BJs Restaurants Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| BJRI Stock | USD 33.42 -0.31 -0.92% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.347 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.6501 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.3347 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.7008 | Wall Street Target Price 45.2222 |
This view relates BJs Restaurants' headline activity to recent price response context. Options and short interest provide context for sentiment around BJs Restaurants in this section.
Short Interest Tracking - BJs Restaurants
BJs Restaurants short interest relative to sector peers provides additional context. If BJs Restaurants' short interest is significantly higher than competitors. the market may perceive company-specific risks that warrant investigation.
200 Day MA 38.0447 | Short Percent 0.1186 | Short Ratio 4.4 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.3 M | 50 Day MA 41.2218 |
RSI Oscillator - BJs
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BJs Restaurants on the next trading day is projected to be 33.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 51.65.Attention-to-Price Pattern - BJs Restaurants
The relationship between BJs Restaurants' news sentiment and price action reveals how efficiently the market processes new information about BJs. Persistent sentiment-price gaps create exploitable opportunities for disciplined investors.
Investors who systematically buy BJs Restaurants when sentiment is deeply negative and sell when it is excessively positive have historically captured mean-reversion returns not available to purely fundamental or technical investors.
BJs Restaurants Implied Volatility | 0.81 |
Implied volatility in BJs Restaurants' options does not predict direction - it measures magnitude. An investor expecting a large move in BJs Restaurants stock in either direction may benefit from strategies that profit from volatility expansion.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BJs Restaurants on the next trading day is projected to be 33.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 and the sum of the absolute errors of 51.65.BJs Restaurants after-hype prediction price | $ 33.61 |
The sentiment view is a companion to forecasting, technical studies, analyst estimates, and earnings trends.
Cross-verify projections for BJs Restaurants using Historical Fundamental Analysis of BJs Restaurants. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Rule 16 Reference for the current BJs contract - Performance Context
Based on Rule 16, the market-implied daily move for 2026-04-17 options is about 0.0506%. This context is informational: with BJs Restaurants near $ 33.42, the daily move estimate is $ 0.0169 .
Open Interest Map for BJs Options 2026-04-17
The open interest measure summarizes active contracts for BJs Restaurants and can be paired with trend context.
BJs Restaurants Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BJs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BJs using various technical indicators. When you analyze BJs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 15th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of BJs Restaurants on the next trading day is expected to be 33.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.86 , mean absolute percentage error of 1.15 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 51.65 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BJs Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BJs Restaurants' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BJs Restaurants | BJs Restaurants Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for BJs Restaurants uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BJs Restaurants stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BJs Restaurants stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.4159 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.172 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8608 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0214 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 51.65 |
Experienced BJs Restaurants' investors use mean reversion as a complement to momentum analysis: momentum identifies the trend; mean reversion identifies when that trend has extended beyond sustainable levels.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
This probability distribution for BJs Restaurants is built from Monte Carlo simulations that incorporate BJs Restaurants' historical volatility, mean reversion tendencies, and jump risk. The resulting distribution captures a broader range of BJs Restaurants outcomes than simple linear.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The boundaries derived from BJs Restaurants' historical news analysis represent the range within which BJs Restaurants's price has typically settled after comparable headline events. BJs Restaurants' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.48 and 35.74, respectively. Outcomes outside these boundaries are less common but not rare for BJs Restaurants.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to BJs Restaurants assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BJs Restaurants is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BJs Restaurants backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BJs Restaurants, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 2.13 | 0.19 | 0.02 | 10 Events | 7 Events | In 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
33.42 | 33.61 | 0.57 |
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Hype Timeline
BJs Restaurants is currently traded for 33.42. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. BJs is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 33.61 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.57%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.29%. The volatility of related hype on BJs Restaurants is about 3380.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.44. The company reported previous year's revenue of 1.4 B. Net Income was 48.81 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 216.24 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 10 days. Cross-verify projections for BJs Restaurants using Historical Fundamental Analysis of BJs Restaurants. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Related Hype Analysis
Understanding BJs Restaurants' position within its competitive set helps investors assess whether news affecting a peer is a headwind or tailwind for BJs Restaurants. This distinction requires knowledge of the competitive dynamics specific to BJs Restaurants' industry.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SG | Sweetgreen | -0.20 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 6.76 | -7.24 | 22.30 | |
| CBRL | Cracker Barrel Old | -0.16 | 8 per month | 3.01 | 0.05 | 6.40 | -5.07 | 13.74 | |
| LQDT | Liquidity Services | 0.08 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 2.42 | -3.52 | 11.17 | |
| BLMN | Bloomin Brands | -0.23 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.06 | 6.06 | -6.64 | 22.39 | |
| AXL | American Axle Manufacturing | -0.12 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 8.55 | -4.67 | 23.81 | |
| KRUS | Kura Sushi USA | 2.45 | 9 per month | 3.18 | 0.06 | 6.29 | -4.86 | 26.59 | |
| MYE | Myers Industries | 0.09 | 8 per month | 1.52 | 0.12 | 3.38 | -2.59 | 9.97 | |
| ACEL | Accel Entertainment | -1.28 | 22 per month | 1.88 | 0.07 | 2.69 | -3.47 | 24.64 | |
| HDL | SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL | 0.18 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 3.37 | -4.37 | 10.76 | |
| BALY | Ballys Corp | -0.18 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 5.51 | -6.17 | 16.79 |
Other Forecasting Options for BJs Restaurants
Understanding BJs Restaurants' price movement is a prerequisite for any investor considering BJs as a position. BJs Stock price charts are frequently cluttered with noise that can interfere with accurate interpretation.BJs Restaurants Related Equities
The following equities are related to BJs Restaurants within the Consumer Discretionary space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing BJs Restaurants against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BJs Restaurants Market Strength Events
For traders and investors in BJs Restaurants, market strength indicators offer a quantitative framework for evaluating the stock's responsiveness to market conditions. These tools help identify when trading BJs Restaurants shares is most likely to generate favorable returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 13969.44 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.31 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 33.86 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 33.72 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.60 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.31 |
BJs Restaurants Risk Indicators
Analyzing BJs Restaurants' risk indicators provides a critical input for price forecasting and investment risk management. By quantifying the risk in BJs Restaurants' investment, investors can make more informed decisions about their exposure and hedging strategies.
| Mean Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.12 | |||
| Variance | 4.49 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BJs Restaurants
Coverage intensity for BJs Restaurants matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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BJs Restaurants Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to BJs Restaurants matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 23.8 M |
More Resources for BJs Stock Analysis
Reviewing BJs Restaurants commonly begins with financial statements and performance trends. Financial ratios provide context for profitability, efficiency, and growth trends. Selected reports below provide context for BJs Stock:Cross-verify projections for BJs Restaurants using Historical Fundamental Analysis of BJs Restaurants. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion. Our How to Buy BJs Stock guide explains the steps to invest in BJs Restaurants stock.Analysis related to BJs Restaurants should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.347 | Earnings Share 2.16 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.032 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate BJs Restaurants using market value and book value, each describing different facets of the business. BJs Restaurants' market capitalization is 708.41 M. A P/B ratio of 1.95 indicates the market values BJs Restaurants above its accounting book value. Enterprise value stands at 1.18 B. The intrinsic value concept focuses on underlying worth, which can diverge from market price and book value. Valuation work aligns these measures into a single context.
The concept of value for BJs Restaurants differs from its quoted price, since each reflects a different lens. For BJs Restaurants, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 649.75, a P/B ratio of 1.95, a profit margin of 3.49%, and ROE of 13.26%. Trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.