Albertsons Companies Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| ACI Stock | USD 17.27 0.40 2.37% |
Momentum
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.20 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.1454 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.2995 | Wall Street Target Price 22 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.6818 |
This view aligns Albertsons Companies' headline activity with price response and peer context. Options positioning and short interest are used here to outline sentiment for Albertsons Companies.
Short Interest Snapshot - Albertsons Companies
Albertsons Companies' short interest measures the total number of shares sold short but not yet covered. Rising short interest can signal growing bearish sentiment among institutional and retail investors.
200 Day MA 18.7223 | Short Percent 0.1194 | Short Ratio 6.9 | Shares Short Prior Month 43.7 M | 50 Day MA 17.4024 |
Albertsons RSI Context
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Albertsons Companies on the next trading day is projected to be 17.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.97.Albertsons Companies Attention vs Price Pattern
Public perception of Albertsons Companies - captured through news and social media signals - can drive Albertsons Companies' stock price away from intrinsic value for extended periods. Analyzing these biases provides an edge for contrarian investors.
When Albertsons Companies' market sentiment is overly bullish relative to its actual financial performance, the stock may be overvalued. Excessively negative sentiment can create buying opportunities for patient investors.
Albertsons Companies Implied Volatility | 1.49 |
High implied volatility in Albertsons Companies' options signals that the market anticipates large price swings in Albertsons Companies stock. Conversely, low implied volatility indicates that investors expect relatively stable price action.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Albertsons Companies on the next trading day is projected to be 17.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.97.Albertsons Companies after-hype prediction price | $ 17.28 |
The sentiment panel provides context that can be compared with forecasting models and technical indicators.
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Rule 16 Summary for current Albertsons contract
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 9.31% for the 2026-03-20 options. At a recent price around $ 17.27, the implied daily move is approximately $ 1.61 , which is informational only.
Open Interest Map for Albertsons Options 2026-03-20
The open interest view shows outstanding Albertsons Companies option contracts, providing context on participation and contract flow.
Albertsons Companies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Albertsons price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Albertsons using various technical indicators. When you analyze Albertsons charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 17th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Albertsons Companies on the next trading day is expected to be 17.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.41 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.27 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.97 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Albertsons Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Albertsons Companies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Albertsons Companies | Albertsons Companies Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Albertsons Companies focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 15.71 on the downside to about 19.61 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Albertsons Companies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Albertsons Companies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.8109 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4094 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0236 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 24.9717 |
The concept of mean reversion suggests that Albertsons Companies' price will eventually return toward its long-run average. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers who anticipate a recovery.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The price distribution graph for Albertsons Companies visualizes the statistical uncertainty around our prediction model's output. Investors should interpret the full distribution of Albertsons Companies' outcomes, not just the central tendency, when making decisions.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The downside and upside margins for Albertsons Companies after major news events are estimated from historical precedent. Albertsons Companies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.33 and 19.23, respectively. This approach captures the empirical distribution of Albertsons Companies' short-term price reactions without assuming any particular model of future behavior.
Current Value
The next after-hype price estimate for Albertsons Companies is modeled on a 3 months horizon and is intended to show how price could normalize after sentiment pressure fades. The practical value is that it frames how far price could retrace or stabilize once the headline cycle loses intensity.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Albertsons Companies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Albertsons Companies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Albertsons Companies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.95 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 8 Events | 5 Events | In 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.27 | 17.28 | 0.06 |
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Hype Timeline
On the 16th of March 2026 Albertsons Companies is traded for 17.27. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Albertsons is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.28 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.01%. The volatility of related hype on Albertsons Companies is about 348.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.28. The company reported last year's revenue of 80.39 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 958.6 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 22.16 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 8 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Albertsons Companies to cross-verify projections for Albertsons Companies. The historical view provides additional context.Related Hype Analysis
The relationship between Albertsons Companies and its sector peers means that news affecting one company often reverberates across Albertsons Companies' competitive landscape. Tracking peer hype helps investors anticipate Albertsons Companies's likely short-term price behavior.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EMLAF | Empire Company Limited | -0.07 | 16 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 3.18 | -2.89 | 10.32 | |
| CVPBF | CP ALL Public | -0.01 | 11 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 5.71 | -5.71 | 25.45 | |
| JSNSF | J Sainsbury plc | -0.23 | 4 per month | 2.31 | 0.05 | 3.00 | -3.49 | 27.86 | |
| SFM | Sprouts Farmers Market | 4.30 | 8 per month | 2.42 | 0.02 | 4.34 | -3.58 | 11.57 | |
| KKOYF | Kesko Oyj | -0.23 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.19 | |
| CRERF | Carrefour SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.79 | 0.09 | 3.84 | -3.59 | 20.05 | |
| BMBRF | Bim Birlesik Magazalar | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.22 | |
| GCHEF | Grupo Comercial Chedraui | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 1.83 | -4.26 | 15.98 | |
| VLGEA | Village Super Market | 1.83 | 6 per month | 1.30 | 0.19 | 3.55 | -2.47 | 7.71 | |
| CUYTF | Etn Fr Colruyt | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Albertsons Companies
Whether a novice or experienced investor, anyone considering Albertsons needs to understand the dynamics of Albertsons Companies' price movement. Price charts for Albertsons Stock contain a significant amount of noise that can distort investment decisions.Albertsons Companies Related Equities
The following equities are related to Albertsons Companies within the Consumer Staples space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Albertsons Companies against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Albertsons Companies Market Strength Events
Analyzing market strength indicators for Albertsons Companies enables investors to understand how the stock performs relative to overall market momentum. These indicators are valuable tools for identifying when to enter or exit positions in Albertsons Companies.
Albertsons Companies Risk Indicators
Identifying and analyzing Albertsons Companies' key risk indicators is a foundational step in projecting how its price may evolve. This process helps investors quantify the risk associated with Albertsons Companies' and decide how to manage it.
| Mean Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Variance | 3.64 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.42 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.23 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.36 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Albertsons Companies
Coverage intensity for Albertsons Companies matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
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Albertsons Companies Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Albertsons Companies matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 583.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 339.2 M |
More Resources for Albertsons Stock Analysis
A structured review of Albertsons Companies often starts with core financial statements and trend context. Ratio analysis helps investors evaluate Albertsons Companies Stock operating efficiency and financial trajectory. Highlighted below are reports that provide context for Albertsons Companies Stock:Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Albertsons Companies to cross-verify projections for Albertsons Companies. The historical view provides additional context. For more information on how to buy Albertsons Stock please use our How to Buy Albertsons Stock guide.Albertsons Companies at P/E 18.84 and ROE 29.66% (9.49 Billion market cap) - this analysis works best as a complementary layer when evaluating how the position fits in a broader portfolio. Solid capital efficiency at a reasonable valuation - the tools below help confirm that read. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.20 | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 1.54 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.019 |
The market value of Albertsons Companies is measured differently than book value, which reflects Albertsons accounting equity. Albertsons Companies' market capitalization is 9.49 B. With a P/B ratio of 3.55, the market values Albertsons Companies well above its book equity. Enterprise value stands at 24.11 B. Intrinsic value represents an estimate of underlying worth and can differ from both market price and book value. Valuation methods compare these perspectives to frame context.
Value and price for Albertsons Companies are related but not identical, and they can diverge across cycles. For Albertsons Companies, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 18.84, a P/B ratio of 3.55, a profit margin of 1.07%, and ROE of 29.66%. Where Albertsons Companies trades at any moment depends on the balance of buying and selling pressure.