BE Semiconductor Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BESI Stock | EUR 185.10 9.85 5.62% |
Momentum
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.31 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5589 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.4771 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.1679 | Wall Street Target Price 186.1739 |
This section relates BE Semiconductor Industries headline activity to recent price behavior and peer context.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BE Semiconductor Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 184.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 278.45.BE Semiconductor after-hype prediction price | € 188.0 |
This module presents attention signals alongside forecasting, technical analysis, analyst consensus, and earnings.
BESI |
BE Semiconductor Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BESI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BESI using various technical indicators. When you analyze BESI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BE Semiconductor Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 184.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.64 , mean absolute percentage error of 48.03 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 278.45 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BESI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BE Semiconductor's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BE Semiconductor | BE Semiconductor Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for BE Semiconductor Industries uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BE Semiconductor stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BE Semiconductor stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.1445 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.1291 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.6408 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0276 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 278.4477 |
Mean reversion in BE Semiconductor is more reliable over longer time horizons. Short-term deviations can persist and even widen before correcting, making position sizing and risk management critical.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Investors who rely solely on expected value estimates for BE Semiconductor miss the full picture. BE Semiconductor's probability distribution reveals that expected value can be achieved through very different combinations of outcomes, each with different risk implications.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The after-news price analysis for BE Semiconductor is built on the observation that BE Semiconductor's market reactions to news are not random but follow recognizable patterns. BE Semiconductor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 183.97 and 192.03, respectively. Identifying and quantifying these patterns for BE Semiconductor is the core purpose of this model.
Current Value
This after-hype projection for BE Semiconductor Industries uses a 3 months horizon to examine how price may behave after short-term sentiment effects dissipate. Used correctly, the estimate adds context around potential normalization rather than promising a specific realized outcome.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BE Semiconductor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BE Semiconductor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BE Semiconductor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.61 | 4.03 | 2.90 | 1.45 | 2 Events | 2 Events | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
185.10 | 188.00 | 1.57 |
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Hype Timeline
BE Semiconductor is currently traded for 185.10on Euronext Amsterdam of Netherlands. The company has historical hype elasticity of 2.9, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.45. BESI is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 188.0 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 84.84%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 1.57%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.61%. The volatility of related hype on BE Semiconductor is about 169.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 186.55. The company reported revenue of 591.33 M. Net Income was 131.64 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 374.27 M. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Cross-verify projections for BE Semiconductor using Historical Fundamental Analysis of BE Semiconductor. The view supplies historical context for the projection discussion.Related Hype Analysis
The information ratio and semi-deviation metrics in the peer comparison table for BE Semiconductor provide a risk-adjusted view of how efficiently BE Semiconductor's competitors convert news exposure into returns relative to downside risk.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ASM | ASM International NV | 20.80 | 6 per month | 2.34 | 0.13 | 5.86 | -4.15 | 16.77 | |
| TWEKA | TKH Group NV | 0.16 | 2 per month | 1.68 | 0.04 | 3.29 | -2.07 | 10.53 | |
| NEDAP | NV Nederlandsche Apparatenfabriek | -0.03 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.13 | 1.89 | -2.41 | 6.06 | |
| CTAC | Ctac NV | -0.03 | 1 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 2.33 | -2.60 | 8.47 | |
| TOM2 | TomTom NV | 0.55 | 1 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 3.57 | -2.99 | 23.00 | |
| MTRK | MotorK | 0.09 | 3 per month | 0.00 | -0.15 | 4.37 | -5.13 | 12.21 | |
| AZRN | Azerion Group NV | -0.03 | 2 per month | 0.00 | -0.21 | 1.77 | -2.88 | 6.06 | |
| CMCOM | CM NV | -0.07 | 5 per month | 1.57 | 0.11 | 3.78 | -2.96 | 18.55 | |
| NEDSE | NedSense Enterprises NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.06 | 8.89 | -9.09 | 58.63 |
Other Forecasting Options for BE Semiconductor
For investors considering BESI, BE Semiconductor's price movement is the most direct driver of investment returns. Noise in BESI Stock price charts can make identifying meaningful trends difficult without dedicated analytical tools.BE Semiconductor Related Equities
The following equities are related to BE Semiconductor within the Information Technology space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing BE Semiconductor against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BE Semiconductor Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for BE Semiconductor provide investors with a view of how the stock performs across different market environments. By analyzing these indicators, traders can determine the best moments to enter or exit positions in BE Semiconductor Industries.
BE Semiconductor Risk Indicators
A structured analysis of BE Semiconductor's risk indicators is one of the most reliable ways to improve the accuracy of price forecasts. Understanding the risk embedded in BE Semiconductor's allows investors to decide whether to accept, reduce, or hedge their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 2.61 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.9 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.97 | |||
| Variance | 15.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 22.85 | |||
| Semi Variance | 15.24 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.52 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BE Semiconductor
The amount of media and story coverage tied to BE Semiconductor Industries can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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BE Semiconductor Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for BE Semiconductor Industries is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. This is most valuable when investors want to know whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 543 M |
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