United Parcel Service Stock Price Patterns
| UPS Stock | USD 97.79 0.39 0.40% |
Momentum
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.046 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.4211 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.0607 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.9603 | Wall Street Target Price 113.0714 |
The hype summary for United Parcel Service aligns attention signals with price movement and peers. The sentiment summary for United Parcel reflects options positioning and short interest activity.
United Parcel Short Interest Summary
Short interest patterns for United Parcel add a positioning layer to sentiment analysis. Short interest is presented as a complementary sentiment indicator.
200 Day MA 97.2409 | Short Percent 0.022 | Short Ratio 2.39 | Shares Short Prior Month 15.3 M | 50 Day MA 109.5308 |
United Parcel Service Hype-Price Mapping
This sentiment view tracks attention patterns around United Parcel and relates them to price behavior. The chart organizes headline signals alongside recent price movement.
This view compares attention trends with price response for United Parcel. The view helps organize attention cycles alongside price movement.
United Parcel Implied Volatility | 0.43 |
Implied volatility for United Parcel summarizes expected price variability from options markets. The indicator is a neutral reference for expected variability.
This section compiles hype indicators for United Parcel to provide market-attention context.
United Parcel after-hype prediction price | $ 97.41 |
Sentiment metrics here complement forecasting and technical views with analyst and earnings context.
Rule 16 Summary for current United contract
Rule 16 applies implied volatility to estimate a daily move of roughly 0.0269% across the 2026-06-18 option cycle. The figure is a neutral volatility reference; near $ 97.79, it implies about $ 0.03 per day.
Cross-verify projections for United Parcel using United Parcel Basic Forecasting Models. The model view provides projection context.The mean reversion framework for United Parcel is built on the premise that markets are not perfectly efficient and that prices periodically overshoot their intrinsic value in both directions.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Visualizing the full distribution of potential United Parcel outcomes discourages binary thinking about investments. Rather than asking whether United Parcel's price will go up or down, the distribution approach asks: what is the range of outcomes and how probable is each?
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The news-based price prediction model for United Parcel is transparent: it measures how United Parcel's has historically reacted to news, not how it will theoretically behave. United Parcel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 95.74 and 99.08, respectively. Investors should use this model as one input among many when evaluating United Parcel ahead of anticipated news.
Current Value
Macroaxis estimates the after-hype price of United Parcel Service across a 3 months horizon to evaluate where the instrument could settle once headline distortion subsides. The practical value is that it frames how far price could retrace or stabilize once the headline cycle loses intensity.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as United Parcel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Parcel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with United Parcel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.67 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 8 Events | 6 Events | In 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
97.79 | 97.41 | 0.02 |
|
Hype Timeline
On the 17th of March 2026 United Parcel Service is traded for 97.79. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. United is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 97.41. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 162.14%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on United Parcel is about 123.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 97.82. About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.49. United Parcel Service recorded earnings per share (EPS) of 6.56. The company had its last dividend issued on the 17th of February 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in 8 days. Cross-verify projections for United Parcel using United Parcel Basic Forecasting Models. The model view provides projection context.Related Hype Analysis
The peer hype analysis for United Parcel identifies which competitors tend to lead the sector in their news reactions. These leading indicators provide early signals about the direction of United Parcel's upcoming performance.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FDX | FedEx | -3.83 | 7 per month | 1.03 | 0.27 | 3.34 | -2.29 | 9.22 | |
| NOC | Northrop Grumman | 2.44 | 7 per month | 1.32 | 0.24 | 4.38 | -1.87 | 9.88 | |
| WM | Waste Management | 0.98 | 8 per month | 1.15 | 0.18 | 1.68 | -1.42 | 7.42 | |
| EMR | Emerson Electric | -2.08 | 8 per month | 2.59 | 0.01 | 3.43 | -4.06 | 11.44 | |
| MMM | 3M Company | 1.21 | 14 per month | 0.00 | -0.06 | 2.39 | -2.44 | 9.13 | |
| TDG | Transdigm Group Incorporated | 14.36 | 12 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 1.95 | -2.57 | 12.34 | |
| JCI | Johnson Controls International | -1.58 | 10 per month | 1.87 | 0.13 | 3.03 | -3.00 | 8.46 | |
| GD | General Dynamics | 0.94 | 7 per month | 1.43 | 0.08 | 2.28 | -2.29 | 7.72 | |
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works | -2.32 | 9 per month | 1.21 | 0.11 | 2.73 | -2.17 | 7.74 | |
| HWM | Howmet Aerospace | 3.42 | 33 per month | 1.36 | 0.19 | 3.56 | -2.90 | 9.63 |
United Parcel Additional Predictive Modules
Forecasting United Parcel's price movement relies on structured analysis of indicator behavior, momentum signatures, and historical volatility patterns. Backtested accuracy does not guarantee forward performance - market structure and volatility regimes evolve.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sentiment Indicators & Methodology
Sentiment analysis for United Parcel evaluates news tone, positioning, and narrative momentum. Media clustering can elevate variability and short-term dispersion. United Parcel has a market cap of 82.54 B, P/E of 14.87, ROE of 33.77%.
Reported values for United Parcel Service are derived from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and then standardized by Macroaxis analytics. Sell-side coverage, where present, supplements the data shown. Refresh times depend on source availability.
This content is curated and reviewed by:
Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of DirectorsThematic Opportunities
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