A10 Network Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| ATEN Stock | USD 17.58 0.13 0.73% |
A10 Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although A10 Network's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of A10 Network's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of A10 Network fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength indicator of A10 Network's share price is approaching 48. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling A10 Network, making its price go up or down. Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2443 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.8791 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.9446 | Wall Street Target Price 23.1667 |
Using A10 Network hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of A10 Network from the perspective of A10 Network response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards A10 Network using A10 Network's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards A10 using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of A10 Network's stock price.
A10 Network Implied Volatility | 0.97 |
A10 Network's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of A10 Network stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if A10 Network's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that A10 Network stock will not fluctuate a lot when A10 Network's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of A10 Network on the next trading day is expected to be 17.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.95. A10 Network after-hype prediction price | USD 17.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of A10 Network to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current A10 contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that A10 Network will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0606% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With A10 Network trading at USD 17.58, that is roughly USD 0.0107 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating A10 Network's daily price movement you should consider acquiring A10 Network options at the current volatility level of 0.97%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 A10 Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast A10 Network's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in A10 Network's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for A10 Network stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current A10 Network's open interest, investors have to compare it to A10 Network's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of A10 Network is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in A10. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
A10 Network Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine A10 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for A10 using various technical indicators. When you analyze A10 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
A10 Network Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of A10 Network on the next trading day is expected to be 17.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.95.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict A10 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that A10 Network's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
A10 Network Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest A10 Network | A10 Network Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
A10 Network Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting A10 Network's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. A10 Network's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.14 and 19.15, respectively. We have considered A10 Network's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of A10 Network stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent A10 Network stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.9231 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -3.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2195 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0125 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.95 |
Predictive Modules for A10 Network
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as A10 Network. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of A10 Network's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
A10 Network After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of A10 Network at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in A10 Network or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of A10 Network, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
A10 Network Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting A10 Network's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on A10 Network's historical news coverage. A10 Network's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.07 and 19.09, respectively. We have considered A10 Network's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
A10 Network is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of A10 Network is based on 3 months time horizon.
A10 Network Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as A10 Network is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading A10 Network backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with A10 Network, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.51 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.58 | 17.58 | 0.00 |
|
A10 Network Hype Timeline
A10 Network is presently traded for 17.58. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. A10 is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on A10 Network is about 463.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.57. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the 17th of November 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of A10 Network to cross-verify your projections.A10 Network Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to A10 Network's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict A10 Network's future price movements. Getting to know how A10 Network's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how A10 Network may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VRNT | Verint Systems | (0.92) | 2 per month | 0.06 | (0.23) | 0.20 | (0.20) | 0.79 | |
| RPD | Rapid7 Inc | (0.20) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 3.15 | (4.96) | 21.42 | |
| TUYA | Tuya Inc ADR | 0.31 | 32 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.87 | (3.81) | 16.88 | |
| TIXT | TELUS International | 0.71 | 8 per month | 0.92 | 0.07 | 2.41 | (1.78) | 17.91 | |
| KARO | Karooooo | (2.19) | 7 per month | 1.57 | 0.03 | 5.56 | (2.84) | 10.32 | |
| RDWR | Radware | (0.13) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.90 | (3.12) | 6.78 | |
| GCT | GigaCloud Technology Class | 0.33 | 14 per month | 2.88 | 0.12 | 6.24 | (6.01) | 39.06 | |
| AMPL | Amplitude | (0.41) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.19 | (4.53) | 14.37 | |
| CTS | CTS Corporation | (0.22) | 9 per month | 1.76 | 0.14 | 3.37 | (3.10) | 8.33 | |
| DGII | Digi International | (0.54) | 13 per month | 1.97 | 0.09 | 3.16 | (3.58) | 11.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for A10 Network
For every potential investor in A10, whether a beginner or expert, A10 Network's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. A10 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in A10. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying A10 Network's price trends.A10 Network Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with A10 Network stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of A10 Network could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing A10 Network by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
A10 Network Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how A10 Network stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading A10 Network shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying A10 Network stock market strength indicators, traders can identify A10 Network entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 17.58 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 17.58 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.07) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.13) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 48.6 |
A10 Network Risk Indicators
The analysis of A10 Network's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in A10 Network's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting a10 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Variance | 2.43 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for A10 Network
The number of cover stories for A10 Network depends on current market conditions and A10 Network's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that A10 Network is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about A10 Network's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
A10 Network Short Properties
A10 Network's future price predictability will typically decrease when A10 Network's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of A10 Network often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential A10 Network's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. A10 Network's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 75.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 195.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of A10 Network to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in A10 Stock, please use our How to Invest in A10 Network guide.You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Will Systems Software sector continue expanding? Could A10 diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of A10 Network. If investors know A10 will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every A10 Network data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0) | Dividend Share 0.24 | Earnings Share 0.69 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.119 |
Investors evaluate A10 Network using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating A10 Network's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause A10 Network's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that A10 Network's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether A10 Network represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, A10 Network's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.