BorgWarner Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| BWA Stock | USD 51.81 1.25 2.47% |
Momentum
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.30 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.1954 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.2096 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.8568 | Wall Street Target Price 68.2143 |
The summary frames BorgWarner's price response to attention shifts and peer coverage. The sentiment summary for BorgWarner reflects options positioning and short interest activity.
BorgWarner Short Interest Pattern
Short interest in BorgWarner combined with options put-to-call data provides a richer picture of aggregate bearish positioning in BorgWarner than either metric alone.
200 Day MA 43.4734 | Short Percent 0.0385 | Short Ratio 1.71 | Shares Short Prior Month 11.6 M | 50 Day MA 52.37 |
RSI Signal: BorgWarner
The Simple Regression forecasted value of BorgWarner on the next trading day is expected to be 58.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 165.02.Hype-to-Price Context for BorgWarner
Most equity securities that are harder to arbitrage - like BorgWarner - are more sensitive to sentiment shifts. Monitoring BorgWarner's news tone over time can help investors align positions with the prevailing psychological backdrop.
Investors who incorporate BorgWarner's market sentiment into their decision-making process gain an advantage by recognizing when collective biases have pushed BorgWarner's price into overvalued or undervalued territory.
BorgWarner Implied Volatility | 0.64 |
BorgWarner's implied volatility is one of the most watched metrics in options trading. Combined with historical volatility and the current option skew, it provides a comprehensive picture of how the market perceives risk in BorgWarner shares.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of BorgWarner on the next trading day is expected to be 58.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 165.02.BorgWarner after-hype prediction price | $ 51.81 |
This analysis adds an attention layer to forecasting, technical studies, analyst estimates, and earnings views.
BorgWarner | Build portfolio with BorgWarner Stock |
Rule 16 for the current BorgWarner contract
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 4.0% for the 2026-04-17 options. With BorgWarner trading near $ 51.81, that translates to about $ 2.07 per day in either direction.
Open Interest Summary - BorgWarner 2026-04-17 Options
Open interest tracks live contract counts on BorgWarner options and provides positioning context for volatility review.
BorgWarner Additional Predictive Modules
Predictive models for BorgWarner combine technical indicators with statistical methods to estimate probable price trajectories. Backtested accuracy does not guarantee forward performance - market structure and volatility regimes evolve.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 17th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of BorgWarner on the next trading day is expected to be 58.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.71 , mean absolute percentage error of 16.08 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 165.02 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BorgWarner Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BorgWarner's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BorgWarner | BorgWarner Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting BorgWarner for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. The current forecast range spans downside near 54.58 and upside near 61.48.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BorgWarner stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BorgWarner stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.8882 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.7052 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.049 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 165.0162 |
The mean reversion tendency in BorgWarner's price is a well-documented phenomenon that disciplined investors can exploit by identifying when price has diverged substantially from fundamental and historical anchors.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The probability distribution chart for BorgWarner displays the range and likelihood of predicted price outcomes based on BorgWarner's historical volatility and news impact patterns. Use the full distribution - not just the central estimate - to understand the true risk and reward.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The after-hype price analysis for BorgWarner uses BorgWarner's historical news coverage to estimate statistically significant upside and downside price boundaries for the session following a major headline.
