Asana Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| ASAN Stock | USD 11.14 0.02 0.18% |
Asana Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Asana's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Asana's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Asana fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength indicator of Asana's share price is approaching 34. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Asana, making its price go up or down. Momentum 34
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year 0.2562 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.3557 | Wall Street Target Price 15.9231 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.0619 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.093 |
Using Asana hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Asana Inc from the perspective of Asana response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Asana using Asana's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Asana using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Asana's stock price.
Asana Short Interest
An investor who is long Asana may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Asana and may potentially protect profits, hedge Asana with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 14.3168 | Short Percent 0.179 | Short Ratio 4.18 | Shares Short Prior Month 17.1 M | 50 Day MA 13.0784 |
Asana Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Asana Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 11.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.72.Asana Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Asana's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Asana. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Asana can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Asana Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Asana's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Asana.
Asana Implied Volatility | 0.89 |
Asana's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Asana Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Asana's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Asana stock will not fluctuate a lot when Asana's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Asana Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 11.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.72. Asana after-hype prediction price | USD 11.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Asana to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Asana contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Asana Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0556% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Asana trading at USD 11.14, that is roughly USD 0.006197 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Asana's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Asana Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.89%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Asana Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Asana's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Asana's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Asana stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Asana's open interest, investors have to compare it to Asana's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Asana is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Asana. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Asana Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Asana price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Asana using various technical indicators. When you analyze Asana charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Asana Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Asana Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 11.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.72.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Asana Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Asana's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Asana Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Asana | Asana Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Asana Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Asana's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Asana's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.31 and 13.97, respectively. We have considered Asana's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Asana stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Asana stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.7986 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0703 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3342 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0258 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 19.72 |
Predictive Modules for Asana
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asana Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Asana After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Asana at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Asana or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Asana, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Asana Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Asana's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Asana's historical news coverage. Asana's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.27 and 13.93, respectively. We have considered Asana's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Asana is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Asana Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Asana Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Asana is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Asana backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Asana, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 2.83 | 0.04 | 0.18 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
11.14 | 11.10 | 0.36 |
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Asana Hype Timeline
Asana Inc is presently traded for 11.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.18. Asana is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.36%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.39%. The volatility of related hype on Asana is about 620.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.32. About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.93. Asana Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Asana to cross-verify your projections.Asana Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Asana's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Asana's future price movements. Getting to know how Asana's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Asana may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VCV | Invesco California Value | 0.16 | 8 per month | 0.78 | (0.01) | 1.53 | (1.55) | 3.42 | |
| MRK | Merck Company | 1.34 | 7 per month | 1.09 | 0.17 | 3.59 | (1.98) | 8.09 | |
| NMFC | New Mountain Finance | 0.13 | 5 per month | 1.01 | (0.05) | 1.66 | (1.69) | 5.28 | |
| AA | Alcoa Corp | 2.39 | 7 per month | 2.42 | 0.19 | 6.55 | (4.82) | 18.46 | |
| KOS | Kosmos Energy | (0.01) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.27 | (5.99) | 25.11 | |
| GGG | Graco Inc | 1.63 | 6 per month | 1.19 | 0.01 | 2.46 | (1.90) | 6.74 | |
| NSSC | NAPCO Security Technologies | (0.61) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.98 | (4.00) | 14.26 | |
| SRTOY | Sartorius Stedim Biotech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.97 | (0.01) | 2.92 | (3.28) | 14.94 | |
| KNX | Knight Transportation | (0.26) | 9 per month | 1.86 | 0.1 | 3.84 | (2.96) | 8.76 | |
| KNOP | KNOT Offshore Partners | (0.21) | 9 per month | 1.17 | 0.09 | 3.99 | (2.14) | 12.60 |
Other Forecasting Options for Asana
For every potential investor in Asana, whether a beginner or expert, Asana's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Asana Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Asana. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Asana's price trends.Asana Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Asana stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Asana could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Asana by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Asana Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Asana stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Asana shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Asana stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Asana Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Asana Risk Indicators
The analysis of Asana's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Asana's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting asana stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.78 | |||
| Variance | 7.72 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Asana
The number of cover stories for Asana depends on current market conditions and Asana's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Asana is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Asana's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Asana Short Properties
Asana's future price predictability will typically decrease when Asana's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Asana Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Asana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 229.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 466.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Asana to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Asana. If investors know Asana will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Asana listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.93) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.093 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Asana Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Asana that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Asana's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Asana's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Asana's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Asana's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Asana's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Asana is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Asana's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.