Turning Point Brands Stock Price Patterns
| TPB Stock | USD 86.83 -0.42 -0.48% |
Momentum
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.945 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.97 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.57 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.3767 | Wall Street Target Price 132.5 |
This view for Turning Point Brands relates headline activity to price movement. Values reflect relative positioning against peer attention patterns. This module summarizes sentiment around Turning Point using options and short interest metrics. All values reflect publicly observed market inputs.
Turning Point Short Interest
Short interest trends for Turning Point provide positioning context. All figures are based on reported data and are informational in nature.
200 Day MA 97.9715 | Short Percent 0.0549 | Short Ratio 3.86 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.3 M | 50 Day MA 115.3528 |
News Attention and Price Pattern for Turning Point Brands
Headline attention trends for Turning Point are mapped to provide near-term sentiment context. The chart organizes headline signals alongside recent price movement.
The relationship between public attention and price for Turning Point is presented for reference. The information reflects available price and trading data.
Turning Point Implied Volatility | 1.03 |
Implied volatility for Turning Point summarizes expected price variability from options markets. Higher values indicate wider expected ranges, while lower values indicate tighter ranges.
The hype panel for Turning Point summarizes attention and headline activity. Volatility and performance cues accompany the headline activity summary.
Turning Point after-hype prediction price | $ 86.7 |
This sentiment layer is designed to be read with forecasting, technical, and analyst context. All signals are presented as reference data.
Rule 16 Overview for current Turning contract
Rule 16 translates implied volatility into an estimated daily move of roughly 0.0644% for 2026-04-17 options. The heuristic approximates daily movement magnitude without indicating direction.
Model-based validation of Turning Point's projections is available through Turning Point Basic Forecasting Models.Experienced investors tracking Turning Point's watch for mean reversion setups where price has deviated from its long-run average. Sentiment extremes, news events, or liquidity shocks are common catalysts for these temporary dislocations in Turning Point.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
This chart illustrates the range of possible Turning Point price outcomes given current conditions and historical patterns. The shape of Turning Point's distribution - whether symmetric, skewed, or fat-tailed - carries important information for risk assessment.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
News-driven price analysis for Turning Point quantifies the historical link between headline events and Turning Point's short-term response. Turning Point's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 83.05 and 90.35, respectively. These are statistical reference points, not precise predictions for Turning Point.
Current Value
Macroaxis estimates the after-hype price of Turning Point Brands across a 3 months horizon to evaluate where the instrument could settle once headline distortion subsides. Turning Point is Very Low at this time.
Price Outlook Analysis
Price runs in a Company like Turning Point can go against the basics, driven by forces beyond earnings. Much of a stock's price move comes from press news that has nothing to do with real earnings.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 3.65 | 0.43 | 0.17 | 8 Events | 8 Events | In 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
86.83 | 86.70 | 0.56 |
|
Hype Timeline
On the 24th of March Turning Point Brands is traded for 86.83. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.43, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.17. Turning is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 86.7 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.56%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Turning Point is about 572.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 86.66. The company reported last year's revenue of 463.06 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 58.16 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 264.31 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in 8 days. Model-based validation of Turning Point's projections is available through Turning Point Basic Forecasting Models.Related Hype Analysis
When a direct competitor of Turning Point experiences a significant news event, the market often re-rates Turning Point's shares. Sector-wide trends often appear in Turning Point's peer data before they are fully reflected in Turning Point's own price.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UVV | Universal | 1.37 | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0.0019 | 1.51 | -1.81 | 12.90 | |
| FDP | Fresh Del Monte | -0.08 | 14 per month | 1.41 | 0.14 | 2.67 | -2.65 | 7.77 | |
| JJSF | J J Snack | 2.80 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.08 | 2.54 | -2.82 | 19.25 | |
| NOMD | Nomad Foods | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.13 | 2.86 | -2.83 | 12.20 | |
| ANDE | The Andersons | -0.54 | 10 per month | 1.26 | 0.22 | 3.23 | -2.24 | 8.18 | |
| TR | Tootsie Roll Industries | -0.27 | 6 per month | 1.01 | 0.20 | 2.59 | -1.84 | 5.06 | |
| STRA | Strategic Education | -4.28 | 9 per month | 2.41 | 0.06 | 3.20 | -4.16 | 14.56 | |
| UTI | Universal Technical Institute | -2.05 | 10 per month | 2.62 | 0.20 | 6.90 | -4.48 | 21.63 | |
| WMK | Weis Markets | -3.58 | 8 per month | 1.77 | 0.06 | 2.66 | -2.50 | 10.35 | |
| CENT | Central Garden Pet | 0.24 | 7 per month | 1.37 | 0.12 | 3.49 | -2.47 | 7.01 |
Turning Point Additional Predictive Modules
Estimating Turning's future direction requires layering technical signals with statistical measures of trend persistence and volatility. Predictive models for Turning work best when confirmed by real-time indicator readings.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sentiment Indicators & Methodology
Sentiment analysis for Turning Point evaluates news tone, positioning, and narrative momentum. Media clustering can elevate variability and short-term dispersion. Turning Point has a market cap of 1.63 B, P/E of 10.68, ROE of 24.24%.
Reported values for Turning Point Brands are derived from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and then standardized for analysis. Analyst inputs may be included when coverage is available. Refresh timing depends on source availability.
This content is curated and reviewed by:
Raphi Shpitalnik - Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial BoardAlso Currently Popular
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