Current Value
This after-hype projection for BorgWarner uses a 3 months horizon to examine how price may behave after short-term sentiment effects dissipate. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BorgWarner is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BorgWarner backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BorgWarner, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 3.45 | 0.17 | 0.24 | 8 Events | 9 Events | In 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
51.81 | 51.81 | 0.00 |
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Hype Timeline
On the 16th of March 2026 BorgWarner is traded for 51.81. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.24. BorgWarner is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on BorgWarner is about 442.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 51.57. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.92. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BorgWarner has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.38. The company had its last dividend issued on the 2nd of March 2026. The firm completed a 1136:1000 stock split on 5th of July 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 8 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of BorgWarner to cross-verify projections for BorgWarner. The historical series provides projection context.Related Hype Analysis
Analyzing BorgWarner's direct competitors. news reactions provides a leading indicator for how BorgWarner may respond to comparable market events. The peer hype analysis table captures key risk and sentiment metrics across BorgWarner's competitive set, helping investors anticipate.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALV | Autoliv | 1.93 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.10 | 2.84 | -2.58 | 7.36 | |
| QS | QuantumScape Class | 0.25 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.20 | 7.03 | -8.22 | 21.05 | |
| MOD | Modine Manufacturing | -0.54 | 8 per month | 4.05 | 0.11 | 6.35 | -7.92 | 31.28 | |
| LKQ | LKQ Corporation | 0.88 | 9 per month | 1.67 | 0.04 | 3.36 | -2.44 | 11.88 | |
| MBLY | Mobileye Global Class | -0.04 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.18 | 3.69 | -5.94 | 15.74 | |
| DDS | Dillards | -12.69 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.06 | 4.16 | -5.01 | 13.82 | |
| PAG | Penske Automotive Group | 0.62 | 12 per month | 0.00 | -0.10 | 2.77 | -2.71 | 8.71 | |
| ALSN | Allison Transmission Holdings | 2.88 | 11 per month | 1.31 | 0.19 | 3.31 | -2.09 | 8.99 | |
| GME | GameStop Corp | -0.54 | 4 per month | 2.12 | 0.02 | 4.44 | -3.51 | 13.39 | |
| CART | Maplebear | -0.54 | 4 per month | 0.00 | -0.08 | 3.56 | -4.88 | 12.10 |
Other Forecasting Options for BorgWarner
For any investor considering BorgWarner, BorgWarner's price movement is the central factor in determining investment viability. The noise present in BorgWarner Stock price charts can distort investment decisions if not properly addressed.BorgWarner Related Equities
The following equities are related to BorgWarner within the Consumer Discretionary space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing BorgWarner against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BorgWarner Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for BorgWarner stock help investors evaluate the security's behavior relative to ongoing market conditions. These tools support better market timing and help identify entry and exit signals for BorgWarner.
| Accumulation Distribution | 44436.04 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.116071 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 51.75 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 51.77 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.69 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.25 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 48.82 |
BorgWarner Risk Indicators
The analysis of BorgWarner's basic risk indicators is a key input for accurate price forecasting and sound investment decisions. Understanding the risk in BorgWarner's investment allows investors to make informed choices about accepting or mitigating that exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.37 | |||
| Variance | 11.33 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.78 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.89 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.23 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BorgWarner
A coverage review of BorgWarner helps investors see when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
BorgWarner Short Properties
A short-interest review of BorgWarner helps investors understand whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 216.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 B |
More Resources for BorgWarner Stock Analysis
A comprehensive view of BorgWarner starts with financial statements and ratio context. Financial ratios provide a structured lens for assessing BorgWarner's profitability and growth trends. Below are reports that help frame BorgWarner Stock in context:Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of BorgWarner to cross-verify projections for BorgWarner. The historical series provides projection context. Our How to Invest in BorgWarner guide offers a complete walkthrough for buying and trading BorgWarner Stock.With BorgWarner showing P/E 17.95 and ROE 5.92%, investors get more value when this analysis is combined with the diversification and construction tools below. Additional scrutiny through the profitability and balance-sheet tools is warranted. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.30 | Dividend Share 0.56 | Earnings Share 1.28 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.039 |
The market value of BorgWarner is measured differently than book value, which reflects BorgWarner accounting equity. BorgWarner's market capitalization is 10.82 B. At P/B 1.92, BorgWarner trades moderately above book value. Enterprise value stands at 12.21 B. Intrinsic value reflects what BorgWarner's fundamentals imply about worth, which may differ from both the trading price and the book figure. Analytical frameworks help reconcile those views.
The concept of value for BorgWarner differs from its quoted price, since each reflects a different lens. For BorgWarner, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 17.95, a P/B ratio of 1.92, a profit margin of 1.94%, and ROE of 5.92%. In practice, BorgWarner price is set by the continuous auction process on its listing exchange.