Amkor Technology Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| AMK Stock | EUR 40.19 2.12 5.57% |
Amkor Technology's Simple Moving Average reference page summarizes the forecasted price and model accuracy metrics derived from daily trading data. This reference information is provided for analytical context.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Amkor Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 40.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 95.26.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Amkor Technology price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Amkor Technology. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future This Simple Moving Average forecast data for Amkor Technology is sourced from the most recent available trading data and is intended solely as reference information. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 21st of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Amkor Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 40.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.61 , mean absolute percentage error of 4.44 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 95.26 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amkor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amkor Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Amkor Technology | Amkor Technology Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Amkor Technology's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. At the moment, the model places downside around 35.65 and upside around 44.73 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amkor Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amkor Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.9246 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1743 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.6145 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0397 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 95.255 |
Other Forecasting Options for Amkor Technology
The movement of Amkor price is the central consideration for investors deciding whether to enter or hold a position. Noise in Amkor Stock price charts can make it difficult to distinguish meaningful trends from random fluctuations.Amkor Technology Related Equities
The following equities are related to Amkor Technology within the Information Technology space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Amkor Technology against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amkor Technology Market Strength Events
Investors use market strength indicators for Amkor Technology to evaluate how the stock performs relative to broader market trends. These indicators support more precise timing of Amkor Technology positions, helping investors maximize return and minimize poorly-timed trades.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.06 | |||
| Day Median Price | 40.19 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 40.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.06 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 2.12 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 53.52 |
Amkor Technology Risk Indicators
A careful analysis of Amkor Technology's basic risk indicators provides context for understanding the risk environment surrounding amkor stock. This understanding is an essential input for forecasting Amkor Technology's future price and for deciding how to manage the associated investment risk.
| Mean Deviation | 3.43 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.64 | |||
| Variance | 21.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 20.89 | |||
| Semi Variance | 20.06 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -3.74 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Amkor Technology
Coverage intensity for Amkor Technology matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
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More Resources for Amkor Stock Analysis
The foundation for reviewing Amkor Technology is its financial reporting and trend data. Financial ratios help explain how results are produced and sustained. The dataset reflects Amkor Technology's financial reporting across available periods. Outlined below are key reports that provide context for Amkor Technology Stock:Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amkor Technology to cross-verify projections for Amkor Technology. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set. The length of the historical series can affect the robustness of trend identification. Values are derived from reported financial statements. For a detailed overview of how to trade Amkor Stock, see our How to Trade Amkor Stock guide.At P/E 38.89 and ROE 8.66%, Amkor Technology analysis should be read alongside other portfolio and risk tools before adjusting capital allocation. Combining those profitability and valuation signals with the risk, diversification, and comparative tools below produces a more informed Technology position-sizing decision. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..