Brookdale Senior Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| BKD Stock | USD 13.95 0.06 0.43% |
This page documents Simple Moving Average forecast output for Brookdale Senior Living as reference data. The model is applied to historical closing prices and the resulting projection and error statistics are shown below. Key metrics including projected price and mean absolute deviation are summarized below.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Brookdale Senior Living on the next trading day is expected to be 13.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.62.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Brookdale Senior Living price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Brookdale Senior. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future Brookdale Senior's Simple Moving Average reference values are drawn from available trading data and are presented for informational reference only. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Brookdale Senior Living on the next trading day is expected to be 13.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.24 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.62 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Brookdale Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Brookdale Senior's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Brookdale Senior | Brookdale Senior Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Brookdale Senior Living focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Brookdale Senior stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Brookdale Senior stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.8287 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0765 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.327 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.023 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 19.62 |
Other Forecasting Options for Brookdale Senior
MACD analysis of Brookdale tracks the relationship between two exponential moving averages of Brookdale Senior's price. Many Brookdale Senior's traders use Fibonacci levels to set entry and exit targets based on prior price swings. Average True Range measures the typical daily price swing for Brookdale, accounting for gaps.Brookdale Senior Related Equities
These related stocks within the Health Care space give benchmarks for judging Brookdale Senior's results, margins, and growth trend. Peer review on balance sheet metrics shows how Brookdale Senior's capital structure stacks up against similar firms. Falling behind peers on key ratios may signal headwinds or execution issues worth looking into.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Brookdale Senior Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Brookdale Senior assess how the stock responds to changes in investor sentiment. These signals support informed decisions about when to enter or exit Brookdale Senior Living positions. Market strength signals help investors time Brookdale Senior Living positions with greater precision and confidence.
Brookdale Senior Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Brookdale Senior is a critical component of accurate price forecasting. Identifying and quantifying the risks associated with Brookdale Senior's allows investors to make better-informed decisions. Understanding Brookdale Senior's risk indicators is a fundamental step in managing investment exposure responsibly.
| Mean Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.82 | |||
| Variance | 7.97 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.73 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.22 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.09 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Brookdale Senior
Story coverage around Brookdale Senior Living often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
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Brookdale Senior Short Properties
A short-interest review of Brookdale Senior Living provides context for understanding whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 234.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 279.1 M |