USAA Intermediate Term Fund Technical Analysis

UITCX Fund  USD 9.30  -0.02  -0.21%   
As of the 12th of March 2026, the last recorded price for USAA Intermediate is 9.30 per share. Primary technical drivers reflect downside deviation of 0.2062, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0032. Quantitative analysis incorporates volatility metrics and price behavior to assess directional bias. Metrics are compared to industry averages to assess relative positioning.

USAA Intermediate Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as USAA, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to USAA
  
USAA Intermediate's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Note that USAA Intermediate's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. Context can include financial performance, operating efficiency, market trends, and peer comparisons. Trading price represents the transaction level agreed by market participants.

USAA Intermediate 'What if' Analysis

Running a what-if backtest on USAA Intermediate Term gives investors a practical way to test how changes in horizon, position size, or market timing might have affected the result. Used properly, this review helps investors decide whether USAA Intermediate's historical reward profile was stable enough to support the current thesis.
0.00
12/12/2025
 
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
 
03/12/2026
0.00
If you invested  0.00  in USAA Intermediate on December 12, 2025 and closed the position today, you would earn 0.00 in aggregate gains. The change equals a 0.0% return on investment in USAA Intermediate on balance over a 90 day window. USAA Intermediate is related to or competes with SMI CONSERVATIVE, BlackRock Conservative, GREAT-WEST CONSERVATIVE, TIAA-CREF Lifestyle, and BMO CONSERVATIVE. Peer context can support comparative analysis. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its assets in a broad range of debt securities that have a dollar-weigh... More

USAA Intermediate Upside and Downside Indicators Signals

Upside and downside indicators for USAA Intermediate summarize momentum balance and potential range context for the fund. The signals are presented as informational context for recent price movement.

USAA Intermediate Market Risk Indicators Signals

Market risk indicators summarize volatility and return dispersion for USAA Intermediate. This view provides neutral context for risk and variability.
The concept of mean reversion suggests that USAA Intermediate's price will eventually return toward its long-run average. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers who anticipate a recovery.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.129.309.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.129.309.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.069.249.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.279.329.38
Details
Competitive analysis for USAA Intermediate compares its financial performance, valuation multiples, and growth trajectory against sector peers. This peer-relative view often uncovers mispricing that single-company analysis would miss.

USAA Intermediate Technical Indicators

USAA Intermediate Term Backtested Returns

Over the selected 3 months, USAA Intermediate demonstrates a very low volatility profile. It maintains a Sharpe Ratio of 0.11, illustrating dispersion-adjusted performance. We identified twenty-seven technical indicators influencing the company's volatility profile. Please analyze metrics such as risk-adjusted performance of 0.0032, and Downside Deviation of 0.2062 to assess dispersion and downside exposure. The fund owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0804, which conveys relatively modest fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, USAA Intermediate's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding USAA Intermediate is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation
    
  0.69  

Good predictability

USAA Intermediate Term exhibits good predictability. Autocorrelation measures the degree of predictability between USAA Intermediate time series from 12th of December 2025 to 26th of January 2026 and from 26th of January 2026 to 12th of March 2026. The stronger the relationship between the current interval and its lagged values, the more accurately future price behavior of USAA Intermediate Term may be projected. A serial correlation of 0.69 indicates that around 69.0% of current USAA Intermediate price fluctuations can be explained by its historical price movements.
Correlation Coefficient0.69
Spearman Rank Test0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0
USAA Intermediate technical mutual fund analysis uses price and volume transformations to study behavior. The model references moving averages, relative strength, and price correlation signals.
Technical analysis evaluates whether price behavior reflects available information and market structure. The context is built from recurring price behavior and trend phases. More Info...

USAA Intermediate Term Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of USAA Intermediate Term volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About USAA Intermediate Technical Analysis

Technical analysis of USAA Intermediate focuses on NAV trend behavior and volatility patterns where pricing frequency permits. Volume and liquidity conditions influence signal reliability. Lower liquidity may increase execution variability.

Unless otherwise specified, financial data for USAA Intermediate Term is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. Updates may occur throughout the day.

USAA Intermediate Technical Indicators

A technical review of USAA Intermediate Term can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The stronger process confirms one signal with others instead of reacting to one pattern in isolation.

USAA Intermediate March 12, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

A technical review of USAA Intermediate Term can improve timing discipline by comparing momentum, reversal risk, and confirmation signals across several time horizons. The stronger process confirms one signal with others instead of reacting to one pattern in isolation.