Agape ATP Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| ATPC Stock | 0.08 0 3.66% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Agape ATP on the next trading day is expected to be -0.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.45. Agape Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Agape ATP stock prices and determine the direction of Agape ATP's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Agape ATP's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Agape ATP's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.119 |
Using Agape ATP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Agape ATP from the perspective of Agape ATP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Agape ATP on the next trading day is expected to be -0.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.45. Agape ATP after-hype prediction price | USD 0.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Agape ATP to cross-verify your projections. Agape ATP Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Agape price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Agape using various technical indicators. When you analyze Agape charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Agape ATP Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Agape ATP on the next trading day is expected to be -0.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.45.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Agape Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Agape ATP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Agape ATP Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Agape ATP | Agape ATP Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Agape ATP Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Agape ATP's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Agape ATP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0008 and 27.10, respectively. We have considered Agape ATP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Agape ATP stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Agape ATP stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6825 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2533 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 1.2408 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.4495 |
Predictive Modules for Agape ATP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Agape ATP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Agape ATP After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Agape ATP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Agape ATP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Agape ATP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Agape ATP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Agape ATP's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Agape ATP's historical news coverage. Agape ATP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 27.38, respectively. We have considered Agape ATP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Agape ATP is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Agape ATP is based on 3 months time horizon.
Agape ATP Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Agape ATP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Agape ATP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Agape ATP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.53 | 27.32 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.08 | 0.06 | 24.05 |
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Agape ATP Hype Timeline
Agape ATP is presently traded for 0.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Agape is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.06. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -24.05%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.53%. The volatility of related hype on Agape ATP is about 390285.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.08. About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.17. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Agape ATP recorded a loss per share of 0.25. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:20 split on the 30th of August 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Agape ATP to cross-verify your projections.Agape ATP Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Agape ATP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Agape ATP's future price movements. Getting to know how Agape ATP's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Agape ATP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DDC | DDC Enterprise Limited | 0.26 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 9.01 | (16.67) | 39.80 | |
| WYHG | Wing Yip Food | (0.03) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 5.71 | (9.90) | 29.15 | |
| BRID | Bridgford Foods | (0.19) | 6 per month | 2.55 | (0) | 5.13 | (4.00) | 14.75 | |
| IMG | CIMG Inc | (0.1) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 12.96 | (15.15) | 47.57 | |
| BRLS | Borealis Foods | (0.05) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 7.65 | (12.50) | 40.56 | |
| LSF | Laird Superfood | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 10.40 | (10.20) | 37.41 | |
| LOCL | Local Bounti Corp | (0.09) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.22 | (6.90) | 21.33 | |
| FARM | Farmer Bros Co | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.97 | (3.90) | 18.04 | |
| GROV | Virgin Group Acquisition | 0.20 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.26 | (6.02) | 21.04 | |
| GNS | Genius Group | 0.01 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 8.11 | (7.25) | 24.04 |
Other Forecasting Options for Agape ATP
For every potential investor in Agape, whether a beginner or expert, Agape ATP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Agape Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Agape. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Agape ATP's price trends.Agape ATP Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Agape ATP stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Agape ATP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Agape ATP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Agape ATP Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Agape ATP stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Agape ATP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Agape ATP stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Agape ATP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Agape ATP Risk Indicators
The analysis of Agape ATP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Agape ATP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting agape stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 9.97 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 15.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 26.47 | |||
| Variance | 700.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 354.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 253.6 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (17.86) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Agape ATP
The number of cover stories for Agape ATP depends on current market conditions and Agape ATP's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Agape ATP is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Agape ATP's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Agape ATP Short Properties
Agape ATP's future price predictability will typically decrease when Agape ATP's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Agape ATP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Agape ATP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agape ATP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 63.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Agape ATP to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Agape Stock refer to our How to Trade Agape Stock guide.You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Agape ATP. If investors know Agape will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Agape ATP listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.25) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.119 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Agape ATP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Agape that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Agape ATP's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Agape ATP's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Agape ATP's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Agape ATP's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Agape ATP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Agape ATP is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Agape ATP's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.