Boyd Gaming Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| BYD Stock | USD 81.83 1.79 2.24% |
This reference page presents Triple Exponential Smoothing forecast data for Boyd Gaming. The model output shown here is derived from Boyd Gaming's historical price series and is provided for informational purposes.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Boyd Gaming on the next trading day is expected to be 81.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.48.As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Boyd Gaming observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Boyd Gaming observations. This Triple Exponential Smoothing forecast data for Boyd Gaming is sourced from the most recent available trading data and is intended solely as reference information. Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Boyd Gaming on the next trading day is expected to be 81.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.09 , mean absolute percentage error of 1.85 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.48 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Boyd Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Boyd Gaming's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Boyd Gaming | Boyd Gaming Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Boyd Gaming focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Boyd Gaming stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Boyd Gaming stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.2083 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0928 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.013 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 64.4763 |
Other Forecasting Options for Boyd Gaming
For every potential investor in Boyd, whether a beginner or expert, Boyd Gaming's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.Boyd Gaming Related Equities
The following equities are related to Boyd Gaming within the Consumer Discretionary space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Boyd Gaming against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Boyd Gaming Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Boyd Gaming stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Boyd Gaming shares will generate the highest return on.
| Accumulation Distribution | 15093.44 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.125786 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 81.47 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 81.59 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.25 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.79 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.69 |
Boyd Gaming Risk Indicators
The analysis of Boyd Gaming's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Boyd Gaming's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Variance | 2.55 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.44 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.35 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.36 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Boyd Gaming
Coverage intensity for Boyd Gaming matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
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Boyd Gaming Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Boyd Gaming matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 81.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 353.4 M |