WILLIAM BLAIR Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Regression
| BESIX Fund | USD 24.15 0.04 0.17% |
The Simple Regression forecast shown here for WILLIAM BLAIR is reference data produced from the equity's historical price series. Accuracy metrics including mean absolute deviation are provided alongside the projection.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of William Blair Emerging on the next trading day is expected to be 25.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.10.In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as William Blair Emerging historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data. This Simple Regression reference page for WILLIAM BLAIR presents model-generated projections from historical price data for informational purposes. Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 21st of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of William Blair Emerging on the next trading day is expected to be 25.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.64 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.10 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict WILLIAM Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that WILLIAM BLAIR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest WILLIAM BLAIR | WILLIAM BLAIR Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for William Blair Emerging focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. The current forecast range spans downside near 24.15 and upside near 26.78.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of WILLIAM BLAIR mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent WILLIAM BLAIR mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.5026 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6951 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0286 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 43.096 |
Other Forecasting Options for WILLIAM BLAIR
Regardless of investment experience, understanding WILLIAM BLAIR's price movement is essential for anyone considering a position in WILLIAM. Price charts for WILLIAM Mutual Fund are often filled with noise that can lead to poor investment choices if not properly filtered.WILLIAM BLAIR Related Equities
The following equities are related to WILLIAM BLAIR within the Diversified Emerging Mkts space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing WILLIAM BLAIR against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
WILLIAM BLAIR Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for WILLIAM BLAIR give investors insight into the mutual fund's responsiveness to broader market forces. Tracking these indicators provides context to make informed timing decisions and identify periods where trading WILLIAM BLAIR is likely to be most rewarding.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24.15 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 24.15 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.02 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.04 |
WILLIAM BLAIR Risk Indicators
A thorough review of WILLIAM BLAIR's risk indicators is an important first step in forecasting its price and managing investment exposure. This analysis provides context for determining the appropriate level of risk to accept when holding WILLIAM BLAIR's.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9177 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Variance | 1.68 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.23 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.7 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.91 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for WILLIAM BLAIR
The amount of media and story coverage tied to William Blair Emerging can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.