Liberty Live Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| LLYVK Stock | 84.16 1.00 1.20% |
Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (1.27) | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.22) | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.84 | Wall Street Target Price 116 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.17 |
Using Liberty Live hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Liberty Live Holdings from the perspective of Liberty Live response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Liberty Live using Liberty Live's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Liberty using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Liberty Live's stock price.
Liberty Live Short Interest
An investor who is long Liberty Live may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Liberty Live and may potentially protect profits, hedge Liberty Live with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 81.2077 | Short Percent 0.0313 | Short Ratio 7.17 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.8 M | 50 Day MA 93.0491 |
Liberty Live Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Liberty Live's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Liberty. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Liberty can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Liberty Live Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Liberty Live's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Liberty Live.
Liberty Live Implied Volatility | 0.26 |
Liberty Live's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Liberty Live Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Liberty Live's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Liberty Live stock will not fluctuate a lot when Liberty Live's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Liberty Live to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Liberty because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Liberty Live after-hype prediction price | USD 84.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Liberty contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Liberty Live Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0163% per day over the life of the 2026-02-20 option contract. With Liberty Live trading at USD 84.16, that is roughly USD 0.0137 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Liberty Live's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Liberty Live Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.26%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Liberty Live Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Liberty Live's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Liberty Live After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Liberty Live at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Liberty Live or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Liberty Live, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Liberty Live Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Liberty Live's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Liberty Live's historical news coverage. Liberty Live's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 82.23 and 86.09, respectively. We have considered Liberty Live's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Liberty Live is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Liberty Live Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Liberty Live Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Liberty Live is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Liberty Live backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Liberty Live, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.95 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
84.16 | 84.16 | 0.00 |
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Liberty Live Hype Timeline
Liberty Live Holdings is now traded for 84.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Liberty is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 89.86%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Liberty Live is about 19500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 84.16. About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.35. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Liberty Live Holdings recorded a loss per share of 3.86. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Liberty Live Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Liberty Live Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Liberty Live's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Liberty Live's future price movements. Getting to know how Liberty Live's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Liberty Live may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SIRI | Sirius XM Holding | 0.34 | 22 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.64 | (2.65) | 16.56 | |
| LBRDA | Liberty Broadband Srs | 0.34 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.82 | (3.83) | 8.47 | |
| SKM | SK Telecom Co | 0.21 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.39 | (1.47) | 5.74 | |
| NXST | Nexstar Broadcasting Group | (1.50) | 9 per month | 1.49 | 0.03 | 2.94 | (2.52) | 7.04 | |
| TIGO | Millicom International Cellular | 0.98 | 8 per month | 1.62 | 0.12 | 3.76 | (2.88) | 10.87 | |
| FYBR | Frontier Communications Parent | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 0.29 | (0.21) | 0.68 | |
| LUMN | Lumen Technologies | 0.04 | 11 per month | 4.50 | 0.08 | 10.25 | (7.57) | 27.52 | |
| KT | KT Corporation | (0.32) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.82 | (1.74) | 6.54 |
Liberty Live Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Liberty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Liberty using various technical indicators. When you analyze Liberty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Liberty Live Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Liberty Live stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Liberty Live Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Liberty Live based on analysis of Liberty Live hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Liberty Live's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Liberty Live's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Interest Debt Per Share | 15.4 | 16.35 | Revenue Per Share | 226.94 | 201.72 |
Story Coverage note for Liberty Live
The number of cover stories for Liberty Live depends on current market conditions and Liberty Live's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Liberty Live is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Liberty Live's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Liberty Live Short Properties
Liberty Live's future price predictability will typically decrease when Liberty Live's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Liberty Live Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Liberty Live's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Liberty Live's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 91.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 325 M |
Check out Liberty Live Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Liberty Live. If investors know Liberty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Liberty Live listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Liberty Live Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Liberty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Liberty Live's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Liberty Live's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Liberty Live's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Liberty Live's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Liberty Live's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Liberty Live is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Liberty Live's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.