Solowin Holdings Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| AXG Stock | 3.53 -0.04 -1.12% |
This reference page presents Simple Moving Average forecast data for Solowin Holdings. The model output shown here is derived from Solowin Holdings's historical price series and is provided for informational purposes.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Solowin Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 3.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.08.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Solowin Holdings price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Solowin Holdings. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future This Simple Moving Average forecast data for Solowin Holdings is sourced from the most recent available trading data and is intended solely as reference information. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 22nd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Solowin Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 3.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.05 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.08 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Solowin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Solowin Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
Forecasting Solowin Holdings for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. The current forecast range spans downside near 0.04 and upside near 8.27.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Solowin Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Solowin Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.4188 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0186 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1369 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0375 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for Solowin Holdings
For every potential investor in Solowin, whether a beginner or expert, Solowin Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.Solowin Holdings Related Equities
The following equities are related to Solowin Holdings within the Financials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Solowin Holdings against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Solowin Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Solowin Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Solowin Holdings shares will generate the highest return on.
Solowin Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Solowin Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Solowin Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 3.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.42 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.31 | |||
| Variance | 28.19 | |||
| Downside Variance | 23.37 | |||
| Semi Variance | 19.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -4.38 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Solowin Holdings
Story coverage around Solowin Holdings often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
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Solowin Holdings Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Solowin Holdings can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.8 M |