Antero Resources Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| AR Stock | USD 41.13 0.10 0.24% |
The reference data on this page reflects Simple Moving Average output applied to Antero Resources Corp's historical daily closing prices. Forecast values and accuracy statistics are presented for informational purposes.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Antero Resources Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 41.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.87.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Antero Resources Corp price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Antero Resources. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future The forecast reference data presented here for Antero Resources Corp reflects Simple Moving Average model output and is intended as reference material for analytical use. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 19th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Antero Resources Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 41.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.86 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.87 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Antero Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Antero Resources' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Antero Resources | Antero Resources Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting Antero Resources Corp for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. At the moment, the model places downside around 38.59 and upside around 43.67 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Antero Resources stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Antero Resources stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.2891 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1849 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7605 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0216 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 44.87 |
Other Forecasting Options for Antero Resources
Understanding Antero Resources' price movement is a prerequisite for any investor considering Antero as a position. Antero Stock price charts are frequently cluttered with noise that can interfere with accurate interpretation.Antero Resources Related Equities
The following equities are related to Antero Resources within the Energy space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Antero Resources against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Antero Resources Market Strength Events
For traders and investors in Antero Resources Corp, market strength indicators offer a quantitative framework for evaluating the stock's responsiveness to market conditions. These tools help identify when trading Antero Resources shares is most likely to generate favorable returns.
Antero Resources Risk Indicators
Analyzing Antero Resources' risk indicators provides a critical input for price forecasting and investment risk management. By quantifying the risk in Antero Resources' investment, investors can make more informed decisions about their exposure and hedging strategies.
| Mean Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.62 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.62 | |||
| Variance | 6.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.59 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.89 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.04 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Antero Resources
Coverage intensity for Antero Resources Corp matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
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Antero Resources Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Antero Resources Corp matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. The practical goal is to identify when the balance between long and short participation may be changing the quality of the setup.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 312.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 210 M |
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