Aclarion Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| ACON Stock | USD 3.20 -0.06 -1.84% |
The forecast reference data for Aclarion on this page is generated using Double Exponential Smoothing applied to historical price observations. Projected values and error measures are included as reference material.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aclarion on the next trading day is expected to be 3.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.31.When Aclarion prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Aclarion trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Aclarion observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. The Double Exponential Smoothing reference values for Aclarion are derived from publicly available price data and should be used for informational purposes only. Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Aclarion on the next trading day is expected to be 3.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.31 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.31 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aclarion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aclarion's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Aclarion | Aclarion Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Aclarion focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 0.03 on the downside to about 12.52 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aclarion stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aclarion stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0958 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2885 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0697 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.3108 |
Other Forecasting Options for Aclarion
Investors at all stages of experience who consider Aclarion must develop an understanding of Aclarion's price dynamics. The noise embedded in Aclarion Stock price charts can create misleading signals and skew investment decisions.Aclarion Related Equities
The following equities are related to Aclarion within the Health Care space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Aclarion against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aclarion Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to Aclarion stock give investors a structured view of the security's momentum relative to the overall market. Using these indicators, traders can refine their timing when entering or exiting positions in Aclarion.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3330.63 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.35 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.14 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.16 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.035 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.06 |
Aclarion Risk Indicators
Evaluating Aclarion's risk indicators is an important step in accurately forecasting its price and assessing the suitability of an investment. Understanding the risk profile of Aclarion's allows investors to make more informed decisions about position sizing and risk.
| Mean Deviation | 4.89 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.03 | |||
| Variance | 81.53 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Aclarion
Story coverage around Aclarion often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. A disciplined read of coverage separates durable relevance from temporary noise.
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Aclarion Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Aclarion is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 532 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12 T |