BOK Financial Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| BOKF Stock | USD 124.70 -1.51 -1.20% |
This page documents Triple Exponential Smoothing forecast output for BOK Financial as reference data. The model is applied to historical closing prices and the resulting projection and error statistics are shown below. Key metrics including projected price and mean absolute deviation are summarized below.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BOK Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 124.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.12.As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past BOK Financial observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older BOK Financial observations. BOK Financial's Triple Exponential Smoothing reference values are drawn from available trading data and are presented for informational reference only. Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BOK Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 124.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.32 , mean absolute percentage error of 3.42 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 78.12 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BOK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BOK Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates BOK Financial's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. At the moment, the model places downside around 123.35 and upside around 126.01 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BOK Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BOK Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1497 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.324 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0103 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 78.1189 |
Other Forecasting Options for BOK Financial
MACD analysis of BOK tracks the relationship between two exponential moving averages of BOK Financial's price. Many BOK Financial's traders use Fibonacci levels to set entry and exit targets based on prior price swings. Average True Range measures the typical daily price swing for BOK, accounting for gaps.View BOK Financial's Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BOK Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for BOK Financial assess how the stock responds to changes in investor sentiment. These signals support informed decisions about when to enter or exit BOK Financial positions. Market strength signals help investors time BOK Financial positions with greater precision and confidence.
BOK Financial Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for BOK Financial is a critical component of accurate price forecasting. Identifying and quantifying the risks associated with BOK Financial's allows investors to make better-informed decisions. Understanding BOK Financial's risk indicators is a fundamental step in managing investment exposure responsibly.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8811 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Variance | 1.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.47 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.29 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.03 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BOK Financial
A coverage review of BOK Financial shows when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
BOK Financial Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to BOK Financial matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.1 B |