Burlington Stores Stock Forward View
| BURL Stock | USD 301.52 -4.12 -1.35% |
Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.203 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.7669 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.1765 | Wall Street Target Price 370.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 4.7518 |
This view relates Burlington Stores' headline activity to recent price response context. Options and short interest provide context for sentiment around Burlington Stores in this section.
Short Interest Tracking - Burlington Stores
Burlington Stores short interest relative to sector peers provides additional context. If Burlington Stores' short interest is significantly higher than competitors. the market may perceive company-specific risks that warrant investigation.
200 Day MA 274.0773 | Short Percent 0.0504 | Short Ratio 3.23 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.6 M | 50 Day MA 302.944 |
RSI Oscillator - Burlington
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Burlington Stores on the next trading day is expected to be 290.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 298.26.Attention-to-Price Pattern - Burlington Stores
The relationship between Burlington Stores' news sentiment and price action reveals how efficiently the market processes new information about Burlington. Persistent sentiment-price gaps create exploitable opportunities for disciplined investors.
Investors who systematically buy Burlington Stores when sentiment is deeply negative and sell when it is excessively positive have historically captured mean-reversion returns not available to purely fundamental or technical investors.
Burlington Stores Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
Implied volatility in Burlington Stores' options does not predict direction - it measures magnitude. An investor expecting a large move in Burlington Stores stock in either direction may benefit from strategies that profit from volatility expansion.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Burlington Stores on the next trading day is expected to be 290.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 298.26.Burlington Stores after-hype prediction price | USD 301.52 |
The sentiment view is a companion to forecasting, technical studies, analyst estimates, and earnings trends.
Burlington | Build AI portfolio with Burlington Stock |
Rule 16 Reference for the current Burlington contract - Performance Context
Based on Rule 16, the market-implied daily move for 2026-06-18 options is about 0.0306%. This context is informational: with Burlington Stores near USD 301.52, the daily move estimate is USD 0.0923 .
Open Interest Map for Burlington Options 2026-06-18
The open interest measure summarizes active contracts for Burlington Stores and can be paired with trend context.
Burlington Stores Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Burlington price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Burlington using various technical indicators. When you analyze Burlington charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Burlington Stores Cash Forecast
Cash flow forecasting for Burlington Stores uses the information embedded in Burlington Stores' financial history to project future cash generation under base, optimistic, and pessimistic scenarios.
Cash | First Reported 2013-01-31 | Previous Quarter 584.1 M | Current Value 1.2 B | Quarterly Volatility 482.7 M |
Burlington Stores Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Burlington Stores on the next trading day is expected to be 290.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.89 , mean absolute percentage error of 38.90 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 298.26 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Burlington Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Burlington Stores' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Burlington Stores Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Burlington Stores | Burlington Stores Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Burlington Stores Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Burlington Stores uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Burlington Stores stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Burlington Stores stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.7715 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.8895 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0163 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 298.262 |
Experienced Burlington Stores' investors use mean reversion as a complement to momentum analysis: momentum identifies the trend; mean reversion identifies when that trend has extended beyond sustainable levels.
Burlington Stores After-Hype Price Density Analysis
This probability distribution for Burlington Stores is built from Monte Carlo simulations that incorporate Burlington Stores' historical volatility, mean reversion tendencies, and jump risk. The resulting distribution captures a broader range of Burlington Stores outcomes than simple linear.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Burlington Stores Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The boundaries derived from Burlington Stores' historical news analysis represent the range within which Burlington Stores's price has typically settled after comparable headline events. Burlington Stores' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 299.49 and 303.55, respectively. Outcomes outside these boundaries are less common but not rare for Burlington Stores.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Burlington Stores assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Burlington Stores Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Burlington Stores is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Burlington Stores backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Burlington Stores, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.03 | 0.28 | 0.08 | 8 Events | 6 Events | In 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
301.52 | 301.52 | 0.00 |
|
Burlington Stores Hype Timeline
Burlington Stores is currently traded for 301.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.28, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Burlington is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 145.0%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Burlington Stores is about 525.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 301.44. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.92. Burlington Stores recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.71. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 8 days. Cross-verify projections for Burlington Stores using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Burlington Stores. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Burlington Stores Related Hype Analysis
Understanding Burlington Stores' position within its competitive set helps investors assess whether news affecting a peer is a headwind or tailwind for Burlington Stores. This distinction requires knowledge of the competitive dynamics specific to Burlington Stores' industry.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BKE | Buckle Inc | 1.22 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.05 | 2.55 | -3.23 | 7.84 | |
| VSCO | Victorias Secret Co | -0.31 | 9 per month | 3.87 | 0.07 | 5.78 | -4.85 | 30.16 | |
| COLM | Columbia Sportswear | -1.35 | 2 per month | 2.00 | 0.04 | 3.72 | -3.25 | 21.47 | |
| GEF | Greif Bros | -1.10 | 10 per month | 1.39 | 0.08 | 2.51 | -2.15 | 6.39 | |
| YETI | YETI Holdings | 1.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 3.12 | -3.76 | 9.32 | |
| ANF | Abercrombie Fitch | -1.25 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.05 | 5.23 | -4.99 | 24.79 | |
| AAP | Advance Auto Parts | -0.64 | 11 per month | 2.89 | 0.0011 | 5.91 | -3.98 | 16.43 | |
| ZGN | Ermenegildo Zegna NV | 0.13 | 6 per month | 3.09 | -0.0003 | 4.30 | -3.34 | 16.59 | |
| GRBK | Green Brick Partners | -0.10 | 9 per month | 1.79 | 0.01 | 4.08 | -2.78 | 12.09 | |
| LCII | LCI Industries | -1.50 | 11 per month | 1.56 | 0.08 | 2.45 | -2.88 | 14.61 |
Other Forecasting Options for Burlington Stores
Understanding Burlington Stores' price movement is a prerequisite for any investor considering Burlington as a position. Burlington Stock price charts are frequently cluttered with noise that can interfere with accurate interpretation.Burlington Stores Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Burlington Stores stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Burlington Stores could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Burlington Stores by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Burlington Stores Market Strength Events
For traders and investors in Burlington Stores, market strength indicators offer a quantitative framework for evaluating the stock's responsiveness to market conditions. These tools help identify when trading Burlington Stores shares is most likely to generate favorable returns.
Burlington Stores Risk Indicators
Analyzing Burlington Stores' risk indicators provides a critical input for price forecasting and investment risk management. By quantifying the risk in Burlington Stores' investment, investors can make more informed decisions about their exposure and hedging strategies.
| Mean Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.83 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Variance | 4.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.24 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.35 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.76 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Burlington Stores
Coverage intensity for Burlington Stores matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Burlington Stores Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Burlington Stores matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 64.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
More Resources for Burlington Stock Analysis
Reviewing Burlington Stores commonly begins with financial statements and performance trends. Financial ratios provide context for profitability, efficiency, and growth trends. Selected reports below provide context for Burlington Stock:Cross-verify projections for Burlington Stores using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Burlington Stores. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion. Our How to Buy Burlington Stock guide explains the steps to invest in Burlington Stores stock.Analysis related to Burlington Stores should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.203 | Earnings Share 8.71 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.113 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Burlington Stores includes distinguishing between market value and book value, where book value reflects Burlington accounting equity. Intrinsic value is an estimate of underlying worth, separate from trading price and book value. Market prices can move with sentiment and macro cycles, creating divergence from fundamentals. The valuation process compares these measures for perspective.
The concept of value for Burlington Stores differs from its quoted price, since each reflects a different lens. Reviewing financial results, valuation ratios, and competitive positioning helps frame the value discussion. Trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.