Frontier Group Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| ULCC Stock | USD 4.05 0.26 6.86% |
Momentum 36
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.55) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1082 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.71) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.0506 | Wall Street Target Price 5.2222 |
Using Frontier Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Frontier Group Holdings from the perspective of Frontier Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Frontier Group using Frontier Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Frontier using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Frontier Group's stock price.
Frontier Group Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Frontier Group's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Frontier. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Frontier Group stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 4.7853 | Short Percent 0.4823 | Short Ratio 6.9 | Shares Short Prior Month 26.3 M | 50 Day MA 4.535 |
Frontier Group Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Frontier Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Frontier. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Frontier can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Frontier Group Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Frontier Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Frontier Group.
Frontier Group Implied Volatility | 1.25 |
Frontier Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Frontier Group Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Frontier Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Frontier Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when Frontier Group's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Frontier Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Frontier because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Frontier Group after-hype prediction price | USD 4.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Frontier contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Frontier Group Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0781% per day over the life of the 2026-01-16 option contract. With Frontier Group trading at USD 4.05, that is roughly USD 0.003164 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Frontier Group's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Frontier Group Holdings options at the current volatility level of 1.25%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Frontier Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Frontier Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Frontier Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Frontier Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Frontier Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Frontier Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Frontier Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Frontier Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Frontier Group's historical news coverage. Frontier Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.20 and 8.81, respectively. We have considered Frontier Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Frontier Group is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Frontier Group Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Frontier Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Frontier Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Frontier Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Frontier Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 4.83 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.05 | 4.02 | 0.50 |
|
Frontier Group Hype Timeline
Frontier Group Holdings is at this time traded for 4.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Frontier is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.5%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Frontier Group is about 418.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.98. About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The book value of Frontier Group was at this time reported as 1.9. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.61. Frontier Group Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Frontier Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Frontier Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Frontier Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Frontier Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Frontier Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Frontier Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VLRS | Volaris | (0.29) | 10 per month | 2.33 | 0.04 | 4.73 | (3.21) | 12.52 | |
| UP | Wheels Up Experience | 0.11 | 10 per month | 7.73 | (0.0004) | 13.40 | (12.04) | 46.12 | |
| ALTG | Alta Equipment Group | 0.06 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 5.36 | (5.19) | 20.86 | |
| WLFC | Willis Lease Finance | (9.11) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.00 | (3.58) | 12.87 | |
| HTZ | Hertz Global Holdings | 0.18 | 10 per month | 3.62 | 0.05 | 8.57 | (6.30) | 43.57 | |
| SNCY | Sun Country Airlines | (0.47) | 8 per month | 2.56 | (0.0002) | 6.22 | (4.03) | 13.73 | |
| SWIM | Latham Group | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.78 | (3.80) | 15.10 | |
| SERV | Serve Robotics Common | (1.32) | 16 per month | 5.40 | 0.01 | 10.54 | (8.79) | 44.31 | |
| MEG | Montrose Environmental Grp | (0.39) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.20 | (3.98) | 13.72 | |
| SKYH | Sky Harbour Group | (0.29) | 33 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.29 | (3.01) | 10.75 |
Frontier Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Frontier price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Frontier using various technical indicators. When you analyze Frontier charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Frontier Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Frontier Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Frontier Group Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Frontier Group based on analysis of Frontier Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Frontier Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Frontier Group's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0353 | 0.031 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.42 | 0.4 |
Story Coverage note for Frontier Group
The number of cover stories for Frontier Group depends on current market conditions and Frontier Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Frontier Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Frontier Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Frontier Group Short Properties
Frontier Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Frontier Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Frontier Group Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Frontier Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Frontier Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 225.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 740 M |
Complementary Tools for Frontier Stock analysis
When running Frontier Group's price analysis, check to measure Frontier Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Frontier Group is operating at the current time. Most of Frontier Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Frontier Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Frontier Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Frontier Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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