Actic Group Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| ATIC Stock | SEK 26.80 -0.30 -1.11% |
Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
This section frames Actic Group AB response to recent headlines in a peer context.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Actic Group AB on the next trading day is expected to be 26.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.16.Actic Group after-hype prediction price | SEK 26.8 |
This view helps relate attention signals to forecasting and technical indicators plus earnings context.
Actic |
Actic Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Actic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Actic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Actic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Actic Group Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Actic Group AB on the next trading day is expected to be 26.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.20 , mean absolute percentage error of 3.02 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.16 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Actic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Actic Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Actic Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Actic Group | Actic Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Actic Group Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Actic Group AB uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Actic Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Actic Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2408 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.2026 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0388 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 72.157 |
The degree to which Actic Group's exhibits mean reversion depends on how efficiently the market prices new information. In highly covered equities, the mean reversion window tends to be shorter.
Actic Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The after-hype price distribution for Actic Group helps investors understand how much of Actic Group's predicted return comes from the central scenario versus tail outcomes. Strategies that rely on tail events for Actic Group are inherently more speculative.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Actic Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
Historical news patterns for Actic Group reveal how the market has historically digested different types of information about Actic Group's business and market environment. Actic Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.73 and 31.87, respectively. The model extrapolates these patterns to estimate likely price boundaries following the next significant.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Actic Group AB assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Actic Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Actic Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Actic Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Actic Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 5.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events | 0 Events | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
26.80 | 26.80 | 0.00 |
|
Actic Group Hype Timeline
Actic Group AB is presently traded for 26.80on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Actic is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Actic Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.80. About 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.58. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Actic Group AB recorded a loss per share of 5.98. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of May 2019. The firm completed a 1619:1484 stock split on 19th of April 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Actic Group provides a cross-check on projections for Actic Group. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set.Actic Group Related Hype Analysis
Peer hype analysis helps investors build a more complete picture of Actic Group's competitive environment by quantifying the market's sensitivity to news across all major players in Actic Group's sector.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PRFO | Profoto Holding AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 5.81 | -4.61 | 14.28 | |
| NIL-B | Niloerngruppen AB Series | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.09 | 2.02 | -2.39 | 17.93 | |
| BOAT | Nimbus Group AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.36 | 0.09 | 6.15 | -4.30 | 27.95 | |
| LAMM-B | Lammhults Design Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.13 | 3.07 | -3.88 | 12.97 | |
| OXE | OXE Marine AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.06 | 7.69 | -8.33 | 38.21 | |
| DURC-B | Duroc AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.50 | 0.09 | 6.37 | -4.76 | 18.09 | |
| UTG | Unlimited Travel Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.14 | 3.62 | -4.15 | 15.39 | |
| CDON | CDON AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.36 | 0.04 | 6.06 | -5.03 | 15.98 | |
| EMBELL | Embellence Group AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.09 | 2.95 | -3.65 | 9.16 | |
| OBAB | Online Brands Nordic | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.09 | 3.56 | -3.43 | 20.47 |
Other Forecasting Options for Actic Group
The price trajectory of Actic is the primary concern for any investor assessing it as an opportunity. Actic Stock price charts are filled with noise that can easily mislead uninformed investment decisions.Actic Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Actic Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Actic Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Actic Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Actic Group Market Strength Events
Understanding the market strength of Actic Group stock enables investors to assess the security's momentum and responsiveness to broader market forces. These indicators are essential tools for timing trades in Actic Group AB with greater precision.
Actic Group Risk Indicators
Reviewing Actic Group's basic risk indicators is essential for investors who want to forecast its price and manage their investment risk effectively. This analysis helps identify the amount of risk involved in holding Actic Group's and informs decisions about hedging and position.
| Mean Deviation | 3.56 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.04 | |||
| Variance | 25.36 | |||
| Downside Variance | 28.56 | |||
| Semi Variance | 25.97 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -3.86 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Actic Group
Coverage intensity for Actic Group AB matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Story coverage on Macroaxis is built for readers who approach markets from different levels of experience but share the same need for disciplined investment context. Used well, these stories become part of a broader workflow built around idea generation, validation, and risk-adjusted portfolio design.
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Actic Group Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Actic Group AB matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.4 M |
Additional Tools for Actic Stock Analysis
| Global Markets Map Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes | |
| Cryptocurrency Center Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency | |
| Money Managers Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world | |
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals | |
| Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal | |
| Earnings Calls Check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges | |
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Fundamentals Comparison Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities |