ProShares Trust Etf Forward View - Simple Regression
| BETH Etf | 42.14 -0.01 -0.02% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
This view aligns ProShares Trust's headline activity with price response and peer context.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of ProShares Trust on the next trading day is projected to be 35.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 208.40.ProShares Trust after-hype prediction price | $ 42.36 |
Sentiment indicators are one input among forecasting models, technical signals, analyst estimates, earnings data, and momentum measures.
ProShares | Build portfolio with ProShares Etf |
ProShares Trust Additional Predictive Modules
Predictive models for ProShares Trust combine technical indicators with statistical methods to estimate probable price trajectories. Predictive models for ProShares work best when confirmed by real-time indicator readings.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of ProShares Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 35.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.42 , mean absolute percentage error of 15.01 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 208.40 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ProShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ProShares Trust's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ProShares Trust | ProShares Trust Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for ProShares Trust uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. The current forecast range spans downside near 32.02 and upside near 39.88.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ProShares Trust etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ProShares Trust etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.8192 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.4164 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0764 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 208.3974 |
The degree to which ProShares Trust's exhibits mean reversion depends on how efficiently the market prices new information. In highly covered equities, the mean reversion window tends to be shorter.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The after-hype price distribution for ProShares Trust helps investors understand how much of ProShares Trust's predicted return comes from the central scenario versus tail outcomes. Strategies that rely on tail events for ProShares Trust are inherently more speculative.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
Historical news patterns for ProShares Trust reveal how the market has historically digested different types of information about ProShares Trust's business and market environment. ProShares Trust's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.43 and 46.29, respectively. The model extrapolates these patterns to estimate likely price boundaries following the next significant.
Current Value
This after-hype projection for ProShares Trust uses a 3 months horizon to examine how price may behave after short-term sentiment effects dissipate. Used correctly, the estimate adds context around potential normalization rather than promising a specific realized outcome.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as ProShares Trust is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ProShares Trust backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ProShares Trust, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 3.93 | 0.22 | 0.00 | 4 Events | 2 Events | In 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
42.14 | 42.36 | 0.52 |
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Hype Timeline
ProShares Trust is currently traded for 42.14. The ETF has historical hype elasticity of 0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. ProShares is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 42.36 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the ETF the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.52%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.2%. The volatility of related hype on ProShares Trust is about 65500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.14. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 4 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of ProShares Trust to cross-verify projections for ProShares Trust. The historical view provides additional context.Related Hype Analysis
Peer hype analysis helps investors build a more complete picture of ProShares Trust's competitive environment by quantifying the market's sensitivity to news across all major players in ProShares Trust's sector.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| USSH | WisdomTree 1 3 Year | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.43 | 0.12 | -0.08 | 0.34 | |
| UCC | ProShares Ultra Consumer | -0.51 | 1 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 3.32 | -4.33 | 8.66 | |
| BSCZ | Invesco BulletShares 2035 | -0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.48 | -0.53 | 1.21 | |
| PSCF | Invesco SAMPP SmallCap | -0.06 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1.61 | -1.89 | 5.54 | |
| JULJ | Innovator ETFs Trust | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.35 | 0.16 | -0.12 | 0.44 | |
| GLDY | Defiance Gold Enhanced | 0.16 | 3 per month | 2.42 | 0.11 | 1.88 | -2.76 | 10.16 | |
| JULH | Innovator ETFs Trust | 0.08 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.26 | 0.20 | -0.20 | 0.68 | |
| MAYT | AIM ETF Products | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.20 | 0.13 | 0.35 | -0.38 | 1.24 | |
| SNPG | Xtrackers SAMPP 500 | 0.21 | 1 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 1.07 | -1.51 | 3.90 | |
| UST | ProShares Ultra 7 10 | 0.07 | 7 per month | 0.45 | 0.05 | 0.82 | -0.74 | 2.53 |
Other Forecasting Options for ProShares Trust
The price trajectory of ProShares is the primary concern for any investor assessing it as an opportunity. ProShares Etf price charts are filled with noise that can easily mislead uninformed investment decisions.ProShares Trust Related Equities
The following equities are related to ProShares Trust within the Digital Assets space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing ProShares Trust against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ProShares Trust Market Strength Events
Understanding the market strength of ProShares Trust etf enables investors to assess the security's momentum and responsiveness to broader market forces. These indicators are essential tools for timing trades in ProShares Trust with greater precision.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 42.14 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 42.14 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.01 |
ProShares Trust Risk Indicators
Reviewing ProShares Trust's basic risk indicators is essential for investors who want to forecast its price and manage their investment risk effectively. This analysis helps identify the amount of risk involved in holding ProShares Trust's and informs decisions about hedging and position.
| Mean Deviation | 2.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.81 | |||
| Variance | 14.54 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ProShares Trust
Story coverage around ProShares Trust often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
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More Resources for ProShares Etf Analysis
A structured review of ProShares Trust often starts with core financial statements and trend context. Ratios and trend metrics help frame ProShares Trust's operating context across reporting periods. Key reports that frame ProShares Trust Etf are listed below:Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of ProShares Trust to cross-verify projections for ProShares Trust. The historical view provides additional context. Explore our How to Trade ProShares Etf guide to learn how to trade ProShares Trust effectively.ProShares Trust information on this page supports broader research rather than acting as a stand-alone signal. ProShares Trust analysis across multiple dimensions - risk, valuation, diversification - produces a more informed position-sizing decision. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Understanding ProShares Trust includes distinguishing between market value and book value, where book value reflects ProShares's accounting equity. Intrinsic value represents an estimate of underlying worth and can differ from both market price and book value. Valuation methods compare these perspectives to frame context.
Note that ProShares Trust's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. Analysis often considers earnings, revenue quality, fundamentals, technical signals, competition, and analyst coverage. In practice, ProShares Trust price is set by the continuous auction process on its listing exchange.