INVITATION HOMES Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

4IV Stock  EUR 23.80  0.60  2.59%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of INVITATION HOMES DL on the next trading day is expected to be 23.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.72. INVITATION Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of INVITATION HOMES's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 18th of January 2026 the value of rsi of INVITATION HOMES's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of INVITATION HOMES's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of INVITATION HOMES and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from INVITATION HOMES's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with INVITATION HOMES DL, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using INVITATION HOMES hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of INVITATION HOMES DL from the perspective of INVITATION HOMES response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of INVITATION HOMES DL on the next trading day is expected to be 23.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.72.

INVITATION HOMES after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 23.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of INVITATION HOMES to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in INVITATION Stock please use our How to Invest in INVITATION HOMES guide.

INVITATION HOMES Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine INVITATION price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for INVITATION using various technical indicators. When you analyze INVITATION charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for INVITATION HOMES works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

INVITATION HOMES Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 19th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of INVITATION HOMES DL on the next trading day is expected to be 23.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32, mean absolute percentage error of 0.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict INVITATION Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that INVITATION HOMES's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

INVITATION HOMES Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest INVITATION HOMESINVITATION HOMES Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

INVITATION HOMES Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting INVITATION HOMES's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. INVITATION HOMES's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.22 and 25.48, respectively. We have considered INVITATION HOMES's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.80
23.85
Expected Value
25.48
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of INVITATION HOMES stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent INVITATION HOMES stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0461
MADMean absolute deviation0.3173
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0136
SAESum of the absolute errors18.7231
When INVITATION HOMES DL prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any INVITATION HOMES DL trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent INVITATION HOMES observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for INVITATION HOMES

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INVITATION HOMES. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.1723.8025.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.8923.5225.15
Details

Other Forecasting Options for INVITATION HOMES

For every potential investor in INVITATION, whether a beginner or expert, INVITATION HOMES's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. INVITATION Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in INVITATION. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying INVITATION HOMES's price trends.

INVITATION HOMES Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with INVITATION HOMES stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of INVITATION HOMES could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing INVITATION HOMES by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

INVITATION HOMES Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of INVITATION HOMES's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of INVITATION HOMES's current price.

INVITATION HOMES Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how INVITATION HOMES stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading INVITATION HOMES shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying INVITATION HOMES stock market strength indicators, traders can identify INVITATION HOMES DL entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

INVITATION HOMES Risk Indicators

The analysis of INVITATION HOMES's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in INVITATION HOMES's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting invitation stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in INVITATION Stock

INVITATION HOMES financial ratios help investors to determine whether INVITATION Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INVITATION with respect to the benefits of owning INVITATION HOMES security.