Associated Capital Stock Forward View

ACDelisted Stock  USD 36.16  0.00  0.00%   
Associated Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Associated Capital stock prices and determine the direction of Associated Capital Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Associated Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the value of RSI of Associated Capital's share price is approaching 49. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Associated Capital, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Associated Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Associated Capital Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Associated Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Associated Capital Group from the perspective of Associated Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Associated Capital Group on the next trading day is expected to be 35.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.20.

Associated Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 36.25  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Associated Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Associated price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Associated using various technical indicators. When you analyze Associated charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Associated Capital is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Associated Capital Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Associated Capital Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Associated Capital Group on the next trading day is expected to be 35.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.20.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Associated Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Associated Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Associated Capital Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Associated Capital  Associated Capital Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Associated Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Associated Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.1953
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4623
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0135
SAESum of the absolute errors28.1992
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Associated Capital Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Associated Capital. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Associated Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Associated Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Associated Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.8336.2536.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.5329.9539.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
35.8636.7037.55
Details

Associated Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Associated Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Associated Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Associated Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Associated Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Associated Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Associated Capital's historical news coverage. Associated Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.83 and 36.67, respectively. We have considered Associated Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
36.16
36.25
After-hype Price
36.67
Upside
Associated Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Associated Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.

Associated Capital Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Associated Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Associated Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Associated Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.19 
0.42
  0.09 
 0.00  
7 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
36.16
36.25
0.25 
89.36  
Notes

Associated Capital Hype Timeline

As of February 1, 2026 Associated Capital is listed for 36.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Associated is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 36.25 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 89.36%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.25%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Associated Capital is about 21000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.16. The company generated the yearly revenue of 13.18 M. Reported Net Income was 44.43 M with gross Loss of (8.37 M). Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Associated Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Associated Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Associated Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Associated Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Associated Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LKADFLink Administration Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BETSFBit Brother Limited 0.00 0 per month 18.17  0.09  0.00 (50.00) 970.00 
COWNCowen Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GHLGreenhill Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
GRDIGRIID Infrastructure Common 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
RAFFFRaffles Financial Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TRAATraack Technologies 0.00 0 per month 13.43  0.13  63.64 (30.00) 249.38 
BGMOBergamo Acquisition Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
UMFGUMF Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PROPPrairie Operating Co(0.02)7 per month 0.00 (0.04) 6.47 (6.83) 21.34 

Associated Capital Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Associated Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Associated Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Associated Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Associated Capital Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Associated Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Associated Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Associated Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Associated Capital Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Associated Capital Risk Indicators

The analysis of Associated Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Associated Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting associated stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Associated Capital

The number of cover stories for Associated Capital depends on current market conditions and Associated Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Associated Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Associated Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Associated Capital Short Properties

Associated Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Associated Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Associated Capital Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Associated Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Associated Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments367.9 M
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.
You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Other Consideration for investing in Associated Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Associated Capital check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Associated Capital's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities