Enact Holdings Etf Forward View
| ACT Etf | USD 40.49 -0.07 -0.17% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.155 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.1654 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.759 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.0509 | Wall Street Target Price 45.6 |
This section relates Enact Holdings headline activity to recent price behavior and peer context. Options positioning and short interest are used here to outline sentiment for Enact Holdings.
Enact Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.95 |
High implied volatility in Enact Holdings' options signals that the market anticipates large price swings in Enact Holdings stock. Conversely, low implied volatility indicates that investors expect relatively stable price action.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Enact Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 41.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.92.Enact Holdings after-hype prediction price | $ 40.47 |
Hype signals are presented as complementary context to forecasting, technicals, analyst estimates, earnings, and momentum.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enact Holdings to cross-verify projections for Enact Holdings. The historical view provides additional context.Rule 16 for the current Enact contract - Pricing Context
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 0.0594% for the 2026-04-17 options. This estimate is a volatility reference; at $ 40.49, it implies a move of about $ 0.024 per day.
Enact Options Open Interest - 2026-04-17
Open interest on Enact Holdings summarizes how many option contracts remain open and helps frame liquidity and positioning.
Enact Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Enact price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Enact using various technical indicators. When you analyze Enact charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Enact Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 41.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.67 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.92 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Enact Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Enact Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Enact Holdings | Enact Holdings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Enact Holdings uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Enact Holdings etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Enact Holdings etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7118 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6216 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0152 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 37.9196 |
The concept of mean reversion suggests that Enact Holdings' price will eventually return toward its long-run average. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers who anticipate a recovery.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The price distribution graph for Enact Holdings visualizes the statistical uncertainty around our prediction model's output. Investors should interpret the full distribution of Enact Holdings' outcomes, not just the central tendency, when making decisions.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The downside and upside margins for Enact Holdings after major news events are estimated from historical precedent. Enact Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.67 and 42.27, respectively. This approach captures the empirical distribution of Enact Holdings' short-term price reactions without assuming any particular model of future behavior.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Enact Holdings assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Enact Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Enact Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Enact Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.80 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 10 Events | 8 Events | In 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
40.49 | 40.47 | 0.05 |
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Hype Timeline
On the 15th of March 2026 Enact Holdings is traded for 40.49. The ETF has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Enact is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 40.47. The average volatility of media hype impact on the ETF price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Enact Holdings is about 195.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.46. About 81.0% of the ETF shares are held by company insiders. The ETF has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.07. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Enact Holdings last dividend was issued on the 26th of February 2026. The ETF completed a 2:1 stock split on October 30, 1997. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 10 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Enact Holdings to cross-verify projections for Enact Holdings. The historical view provides additional context.Related Hype Analysis
The relationship between Enact Holdings and its sector peers means that news affecting one company often reverberates across Enact Holdings' competitive landscape. Tracking peer hype helps investors anticipate Enact Holdings's likely short-term price behavior.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ESNT | Essent Group | -1.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 2.00 | -2.28 | 9.45 | |
| RDN | Radian Group | -0.98 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.0013 | 2.93 | -2.40 | 10.61 | |
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corp | -0.62 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 2.22 | -2.79 | 12.13 | |
| AGO | Assured Guaranty | -0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 1.51 | -1.83 | 5.69 | |
| NMIH | NMI Holdings | 0.47 | 12 per month | 1.97 | 0.03 | 2.36 | -2.70 | 12.17 | |
| LCSHF | Lancashire Holdings | -0.52 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 14.42 | |
| EIG | Employers Holdings | -3.35 | 9 per month | 1.92 | 0.04 | 2.52 | -2.41 | 10.59 | |
| FACO | First Acceptance Corp | -4.70 | 12 per month | 1.53 | 0.12 | 3.95 | -2.94 | 14.98 | |
| FAF | First American | 0.53 | 11 per month | 1.56 | 0.09 | 2.68 | -2.50 | 6.76 | |
| TIPT | Tiptree | 1.04 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.05 | 2.04 | -2.18 | 8.53 |
Other Forecasting Options for Enact Holdings
Whether a novice or experienced investor, anyone considering Enact needs to understand the dynamics of Enact Holdings' price movement. Price charts for Enact Etf contain a significant amount of noise that can distort investment decisions.Enact Holdings Related Equities
The following equities are related to Enact Holdings within the Financials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Enact Holdings against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Enact Holdings Market Strength Events
Analyzing market strength indicators for Enact Holdings enables investors to understand how the etf performs relative to overall market momentum. These indicators are valuable tools for identifying when to enter or exit positions in Enact Holdings.
Enact Holdings Risk Indicators
Identifying and analyzing Enact Holdings' key risk indicators is a foundational step in projecting how its price may evolve. This process helps investors quantify the risk associated with Enact Holdings' and decide how to manage it.
| Mean Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Variance | 3.28 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.12 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.75 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.39 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Enact Holdings
Coverage intensity for Enact Holdings matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Enact Holdings Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Enact Holdings matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 149.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 582.5 M |
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Other Information on Investing in Enact Etf
Enact Holdings financial ratios help frame valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare Enact across valuation measures.