Cellnex Telecom Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| 0R9C Stock | 25.52 0.32 1.27% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cellnex Telecom SA on the next trading day is expected to be 25.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.80. Cellnex Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Cellnex Telecom's share price is approaching 41. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cellnex Telecom, making its price go up or down. Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.18) |
Using Cellnex Telecom hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cellnex Telecom SA from the perspective of Cellnex Telecom response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cellnex Telecom SA on the next trading day is expected to be 25.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.80. Cellnex Telecom after-hype prediction price | EUR 25.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cellnex |
Cellnex Telecom Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cellnex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cellnex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cellnex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cellnex Telecom Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cellnex Telecom SA on the next trading day is expected to be 25.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cellnex Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cellnex Telecom's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cellnex Telecom Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cellnex Telecom | Cellnex Telecom Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Cellnex Telecom Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cellnex Telecom's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cellnex Telecom's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.14 and 26.91, respectively. We have considered Cellnex Telecom's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cellnex Telecom stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cellnex Telecom stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.1002 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0561 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2918 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0112 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.8 |
Predictive Modules for Cellnex Telecom
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cellnex Telecom SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cellnex Telecom After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cellnex Telecom at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cellnex Telecom or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cellnex Telecom, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cellnex Telecom Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cellnex Telecom's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cellnex Telecom's historical news coverage. Cellnex Telecom's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.15 and 26.89, respectively. We have considered Cellnex Telecom's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cellnex Telecom is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cellnex Telecom SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cellnex Telecom Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cellnex Telecom is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cellnex Telecom backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cellnex Telecom, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.39 | 0.07 | 0.20 | 6 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.52 | 25.52 | 0.00 |
|
Cellnex Telecom Hype Timeline
Cellnex Telecom SA is presently traded for 25.52on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.2. Cellnex is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cellnex Telecom is about 137.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.32. About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Cellnex Telecom SA had 1505:1394 split on the 1st of April 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cellnex Telecom to cross-verify your projections.Cellnex Telecom Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cellnex Telecom's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cellnex Telecom's future price movements. Getting to know how Cellnex Telecom's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cellnex Telecom may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 0L9Y | STMicroelectronics NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.64 | 0.05 | 3.62 | (2.44) | 8.66 | |
| CMX | Catalyst Media Group | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.56 | |
| 0R8S | Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 1.44 | (2.06) | 11.22 | |
| BMY | Bloomsbury Publishing Plc | (9.50) | 7 per month | 1.33 | 0.02 | 2.81 | (2.37) | 8.77 | |
| 0IFX | Electronic Arts | 2.99 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.49) | 0.35 | (0.17) | 0.86 | |
| 0QHX | Odfjell Drilling | (0.93) | 7 per month | 0.96 | 0.14 | 3.39 | (1.73) | 7.83 | |
| 0DJN | Alma Media Oyj | 0.35 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.58 | (3.40) | 9.20 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cellnex Telecom
For every potential investor in Cellnex, whether a beginner or expert, Cellnex Telecom's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cellnex Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cellnex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cellnex Telecom's price trends.Cellnex Telecom Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cellnex Telecom stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cellnex Telecom could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cellnex Telecom by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cellnex Telecom Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cellnex Telecom stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cellnex Telecom shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cellnex Telecom stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cellnex Telecom SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cellnex Telecom Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cellnex Telecom's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cellnex Telecom's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cellnex stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Variance | 1.79 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cellnex Telecom
The number of cover stories for Cellnex Telecom depends on current market conditions and Cellnex Telecom's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cellnex Telecom is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cellnex Telecom's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Additional Tools for Cellnex Stock Analysis
When running Cellnex Telecom's price analysis, check to measure Cellnex Telecom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cellnex Telecom is operating at the current time. Most of Cellnex Telecom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cellnex Telecom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cellnex Telecom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cellnex Telecom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.