The Hanover Insurance Stock Price Patterns

THG Stock  USD 168.84  -0.74  -0.44%   
As of 21st of March 2026, the normalized RSI value for Hanover Insurance stands at 52, indicating neutral momentum. A reading near 50 often appears during transitional phases when a prior trend is consolidating before resuming or reversing.
Momentum
 Impartial
 
Oversold
 
Overbought
A well-timed prediction of Hanover Insurance's price direction can generate meaningful returns. This module uses sentiment and hype analysis rather than traditional financial modeling to project probable near-term price movement. Fundamental inputs shaping Hanover Insurance's prediction context:
 Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.199
 EPS Estimate Next Quarter
4.482
 EPS Estimate Current Year
17.1429
 EPS Estimate Next Year
18.1371
 Wall Street Target Price
199.75
This dataset for The Hanover Insurance reflects how headlines align with price movement. Values reflect relationships between news activity and market behavior. The view compares Hanover Insurance's attention signals with peer activity. The dataset represents available headline and market data. Options positioning and short interest are used here to outline sentiment for Hanover Insurance. Options volume and short interest trends reflect how participants are positioned.

Short Interest Profile - Hanover Insurance

The short interest view for Hanover Insurance frames how bearish positioning develops over time. The short interest series adds a positioning layer to the broader analytical picture. The data captures price, volume, and timing inputs from exchange activity. The content reflects structured data inputs rather than subjective analysis.
 200 Day MA
174.7419
 Short Percent
0.0267
 Short Ratio
2.26
 Shares Short Prior Month
773.6 K
 50 Day MA
173.8516

Hanover Insurance Hype vs Price Pattern

This view organizes attention signals for Hanover Insurance to support sentiment-aware analysis. The module frames headline intensity relative to observed price movement.
Sentiment-price alignment for Hanover Insurance is organized for structured contextual review. The data is shown as reference context rather than a directional signal. All values are computed from publicly available trading activity and price records. The dataset is presented as structured reference material for independent review.
Hanover Insurance Implied Volatility
    
  0.38  
Hanover Insurance's implied volatility measures the expected magnitude of price swings, not their direction. Comparing implied with realized volatility reveals whether the market over- or under-estimates movement. All figures are based on available market data inputs.
This section maps attention patterns around Hanover Insurance and relates them to recent price behavior. Volatility framing accompanies the headline and attention metrics. The hype view frames attention cycles and how they align with price movement.
Hanover Insurance after-hype prediction price
    
  $ 168.92  
Hype indicators are listed alongside forecasting models, technical studies, and analyst consensus. The analytical framework is enriched by earnings expectations and momentum measures.

Rule 16 for the current Hanover contract

Implied volatility for 2026-05-15 options corresponds to a daily move of about 0.0238% under Rule 16. At a price of $ 168.84, the estimate corresponds to roughly $ 0.04 daily.
Hanover Insurance Basic Forecasting Models provides a cross-check on projections for Hanover Insurance. This adds a model-based reference for the projection set. Statistical models are most useful when their assumptions align with current market conditions.
Experienced investors tracking Hanover Insurance's watch for mean reversion setups: periods when price has deviated significantly from its long-run average, creating an asymmetric risk-reward profile for patient capital.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
151.96179.23180.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
166.50167.63168.75
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
181.77199.75221.72
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.094.304.58
Details
Context is everything in equity analysis. Hanover Insurance's growth rates, margins, and multiples must be compared to direct competitors to determine whether it represents genuine value or simply average sector performance.

After-Hype Price Density Analysis

The after-hype price distribution for Hanover Insurance reflects the range of predicted outcomes based on historical news impact analysis. The spread of Hanover Insurance's distribution is a direct measure of the uncertainty inherent in any forward-looking price model.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

The after-hype price boundaries for Hanover Insurance are calculated from a database of Hanover Insurance's historical headline events and subsequent daily price movements. Hanover Insurance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 167.80 and 170.04, respectively. Investors should treat these as statistical reference points, not precise predictions for Hanover Insurance.
Current Value
168.84
167.80
Downside
168.92
After-hype Price
170.04
Upside
The next after-hype price estimate for The Hanover Insurance is modeled on a 3 months horizon and is intended to show how price could normalize after sentiment pressure fades. Hanover Insurance is Very Low at this time.

Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hanover Insurance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hanover Insurance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hanover Insurance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
1.12
  0.08 
  0.09 
10 Events
11 Events
In 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
168.84
168.92
0.05 
203.64  
Notes

Hype Timeline

On the 21st of March Hanover Insurance is traded for 168.84. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Hanover is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 168.92 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Hanover Insurance is about 183.01%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 168.75. The company reported last year's revenue of 6.6 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 662.5 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.58 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 10 days.
Hanover Insurance Basic Forecasting Models provides a cross-check on projections for Hanover Insurance. This adds a model-based reference for the projection set. Statistical models are most useful when their assumptions align with current market conditions.

Related Hype Analysis

Peer hype analysis for Hanover Insurance aggregates sentiment and news impact data from Hanover Insurance's competitive set to identify sector-wide trends before they are fully reflected in Hanover Insurance's own price.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HMNHorace Mann Educators 0.27 2 per month 0.00 -0.04 1.75 -2.97 6.63
KMPRKemper-0.14 3 per month 0.00 -0.16 1.95 -4.03 15.04
RLIRLI Corp 0.49 14 per month 0.00 -0.05 2.25 -2.35 6.50
GBLIGlobal Indemnity Group 0.86 9 per month 1.17 0.12 2.34 -2.18 6.27
NODKNI Holdings-0.07 6 per month 0.00 -0.03 2.12 -1.59 8.11
DGICADonegal Group A 0.12 9 per month 0.00 -0.12 1.56 -2.79 7.79
DGICBDonegal Group B 0.26 8 per month 3.30 0.10 6.16 -6.72 25.86
WTMWhite Mountains Insurance-3.22 8 per month 1.08 0.13 1.95 -1.57 6.69
CBChubb-0.04 12 per month 0.94 0.13 2.08 -1.87 7.40
PGRProgressive Corp-2.91 7 per month 0.00 -0.01 2.24 -2.38 7.22
WRB-PEW R Berkley 0.72 15 per month 0.00  0.1 0.72 -0.75 3.35
ALLThe Allstate-1.32 8 per month 0.00  0.04 1.85 -2.97 7.57
TRVThe Travelers Companies-2.91 8 per month 1.14 0.12 1.72 -1.73 5.30
CNACNA Financial 0.23 7 per month 0.00  0.04 1.66 -1.82 7.31
SIGISelective Insurance Group-1.52 12 per month 0.00 -0.06 2.12 -2.42 6.21

Hanover Insurance Additional Predictive Modules

Forecasting Hanover Insurance's price movement relies on structured analysis of indicator behavior, momentum signatures, and historical volatility patterns. Ensemble techniques that blend multiple model outputs often produce more stable predictions than any single model.

Sentiment Indicators & Methodology

Sentiment analysis for Hanover Insurance evaluates news tone, positioning, and narrative momentum. Information velocity affects demand balance and participation. Hanover Insurance has a market cap of 5.93 B, P/E of 18.15, ROE of 20.6%.

Reported values for The Hanover Insurance are derived from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and then standardized by Macroaxis analytics. Sell-side coverage, where present, supplements the data shown. Refresh times depend on source availability.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Raphi Shpitalnik - Junior Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 16th, 2026

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