.47. About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.44. Blaize Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 9 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blaize Holdings to cross-verify projections for Blaize Holdings. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Blaize Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Blaize Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Blaize Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ASTI | Ascent Solar Technologies | 0.25 | 8 per month | 10.20 | 0.17 | 32.86 | -18.99 | 80.64 | |
| PTLE | PTL LTD Ordinary | -1.07 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.1 | 7.87 | -8.09 | 35.77 | |
| RBNE | Robin Energy | 0.32 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.15 | 11.29 | -12.78 | 42.84 | |
| TPET | Trio Petroleum Corp | -0.06 | 7 per month | 10.61 | 0.12 | 21.38 | -14.12 | 223.08 | |
| STAK | STAK Ordinary Shares | 2.30 | 16 per month | 8.33 | 0.13 | 20.59 | -13.04 | 188.02 | |
| SKYQ | Sky Quarry | -0.01 | 7 per month | 10.55 | 0.07 | 18.52 | -15.56 | 131.82 | |
| VIVK | Vivakor | -0.0007 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 41.27 | -25.32 | 112.20 | |
| BANL | CBL International Limited | 0.20 | 3 per month | 5.44 | 0.09 | 10.81 | -9.09 | 58.89 | |
| PN | Skycorp Solar Group | 2.30 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 8.33 | -12.73 | 36.33 | |
| BRN | Barnwell Industries | 0.04 | 8 per month | 4.61 | 0.05 | 8.57 | -8.33 | 23.81 |
Other Forecasting Options for Blaize Holdings
For every potential investor in Blaize, whether a beginner or expert, Blaize Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.Blaize Holdings Related Equities
The following equities are related to Blaize Holdings within the Information Technology space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Blaize Holdings against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Blaize Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Blaize Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Blaize Holdings shares will generate the highest return on.
Blaize Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Blaize Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Blaize Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 4.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.05 | |||
| Variance | 36.64 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Blaize Holdings
Coverage intensity for Blaize Holdings matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Blaize Holdings Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Blaize Holdings matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 101.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1506.00 |
More Resources for Blaize Stock Analysis
A structured review of Blaize Holdings often starts with core financial statements and trend context. Key ratios help frame profitability, efficiency, and growth context for Blaize Holdings Stock. Outlined below are key reports that provide context for Blaize Holdings Stock:Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Blaize Holdings to cross-verify projections for Blaize Holdings. The view provides historical context for the projection set. For information on how to trade Blaize Stock refer to our How to Trade Blaize Stock guide.Analysis related to Blaize Holdings should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
The market value of Blaize Holdings is measured differently than book value, which reflects Blaize accounting equity. Blaize Holdings' market capitalization is 133.03 M. With a P/B ratio of 101.86, the market values Blaize Holdings well above its book equity. Enterprise value stands at 112.15 M. Intrinsic value represents an estimate of underlying worth and can differ from both market price and book value. Valuation methods compare these perspectives to frame context.
Note that Blaize Holdings' intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. For Blaize Holdings, key inputs include a P/B ratio of 101.86, and revenue of 1.55 M. By contrast, market price reflects the level where buyers and sellers transact.