CoreCivic Stock Price Patterns

CXW Stock  USD 20.24  0.01  0.05%   
As of today, the short-cycle RSI for CoreCivic stands at 44, indicating moderately negative momentum. This range suggests moderated price movement without extreme directional pressure.
Momentum
Sell Extended
 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Analytical models applied to CoreCivic's future price may yield meaningful insight. This module focuses specifically on the hype and news dimension of CoreCivic price forecasting. Fundamental indicators tied to CoreCivic's price forecast:
 Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.424
 EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.275
 EPS Estimate Current Year
1.63
 EPS Estimate Next Year
2.34
 Wall Street Target Price
30.25
The hype profile for CoreCivic captures relationships between attention signals and price changes. All information is based on available attention data and market activity. This section summarizes CoreCivic's options flow and short interest as sentiment inputs. The dataset combines derivatives positioning with short selling data for sentiment context.

CoreCivic Short Interest View

Short interest patterns for CoreCivic reflect how market participants position for downside. The information reflects available price and trading data.
 200 Day MA
19.4513
 Short Percent
0.0287
 Short Ratio
2.32
 Shares Short Prior Month
M
 50 Day MA
18.7254

Headline Hype vs Price - CoreCivic

Average sentiment around CoreCivic is summarized to provide attention context. All figures reflect recorded trading activity across periods.
Attention-to-price dynamics for CoreCivic are summarized in this contextual view. This view summarizes available data without implying outcomes.
CoreCivic Implied Volatility
    
  0.61  
Implied volatility for CoreCivic translates options pricing into an expected variability measure. All metrics are derived from available inputs and shown for reference.
Hype and attention metrics for CoreCivic are presented as informational context. This content is provided for informational purposes without directional claims.
CoreCivic after-hype prediction price
    
  $ 20.23  
This analysis adds an attention layer to forecasting, technical studies, and analyst estimates. Earnings estimates and momentum data are integrated into the overall analytical view for the stock.

Rule 16 Reference for the current CoreCivic contract

Implied volatility converted via Rule 16 indicates a daily move near 0.0381% for 2026-06-18 options. The estimate captures expected movement range implied by market pricing.
Model-based validation of CoreCivic's projections is available through CoreCivic Basic Forecasting Models.
For information on how to trade CoreCivic Stock refer to our How to Invest in CoreCivic guide.
Experienced market participants anticipate that CoreCivic's price will even out over time. Periods when CoreCivic's deviates significantly from its historical mean may warrant further fundamental analysis.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.6019.2421.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.0620.7023.34
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
27.5330.2533.58
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.290.270.32
Details
Analyzing CoreCivic in isolation is insufficient for informed investment decisions. This peer-relative view often uncovers mispricing that single-company analysis would miss.

After-Hype Price Density Analysis

This probability distribution graph for CoreCivic illustrates the range of outcomes the prediction model assigns. The spread of CoreCivic's distribution is a direct measure of the uncertainty inherent in any forward-looking price model.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Historical news analysis for CoreCivic provides statistically derived price boundaries for the session following a headline. CoreCivic's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.59 and 22.87, respectively. This approach captures the empirical distribution of CoreCivic's short-term price reactions.
Current Value
20.24
20.23
After-hype Price
22.87
Upside
The after-hype framework applied to CoreCivic assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. The practical value is that it frames how far price could retrace or stabilize once the headline cycle loses intensity.

Price Outlook Analysis

Ever seen a Company like CoreCivic soar with no clear reason behind the move? Media coverage and analyst talk on CoreCivic can create loops that drive prices apart from results.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
2.66
  0.02 
  0.02 
10 Events
6 Events
In 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.24
20.23
0.00 
2,217  
Notes

Hype Timeline

On the 24th of March CoreCivic is traded for 20.24. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. CoreCivic is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on CoreCivic is about 1939.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.22. About 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.35. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CoreCivic has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.06. The company had its last dividend issued on the 31st of March 2020. The firm completed a 2:1 stock split on 9th of July 2007. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 10 days.
Model-based validation of CoreCivic's projections is available through CoreCivic Basic Forecasting Models.
For information on how to trade CoreCivic Stock refer to our How to Invest in CoreCivic guide.

Related Hype Analysis

Monitoring how CoreCivic's competitors respond to market-moving news provides a leading indicator for CoreCivic. Tracking peer hype helps anticipate CoreCivic's likely short-term price behavior based on sector news flow.

CoreCivic Additional Predictive Modules

Modeling CoreCivic's expected price path involves calibrating technical signals against observed market behavior. Predictive accuracy varies by market regime - trending markets and range-bound markets favor different model types.

Sentiment Indicators & Methodology

Sentiment analysis for CoreCivic evaluates news tone, positioning, and narrative momentum. Certain defensive traits may reduce sensitivity to broader macroeconomic fluctuations. CoreCivic has a market cap of 2.12 B, P/E of 27.09, ROE of 8.04%.

Unless otherwise specified, data for CoreCivic is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Updates may occur throughout the day.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Gabriel Shpitalnik - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on February 27th, 2026

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