BeLive Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BLIV Stock   3.18  0.20  5.92%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BeLive Holdings Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 3.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.72. BeLive Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of BeLive Holdings' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 9

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of BeLive Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of BeLive Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from BeLive Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BeLive Holdings Ordinary, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting BeLive Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.41)
Using BeLive Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BeLive Holdings Ordinary from the perspective of BeLive Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of BeLive Holdings Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 3.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.72.

BeLive Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BeLive Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, BeLive Holdings' Receivables Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to climb to 289.18 in 2026, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 3.86 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 8.9 M in 2026.

BeLive Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BeLive price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BeLive using various technical indicators. When you analyze BeLive charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the BeLive Holdings' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
59.6 K
Current Value
56.6 K
Quarterly Volatility
47.9 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for BeLive Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of BeLive Holdings Ordinary value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

BeLive Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of BeLive Holdings Ordinary on the next trading day is expected to be 3.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BeLive Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BeLive Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BeLive Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest BeLive HoldingsBeLive Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

BeLive Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BeLive Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BeLive Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 6.62, respectively. We have considered BeLive Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.18
3.12
Expected Value
6.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BeLive Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BeLive Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.3684
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0611
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0171
SAESum of the absolute errors3.7246
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of BeLive Holdings Ordinary. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict BeLive Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for BeLive Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BeLive Holdings Ordinary. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.196.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.142.836.35
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BeLive Holdings

For every potential investor in BeLive, whether a beginner or expert, BeLive Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BeLive Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BeLive. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BeLive Holdings' price trends.

BeLive Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BeLive Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BeLive Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BeLive Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BeLive Holdings Ordinary Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BeLive Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BeLive Holdings' current price.

BeLive Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BeLive Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BeLive Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BeLive Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BeLive Holdings Ordinary entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BeLive Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of BeLive Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BeLive Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting belive stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for BeLive Stock Analysis

When running BeLive Holdings' price analysis, check to measure BeLive Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BeLive Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of BeLive Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BeLive Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BeLive Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BeLive Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.