Alexanders Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

ALX Stock  USD 217.94  0.96  0.44%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Alexanders on the next trading day is expected to be 211.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 274.40. Alexanders Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Alexanders' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Alexanders' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alexanders, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Alexanders' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.11)
Wall Street Target Price
180
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Using Alexanders hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alexanders from the perspective of Alexanders response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Alexanders Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Alexanders' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Alexanders. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Alexanders can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Alexanders. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Alexanders' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Alexanders.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Alexanders on the next trading day is expected to be 211.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 274.40.

Alexanders after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 217.94  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alexanders to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Alexanders Stock please use our How to Invest in Alexanders guide.Inventory Turnover is likely to drop to -2.91 in 2026. Payables Turnover is likely to drop to 1.69 in 2026. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 5.5 M in 2026. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 47.5 M in 2026.

Alexanders Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Alexanders price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alexanders using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alexanders charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Alexanders price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Alexanders Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Alexanders on the next trading day is expected to be 211.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.50, mean absolute percentage error of 28.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 274.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alexanders Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alexanders' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Alexanders Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest AlexandersAlexanders Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Alexanders Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Alexanders' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alexanders' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 210.14 and 212.99, respectively. We have considered Alexanders' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
217.94
210.14
Downside
211.57
Expected Value
212.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alexanders stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alexanders stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.4763
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation4.4984
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0206
SAESum of the absolute errors274.4029
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Alexanders historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Alexanders

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alexanders. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
216.52217.94219.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
217.76219.18220.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
211.59216.16220.73
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
163.80180.00199.80
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Alexanders

For every potential investor in Alexanders, whether a beginner or expert, Alexanders' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alexanders Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alexanders. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alexanders' price trends.

Alexanders Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alexanders stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alexanders could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alexanders by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Alexanders Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Alexanders' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Alexanders' current price.

Alexanders Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alexanders stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alexanders shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alexanders stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alexanders entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Alexanders Risk Indicators

The analysis of Alexanders' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alexanders' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alexanders stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Alexanders Stock Analysis

When running Alexanders' price analysis, check to measure Alexanders' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alexanders is operating at the current time. Most of Alexanders' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alexanders' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alexanders' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alexanders to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.