Ardagh Metal Shares Outstanding vs. Net Income

AMBP Stock  USD 4.86  0.06  1.25%   
Taking into consideration Ardagh Metal's profitability measurements, Ardagh Metal's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average likelihood of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Ardagh Metal's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders. As of 02/15/2026, EV To Sales is likely to grow to 2.04, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.40. At this time, Ardagh Metal's Income Before Tax is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 02/15/2026, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 272.9 M, while Total Other Income Expense Net is likely to drop (231.8 M). At this time, Ardagh Metal's Pretax Profit Margin is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 02/15/2026, Gross Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.15, while Gross Profit is likely to drop slightly above 602.8 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.150.1284
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.04630.0473
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
For Ardagh Metal profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Ardagh Metal to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Ardagh Metal Packaging utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Ardagh Metal's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Ardagh Metal Packaging over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
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The next projected EPS of Ardagh Metal is estimated to be 0.060875 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.05525 to a high of 0.065. Ardagh Metal's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -0.01. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Ardagh Metal Packaging is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Ardagh Metal is projected to generate 0.060875 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Ardagh Metal earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Ardagh Metal Packaging EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Ardagh Metal's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Ardagh Metal, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing Ardagh Metal's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Ardagh Metal's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Can Diversified Metals & Mining industry sustain growth momentum? Does Ardagh have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ardagh Metal. If investors know Ardagh will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Ardagh Metal demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.75
Dividend Share
0.4
Earnings Share
(0.01)
Revenue Per Share
8.944
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.088
Ardagh Metal Packaging's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Ardagh's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Ardagh Metal's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since Ardagh Metal's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Ardagh Metal's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Ardagh Metal represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Ardagh Metal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ardagh Metal Packaging Net Income vs. Shares Outstanding Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Ardagh Metal's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Ardagh Metal value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
Ardagh Metal Packaging is number one stock in shares outstanding category among its peers. It is rated third in net income category among its peers . Ardagh Metal reported last year Net Loss of (3.45 Million). Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all technique that is used if you cannot value Ardagh Metal by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. It compares the stock's price multiples to nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.

Ardagh Net Income vs. Shares Outstanding

Outstanding Shares are shares of common stock of a public company that were purchased by investors after they were authorized and issued by the company to the public. Outstanding Shares are typically reported on fully diluted basis, including exotic instruments such as options, or convertibles bonds.

Ardagh Metal

Shares Outstanding

 = 

Public Shares

-

Repurchased

 = 
597.7 M
Outstanding shares that are stated on company Balance Sheet are used when calculating many important valuation and performance indicators including Return on Equity, Market Cap, EPS and many others.
Net income is the profit of a company for the reporting period, which is derived after taking revenues and gains and subtracting all expenses and losses. Net income is one of the most-watched numbers by money managers as well as individual investors.

Ardagh Metal

Net Income

 = 

(Rev + Gain)

-

(Exp + Loss)

 = 
(3 M)
Because income is reported on the Income Statement of a company and is measured in dollars some investors prefer to use Profit Margin, which measures income as a percentage of sales.

Ardagh Net Income Comparison

Ardagh Metal is currently under evaluation in net income category among its peers.

Ardagh Metal Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in Ardagh Metal, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, Ardagh Metal will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of Ardagh Metal's change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of Ardagh Metal, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-5.1 B-5.3 B
Operating Income181.8 M129.9 M
Income Before Tax11.5 M16.8 M
Total Other Income Expense Net-220.8 M-231.8 M
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares259.9 M272.9 M
Net Loss-3.5 M-3.6 M
Income Tax Expense11.7 M15.7 M
Net Interest Income-241.5 M-253.6 M
Net Loss-3.5 M-3.3 M
Change To Netincome-170.1 M-161.6 M
Income Quality(14.17)(13.46)
Net Loss(0.34)(0.33)

Ardagh Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on Ardagh Metal. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of Ardagh Metal position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the Ardagh Metal's important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

Ardagh Metal Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Ardagh Metal's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Ardagh Metal is estimated to be 0.060875 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.05525 to a high of 0.065. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Ardagh Metal Packaging is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.06
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.060875
0.07
Highest

Ardagh Metal Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Ardagh Metal's value are higher than the current market price of the Ardagh Metal stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Ardagh Metal is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Ardagh Metal's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
869.78%
0.0
0.060875
-0.01

Ardagh Metal Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Ardagh Metal Packaging analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Ardagh Metal's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we suggest analyzing not only Ardagh Metal's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

Ardagh Metal Quarterly Gross Profit

161 Million

As of 02/15/2026, Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to 9.09, though Retained Earnings are likely to grow to (631 M). As of 02/15/2026, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 272.9 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 473.7 M.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.074.796.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.204.926.64
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.054.454.94
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.060.060.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ardagh Metal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ardagh Metal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ardagh Metal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ardagh Metal Packaging. Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Ardagh assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Ardagh Metal. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Ardagh Metal's stock price in the short term.

Ardagh Metal Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Ardagh Metal refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Ardagh Metal Packaging predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Ardagh Metal, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Ardagh Metal Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Ardagh Metal, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Ardagh Metal should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Ardagh Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Ardagh Metal's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
null
nullnullnullnull
null
nullnullnullnull
2025-10-31
2025-09-300.070.080.0114 
2025-07-23
2025-06-300.06860.080.011416 
2025-04-23
2025-03-310.00690.020.0131189 
2025-02-20
2024-12-310.0214-0.0082-0.0296138 
2024-10-24
2024-09-300.070.080.0114 
2024-07-25
2024-06-300.050.060.0120 
2024-04-25
2024-03-310.010.010.0
2024-02-22
2023-12-310.040.01-0.0375 
2023-10-26
2023-09-300.050.060.0120 
2023-07-27
2023-06-300.050.04-0.0120 
2023-04-27
2023-03-310.010.010.0
2023-02-23
2022-12-310.080.05-0.0337 
2022-10-27
2022-09-300.080.06-0.0225 
2022-07-28
2022-06-300.080.110.0337 
2022-04-28
2022-03-310.060.080.0233 
2022-02-24
2021-12-310.090.110.0222 
2021-10-28
2021-09-300.090.140.0555 
2021-08-23
2021-06-300.0750.065-0.0113 

Use Ardagh Metal in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ardagh Metal position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ardagh Metal will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Ardagh Metal Pair Trading

Ardagh Metal Packaging Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ardagh Metal could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ardagh Metal when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ardagh Metal - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ardagh Metal Packaging to buy it.
The correlation of Ardagh Metal is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ardagh Metal moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ardagh Metal Packaging moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ardagh Metal can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

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Additional Tools for Ardagh Stock Analysis

When running Ardagh Metal's price analysis, check to measure Ardagh Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardagh Metal is operating at the current time. Most of Ardagh Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ardagh Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardagh Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ardagh Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.