Recon Technology Stock Price Patterns
| RCON Stock | USD 0.86 -0.01 -1.15% |
Momentum
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year -0.57 | EPS Estimate Next Year -0.58 | Wall Street Target Price 2.01 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.022 |
The dataset outlines how Recon Technology responds to headline-driven attention. Headline volume and price changes are compiled from publicly available sources. Options positioning and short interest provide sentiment context for Recon Technology in this view. This view is informational and does not imply direction.
To explore further, visit Dividend Yield and Price To Sales Ratio.
Recon Technology Implied Volatility | 4.37 |
Implied volatility for Recon Technology summarizes expected price variability from options markets. This context can be compared with historical volatility and price movement.
This sentiment snapshot for Recon Technology organizes news and public attention around recent patterns. The attention data is enriched with volatility and performance framing.
Recon Technology after-hype prediction price | $ 0.9 |
This analysis adds an attention layer to forecasting, technical studies, and analyst estimates. Momentum and earnings context provide additional reference points for interpretation.
For Recon Technology, Recon Technology Basic Forecasting Models serve as an independent projection reference.Mean reversion analysis in Recon Technology's involves identifying price extremes that diverge materially from the historical norm. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers anticipating a recovery. Mean reversion in Recon Technology is distinct from trend following, which rides momentum rather than betting on reversals. Momentum identifies the trend while mean reversion identifies when it has extended beyond sustainable levels.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Using probability distributions for Recon Technology forecasting acknowledges that no model can predict Recon Technology's exact future price. Recon Technology's price distribution may exhibit fat tails, meaning a higher probability of extreme outcomes than a Gaussian model predicts. Strategies that rely on tail events for Recon Technology are inherently more speculative than those targeting the central scenario. Interpreting the full distribution of Recon Technology's outcomes, not just the central tendency, adds depth to investment analysis.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The news prediction model for Recon Technology analyzes the correlation between Recon Technology's headlines and next-day price movements. Recon Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 8.77, respectively. Past news reactions for Recon Technology are not guaranteed to repeat, particularly in novel market environments.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Recon Technology assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. Used correctly, the estimate adds context around potential normalization rather than promising a specific realized outcome.
Price Outlook Analysis
Sudden rallies in Recon Technology without backing data often point to speculative buying or fund shifts. The Stock price of Recon Technology may mix real investor interest with speculative momentum.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 7.94 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 6 Events | 7 Events | In 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.86 | 0.90 | 0.48 |
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Hype Timeline
Recon Technology is at this time traded for 0.86. The company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Recon is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.9 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.48%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Recon Technology is about 14922.01%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.87. The company reported previous year's revenue of 66.29 M. Net Loss for the year was -42.59 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 30.36 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in 6 days. For Recon Technology, Recon Technology Basic Forecasting Models serve as an independent projection reference.Related Hype Analysis
Sector-wide news events often affect Recon Technology before the fundamental impact on Recon Technology's own business becomes clear. Contagion effects and sector-wide sentiment shifts can materially affect Recon Technology's performance alongside its peers. Peer hype analysis supports building a more complete picture of Recon Technology's competitive environment through sentiment data. The peer hype analysis table captures key risk and sentiment metrics across Recon Technology's competitive set.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DWSN | Dawson Geophysical | -0.01 | 34 per month | 9.14 | 0.13 | 8.64 | -8.11 | 49.14 | |
| SPRU | Spruce Power Holding | -0.08 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.0023 | 10.22 | -7.16 | 19.67 | |
| PED | PEDEVCO Corp | 0.52 | 9 per month | 4.21 | 0.19 | 11.86 | -7.09 | 32.03 | |
| SMXT | Solarmax Technology Common | -0.01 | 26 per month | 6.18 | 0.02 | 11.29 | -10.20 | 29.70 | |
| KLXE | KLX Energy Services | 0.07 | 8 per month | 5.82 | 0.14 | 14.41 | -9.49 | 32.97 | |
| USEG | US Energy Corp | 0.03 | 7 per month | 4.89 | 0.05 | 7.61 | -6.09 | 46.73 | |
| INDO | Indonesia Energy | 0.14 | 7 per month | 7.80 | 0.12 | 13.61 | -15.94 | 44.35 | |
| MAXN | Maxeon Solar Technologies | -0.11 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.10 | 7.05 | -9.73 | 32.99 | |
| NINE | Nine Energy Service | -0.01 | 6 per month | 19.44 | 0.05 | 20.00 | -30.22 | 227.54 | |
| BEEM | Beam Global | -0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 7.91 | -7.27 | 19.76 |
Recon Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Forecasting Recon Technology's price movement relies on structured analysis of indicator behavior, momentum signatures, and historical volatility patterns. Time-series models tend to perform better when fed clean, stationary data with consistent periodicity.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Sentiment Indicators & Methodology
Sentiment analysis for Recon Technology evaluates news tone, positioning, and narrative momentum. Momentum often follows narrative shifts when liquidity is supportive. Recon Technology has a market cap of 26.78 M, P/E of 2.26, ROE of -6.51%.
This section for Recon Technology is built from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with harmonization applied to align reporting definitions. Values may update on different source schedules.
This content is curated and reviewed by:
Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of DirectorsPair Trading with Recon Technology
Pair analysis around Recon Technology matters because it can turn one security idea into a more market-neutral structure. The advantage is that adverse movement in one leg may be partly offset by the other when correlation and thesis alignment hold.
Moving together with Recon Stock
Moving against Recon Stock
| 0.59 | E1V | Eidesvik Offshore ASA | PairCorr |
| 0.52 | 9TG | Gaztransport Technigaz | PairCorr |
| 0.51 | OII | Oceaneering International | PairCorr |
| 0.5 | FTI | TechnipFMC PLC | PairCorr |
| 0.48 | DTI | Drilling Tools | PairCorr |
| 0.48 | XY81 | BW OFFSHORE LTD | PairCorr |
Investors who sell Recon Technology at a loss must wait 30 days before repurchasing to avoid wash-sale rules. The key is finding instruments that track Recon Technology closely enough to maintain equivalent risk. The correlation table below shows which instruments historically move in lockstep with Recon Technology. Maintaining a high correlation to Recon Technology during this period minimizes unintended changes to portfolio risk.
A correlation of +1 between Recon Technology and another asset means they move in perfect lockstep. A correlation near zero implies that Recon Technology provides genuine diversification benefits. Negative correlation assets provide natural hedges against Recon Technology positions in a diversified portfolio. This analysis supports better-diversified portfolio construction around Recon Technology positions.
The combination of Correlation analysis and pair analysis offers hedging context for Recon Technology.