Amber International Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| AMBR Stock | USD 2.58 0.04 1.53% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Amber International Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 2.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.73. Amber Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Amber International's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Amber International's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Amber International fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength momentum indicator of Amber International's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 19.346 |
Using Amber International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amber International Holding from the perspective of Amber International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Amber International using Amber International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Amber using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Amber International's stock price.
Amber International Implied Volatility | 2.29 |
Amber International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Amber International Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Amber International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Amber International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Amber International's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Amber International Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 2.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.73. Amber International after-hype prediction price | USD 2.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amber International to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Amber contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Amber International Holding will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.14% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Amber International trading at USD 2.58, that is roughly USD 0.003693 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Amber International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Amber International Holding options at the current volatility level of 2.29%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Amber Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Amber International's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Amber International's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Amber International stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Amber International's open interest, investors have to compare it to Amber International's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Amber International is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Amber. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Amber International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amber price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amber using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amber charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Amber International Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Amber International Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 2.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amber Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amber International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Amber International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Amber International | Amber International Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Amber International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Amber International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amber International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 12.37, respectively. We have considered Amber International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amber International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amber International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.9691 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3071 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1682 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.7302 |
Predictive Modules for Amber International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amber International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amber International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Amber International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amber International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Amber International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amber International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Amber International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amber International's historical news coverage. Amber International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 12.58, respectively. We have considered Amber International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Amber International is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amber International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Amber International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Amber International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amber International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amber International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.70 | 10.02 | 0.02 | 1.16 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.58 | 2.56 | 0.78 |
|
Amber International Hype Timeline
Amber International is presently traded for 2.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.16. Amber is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.56. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.78%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.7%. The volatility of related hype on Amber International is about 605.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.74. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 2.0. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Amber International recorded a loss per share of 1.45. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 14th of November 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amber International to cross-verify your projections.Amber International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Amber International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amber International's future price movements. Getting to know how Amber International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amber International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| STCN | Steel Connect | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ATY | AcuityAds Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DALN | Dallasnews Corp | 16.72 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 6.51 | (2.66) | 216.42 | |
| MTSL | Mer Telemanagement Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ADTH | AdTheorent Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GSMG | Glory Star New | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ABTS | Abits Group | (0.11) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 11.93 | (8.56) | 30.83 | |
| GNUS | Genius Brands International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BREA | Brera Holdings PLC | (0.06) | 9 per month | 6.94 | 0.13 | 12.35 | (12.29) | 258.82 | |
| CIDM | Cinedigm Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Amber International
For every potential investor in Amber, whether a beginner or expert, Amber International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amber Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amber. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amber International's price trends.Amber International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amber International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amber International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amber International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amber International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amber International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amber International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amber International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Amber International Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.58 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.58 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) |
Amber International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Amber International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amber International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amber stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.78 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.35 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.7 | |||
| Variance | 94.17 | |||
| Downside Variance | 47.83 | |||
| Semi Variance | 40.29 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.65) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Amber International
The number of cover stories for Amber International depends on current market conditions and Amber International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amber International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amber International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Amber International Short Properties
Amber International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Amber International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Amber International Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Amber International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amber International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 26.2 M |
Additional Tools for Amber Stock Analysis
When running Amber International's price analysis, check to measure Amber International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amber International is operating at the current time. Most of Amber International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amber International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amber International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amber International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.