China Mobile Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| 600941 Stock | 95.38 0.87 0.90% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of China Mobile Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 95.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.83. China Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast China Mobile stock prices and determine the direction of China Mobile Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of China Mobile's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of China Mobile's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.011 | Wall Street Target Price 113.27 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.025 |
Using China Mobile hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Mobile Limited from the perspective of China Mobile response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of China Mobile Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 95.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.83. China Mobile after-hype prediction price | CNY 95.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
China |
China Mobile Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
China Mobile Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of China Mobile Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 95.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.83.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict China Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that China Mobile's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
China Mobile Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest China Mobile | China Mobile Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
China Mobile Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting China Mobile's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. China Mobile's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 94.76 and 96.00, respectively. We have considered China Mobile's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of China Mobile stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent China Mobile stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.284 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1736 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5218 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0051 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 31.83 |
Predictive Modules for China Mobile
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as China Mobile Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.China Mobile After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of China Mobile at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Mobile or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of China Mobile, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
China Mobile Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting China Mobile's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Mobile's historical news coverage. China Mobile's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 94.78 and 96.02, respectively. We have considered China Mobile's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
China Mobile is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Mobile Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
China Mobile Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Mobile is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Mobile backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Mobile, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 0.62 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
95.38 | 95.40 | 0.02 |
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China Mobile Hype Timeline
China Mobile Limited is presently traded for 95.38on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. China is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 95.4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on China Mobile is about 563.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 95.36. The company reported the revenue of 1.04 T. Net Income was 178.39 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 305.47 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of China Mobile to cross-verify your projections.China Mobile Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to China Mobile's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Mobile's future price movements. Getting to know how China Mobile's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Mobile may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 601398 | Industrial and Commercial | (0.08) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.38 | (1.98) | 5.43 | |
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | (0.1) | 2 per month | 1.35 | 0.05 | 2.23 | (2.49) | 8.08 | |
| 601658 | Postal Savings Bank | 0.07 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.55 | (2.12) | 7.42 | |
| 601318 | Ping An Insurance | (1.09) | 6 per month | 1.25 | 0.04 | 2.71 | (1.96) | 10.06 | |
| 601628 | China Life Insurance | (0.23) | 10 per month | 1.45 | (0) | 3.22 | (2.33) | 8.93 | |
| 601939 | China Construction Bank | 0.12 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.25 | (1.70) | 5.87 | |
| 600941 | China Mobile Limited | 0.1 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 0.78 | (1.16) | 3.05 | |
| 600938 | CNOOC Limited | 0.20 | 5 per month | 1.43 | 0.09 | 3.29 | (2.73) | 8.86 | |
| 600030 | CITIC Securities Co | 0.02 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.16 | (2.05) | 6.27 |
Other Forecasting Options for China Mobile
For every potential investor in China, whether a beginner or expert, China Mobile's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. China Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in China. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying China Mobile's price trends.China Mobile Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with China Mobile stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of China Mobile could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing China Mobile by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
China Mobile Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how China Mobile stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading China Mobile shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying China Mobile stock market strength indicators, traders can identify China Mobile Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 191516.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.74) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 95.82 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 95.68 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.88) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.87) |
China Mobile Risk Indicators
The analysis of China Mobile's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in China Mobile's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting china stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4819 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.61 | |||
| Variance | 0.3721 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for China Mobile
The number of cover stories for China Mobile depends on current market conditions and China Mobile's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Mobile is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Mobile's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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China Mobile Short Properties
China Mobile's future price predictability will typically decrease when China Mobile's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of China Mobile Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential China Mobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Mobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 404.1 B |
Other Information on Investing in China Stock
China Mobile financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Mobile security.