Banque Cantonale Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| BCVN Stock | CHF 122.70 -0.50 -0.41% |
Banque Cantonale's Triple Exponential Smoothing reference data is presented on this page, derived from the application of the forecasting model to historical closing prices. Projected values and accuracy measures are included for reference.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise on the next trading day is expected to be 123.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.91 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.86.As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Banque Cantonale observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Banque Cantonale Vaudoise observations. The Triple Exponential Smoothing reference information for Banque Cantonale is based on available price data and is intended for informational purposes. Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Banque Cantonale Vaudoise on the next trading day is expected to be 123.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.91 , mean absolute percentage error of 1.48 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.86 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Banque Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Banque Cantonale's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Banque Cantonale | Banque Cantonale Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Banque Cantonale's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. At the moment, the model places downside around 122.02 and upside around 124.15 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Banque Cantonale stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Banque Cantonale stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1936 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9144 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0083 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 54.8624 |
Other Forecasting Options for Banque Cantonale
For any investor considering Banque, Banque Cantonale's price movement is the central factor in determining investment viability. The noise present in Banque Stock price charts can distort investment decisions if not properly addressed.Banque Cantonale Related Equities
The following equities are related to Banque Cantonale within the Financials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Banque Cantonale against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Banque Cantonale Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Banque Cantonale stock help investors evaluate the security's behavior relative to ongoing market conditions. These tools support better market timing and help identify entry and exit signals for Banque Cantonale Vaudoise.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3203.08 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.16 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 123.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 122.9 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.55 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.50 |
Banque Cantonale Risk Indicators
The analysis of Banque Cantonale's basic risk indicators is a key input for accurate price forecasting and sound investment decisions. Understanding the risk in Banque Cantonale's investment allows investors to make informed choices about accepting or mitigating that exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7859 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1657 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Variance | 1.09 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.5727 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0274 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.00 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Banque Cantonale
Story coverage around Banque Cantonale Vaudoise often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
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Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.
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Banque Cantonale Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Banque Cantonale Vaudoise can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 85.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.9 B |
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