Alliance Laundry Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| ALH Stock | 19.34 -0.14 -0.72% |
This reference view applies Simple Moving Average to Alliance Laundry Holdings's historical closing prices. Alliance Laundry Holdings's Simple Moving Average reference page summarizes the forecasted price and model accuracy metrics from daily trading data. Alliance Laundry Holdings's forecast reference data is generated from the equity's historical trading prices. Mean absolute deviation and related metrics help quantify forecast uncertainty for Alliance Laundry Holdings.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Alliance Laundry Holdings on the next trading day is projected to be 19.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.97.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Alliance Laundry Holdings price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Alliance Laundry. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future All forecast values on this page for Alliance Laundry Holdings are Simple Moving Average reference data derived from historical price series. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Alliance Laundry Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 19.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.32 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.97 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alliance Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alliance Laundry's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Alliance Laundry | Alliance Laundry Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Alliance Laundry Holdings focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 16.73 on the downside to about 21.95 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alliance Laundry stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alliance Laundry stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3046 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0537 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4232 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0197 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 24.97 |
Other Forecasting Options for Alliance Laundry
Volume-weighted price analysis for Alliance Stock gives heavier weight to price levels where trading activity was highest. Crossovers in the MACD line and signal line can identify shifts in Alliance momentum before they appear in raw price. Comparing Alliance Laundry's realized volatility to implied volatility reveals whether the options market expects larger or smaller moves. Readings above 80 or below 20 highlight potential reversal zones in Alliance Stock price action.Alliance Laundry Related Equities
Checking Alliance Laundry against related firms within the Industrials space helps investors see where the stock stands among peers. Revenue and margin checks across this group help investors set expectations for Alliance Laundry's results. How Alliance Laundry ranks within this group can shift over time as the competitive picture changes. These links can also guide portfolio spreading choices within the sector.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Alliance Laundry Market Strength Events
Evaluating the market strength of Alliance Laundry stock allows investors to gauge shifts in market momentum. By monitoring these indicators, investors can identify the most opportune moments to trade Alliance Laundry Holdings. These metrics are particularly useful when Alliance Laundry stock shows divergence from broader market trends. Regularly reviewing Alliance Laundry Holdings strength signals helps maintain a structured approach to position management.
Alliance Laundry Risk Indicators
Understanding Alliance Laundry's risk indicators is essential for any investor seeking to forecast its future price accurately. By identifying how much risk is embedded in Alliance Laundry's investment, investors can decide how to position their exposure. Reviewing Alliance Laundry's basic risk indicators is essential for managing investment risk effectively. The risk-return trade-off for alliance stock becomes clearer when Alliance Laundry's risk indicators are properly assessed.
| Mean Deviation | 1.94 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.66 | |||
| Variance | 7.09 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Alliance Laundry
Coverage intensity for Alliance Laundry Holdings matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
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