Shanghai Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

688317 Stock   21.19  0.12  0.57%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Shanghai ZJ Bio Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 21.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.16. Shanghai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Shanghai stock prices and determine the direction of Shanghai ZJ Bio Tech's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shanghai's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 12th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Shanghai's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Shanghai's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shanghai ZJ Bio Tech, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Shanghai's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.667
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.28)
Using Shanghai hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shanghai ZJ Bio Tech from the perspective of Shanghai response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Shanghai ZJ Bio Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 21.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.16.

Shanghai after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 21.17  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shanghai to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Shanghai's Total Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Short and Long Term Debt Total is expected to grow to about 6.7 M, whereas Other Current Liabilities is forecasted to decline to about 62.5 M.

Shanghai Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Shanghai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shanghai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shanghai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Shanghai is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Shanghai ZJ Bio Tech value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Shanghai Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Shanghai ZJ Bio Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 21.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shanghai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shanghai's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shanghai Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest ShanghaiShanghai Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Shanghai Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shanghai's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shanghai's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.08 and 23.16, respectively. We have considered Shanghai's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
21.19
21.62
Expected Value
23.16
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shanghai stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shanghai stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.8881
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2485
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0115
SAESum of the absolute errors15.1558
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Shanghai ZJ Bio Tech. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Shanghai. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Shanghai

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shanghai ZJ Bio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.6321.1722.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.8421.3822.92
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Shanghai

For every potential investor in Shanghai, whether a beginner or expert, Shanghai's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shanghai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shanghai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shanghai's price trends.

Shanghai Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shanghai stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shanghai could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shanghai by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shanghai ZJ Bio Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shanghai's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shanghai's current price.

Shanghai Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shanghai stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shanghai shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shanghai stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Shanghai ZJ Bio Tech entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Shanghai Risk Indicators

The analysis of Shanghai's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Shanghai's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting shanghai stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Shanghai Stock

Shanghai financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shanghai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shanghai with respect to the benefits of owning Shanghai security.