Ampco Pittsburgh Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| AP Stock | USD 9.52 -0.47 -4.70% |
Momentum
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4 | Wall Street Target Price 5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.123 |
This section summarizes Ampco Pittsburgh headline activity and related price response context. Options and short interest metrics are combined here to describe sentiment for Ampco Pittsburgh.
Expanded financial statements are available at Dividend Yield and Price To Sales Ratio.
Ampco Pittsburgh Implied Volatility | 1.34 |
The implied volatility skew for Ampco Pittsburgh options - the difference in implied volatility between puts and calls at different strikes - reveals the market's asymmetric fear of downside versus upside moves in Ampco Pittsburgh's stock.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ampco Pittsburgh on the next trading day is expected to be 9.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.98.Ampco Pittsburgh after-hype prediction price | $ 9.52 |
This module presents attention signals alongside forecasting, technical analysis, analyst consensus, and earnings.
Cross-verify projections for Ampco Pittsburgh using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ampco Pittsburgh. The historical view provides additional context.Rule 16 Reference for the current Ampco contract - Pricing Context
Based on Rule 16, the market-implied daily move for 2026-06-18 options is about 0.0838%. This estimate is a volatility reference; at $ 9.52, it implies a move of about $ 0.007973 per day.
Open Interest Distribution for Ampco 2026-06-18 Options
Active contract counts for Ampco Pittsburgh are shown through open interest, offering positioning and liquidity context.
Ampco Pittsburgh Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ampco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ampco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ampco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ampco Pittsburgh Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ampco Pittsburgh on the next trading day is expected to be 9.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.15 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.98 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ampco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ampco Pittsburgh's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ampco Pittsburgh Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ampco Pittsburgh | Ampco Pittsburgh Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Ampco Pittsburgh Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Ampco Pittsburgh uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ampco Pittsburgh stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ampco Pittsburgh stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0702 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3217 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0491 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.98 |
The mean reversion framework for Ampco Pittsburgh is built on the premise that markets are not perfectly efficient and that prices periodically overshoot their intrinsic value in both directions.
Ampco Pittsburgh After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Visualizing the full distribution of potential Ampco Pittsburgh outcomes discourages binary thinking about investments. Rather than asking whether Ampco Pittsburgh's price will go up or down, the distribution approach asks: what is the range of outcomes and how probable is each?
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ampco Pittsburgh Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The news-based price prediction model for Ampco Pittsburgh is transparent: it measures how Ampco Pittsburgh's has historically reacted to news, not how it will theoretically behave. Ampco Pittsburgh's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.82 and 15.22, respectively. Investors should use this model as one input among many when evaluating Ampco Pittsburgh ahead of anticipated news.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Ampco Pittsburgh assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Ampco Pittsburgh Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ampco Pittsburgh is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ampco Pittsburgh backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ampco Pittsburgh, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.83 | 5.70 | 0.84 | 0.20 | 9 Events | 6 Events | In 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.52 | 9.52 | 0.00 |
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Ampco Pittsburgh Hype Timeline
As of March 11, 2026 Ampco Pittsburgh is listed for 9.52. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.84, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.2. Ampco is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.83%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ampco Pittsburgh is about 5229.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.32. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Ampco Pittsburgh was presently reported as 2.97. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.12. Ampco Pittsburgh recorded a loss per share of 0.26. The company last dividend was issued on the 11th of April 2017. The firm completed a 4:3 stock split on 2nd of February 1981. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in 9 days. Cross-verify projections for Ampco Pittsburgh using Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ampco Pittsburgh. The historical view provides additional context.Ampco Pittsburgh Related Hype Analysis
The peer hype analysis for Ampco Pittsburgh identifies which competitors tend to lead the sector in their news reactions. These leading indicators provide early signals about the direction of Ampco Pittsburgh's upcoming performance.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TPCS | TechPrecision Common | -0.1 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.08 | 3.37 | -4.89 | 17.21 | |
| CLIR | ClearSign Combustion | -0.28 | 23 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 8.20 | -7.58 | 37.67 | |
| FLUX | Flux Power Holdings | -0.16 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.0026 | 13.45 | -8.87 | 31.70 | |
| HTLM | HomesToLife | -0.10 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 13.82 | -12.79 | 51.89 | |
| IPWR | Ideal Power | 0.22 | 7 per month | 6.40 | 0.04 | 11.14 | -10.49 | 38.33 | |
| GPUS | Hyperscale Data | 0.07 | 3 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 11.76 | -11.11 | 62.50 | |
| SIF | SIFCO Industries | 0.10 | 23 per month | 4.00 | 0.20 | 11.73 | -5.38 | 50.46 | |
| ADSE | Ads Tec Energy | -0.87 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 5.43 | -5.52 | 16.28 | |
| BGSF | BG Staffing | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.67 | 0.25 | 5.35 | -4.03 | 13.59 | |
| CSTE | Caesarstone | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.17 | 7.50 | -7.87 | 39.75 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ampco Pittsburgh
Price movement is the most fundamental factor that determines whether Ampco is a viable investment for any investor. Ampco Stock price charts are often noisy, making it difficult to identify meaningful patterns without analytical tools.Ampco Pittsburgh Related Equities
The following equities are related to Ampco Pittsburgh within the Materials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Ampco Pittsburgh against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ampco Pittsburgh Market Strength Events
Assessing the market strength of Ampco Pittsburgh stock provides investors with a clearer picture of how the security reacts to evolving market dynamics. These indicators can be used to identify periods when trading Ampco Pittsburgh is most likely to be profitable.
| Accumulation Distribution | 24147.88 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.58 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9.59 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9.57 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.31 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.47 |
Ampco Pittsburgh Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ampco Pittsburgh's basic risk metrics provides a foundation for forecasting its future price and managing investment risk. Identifying the magnitude of risk in Ampco Pittsburgh's helps investors choose between accepting or hedging their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 4.72 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.78 | |||
| Variance | 33.35 | |||
| Downside Variance | 17.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.14 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -6.03 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ampco Pittsburgh
Coverage intensity for Ampco Pittsburgh matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Ampco Pittsburgh Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Ampco Pittsburgh matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.4 M |
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