Allegion PLC Stock Price Patterns
| ALLE Stock | USD 145.79 -1.69 -1.15% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.033 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.9854 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.8022 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.4815 | Wall Street Target Price 179.5455 |
The hype mapping for Allegion PLC connects headline volume with price response patterns. The dataset includes peer-based comparisons of attention and response. This sentiment summary combines Allegion PLC's options data with short interest context. The sentiment view captures current positioning without forward-looking claims.
Allegion PLC Short Interest Summary
Allegion PLC's short interest trends are presented as structured positioning context. This data is provided as informational context for sentiment analysis.
200 Day MA 162.3798 | Short Percent 0.0457 | Short Ratio 3.85 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.5 M | 50 Day MA 160.631 |
Allegion PLC Hype-Price Mapping
Public attention patterns around Allegion PLC are presented as a structured sentiment view. All figures are based on reported data and are informational in nature.
This view frames how attention trends relate to observed price behavior for Allegion PLC. All figures are based on reported data and are informational in nature.
Allegion PLC Implied Volatility | 0.29 |
This view presents Allegion PLC's implied volatility as a measure of expected price variability. The dataset reflects available inputs without directional implication.
Hype signals for Allegion PLC reflect how market attention changes over time. Attention shifts are presented alongside volatility and performance references.
Allegion PLC after-hype prediction price | $ 145.91 |
This sentiment layer is designed to be read with forecasting, technical, and analyst context. The framework also incorporates earnings data and momentum signals.
Rule 16 Summary for current Allegion contract
Based on Rule 16, the implied daily move for the 2026-06-18 option cycle is approximately 0.0181%. At a recent price around $ 145.79, the implied move is approximately $ 0.03 per day.
Allegion | Build portfolio with Allegion Stock |
Statistical evidence for mean reversion in Allegion PLC's can be observed through its tendency to revert after extreme valuations. Investors who believe in mean reversion view Allegion PLC's price extremes as temporary dislocations that may self-correct. Valuation-driven investors use mean reversion to time Allegion PLC's investments around historical valuation multiples. Historical data for Allegion PLC shows that extreme valuations have tended to normalize over multi-year periods.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The probability distribution for Allegion PLC's predicted price encodes the full spectrum of outcomes by estimated likelihood. Confidence intervals from Allegion PLC's distribution widen as the forecast horizon extends, reflecting compounding uncertainty. Comparing the width of Allegion PLC's upside distribution against the downside reveals the risk-reward asymmetry for Allegion PLC. Allegion PLC's predicted outcome range provides a realistic frame for what the model considers plausible for Allegion PLC.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
After analyzing Allegion PLC's historical price reactions to major news, we derive upside and downside boundaries for Allegion PLC. Allegion PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 144.16 and 147.66, respectively. This analysis complements technical and fundamental research by adding a news dimension to Allegion PLC's forecasting.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Allegion PLC assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Price runs in a Company like Allegion PLC can go against the basics, driven by forces beyond earnings. Short-term traders and algo systems reacting to Allegion PLC news can build momentum that draws more buyers.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.74 | 0.36 | 0.08 | 10 Events | 5 Events | In 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
145.79 | 145.91 | 0.20 |
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Hype Timeline
Allegion PLC is presently traded for 145.79. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.36, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Allegion is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 145.91. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 68.5%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Allegion PLC is about 305.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 145.71. About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.19. Allegion PLC recorded earnings per share (EPS) of 7.45. The company had its last dividend issued on the 13th of March 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in 10 days. Allegion PLC Basic Forecasting Models add a structured statistical layer to the projection analysis for Allegion PLC.Related Hype Analysis
The comparative hype analysis table for Allegion PLC provides risk metrics for Allegion PLC's direct competitors. Value-at-risk and maximum drawdown for Allegion PLC's competitors provide context for assessing Allegion PLC's relative risk. Analyzing how Allegion PLC's sector peers have historically reacted to news helps model sentiment dynamics around Allegion PLC. The peer comparison framework for Allegion PLC makes it possible to benchmark Allegion PLC's news sensitivity against direct competitors.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TXT | Textron | 0.19 | 11 per month | 1.88 | 0.06 | 2.37 | -2.37 | 11.43 | |
| CSL | Carlisle Companies Incorporated | -2.82 | 9 per month | 1.81 | 0.05 | 3.67 | -3.46 | 16.50 | |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corp | -0.68 | 12 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 2.28 | -2.23 | 7.14 | |
| LTM | LATAM Airlines Group | -1.21 | 11 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 4.00 | -5.69 | 11.61 | |
| ITT | ITT Inc | -1.82 | 10 per month | 1.45 | 0.12 | 2.98 | -2.85 | 12.69 | |
| WSO | Watsco Inc | -1.36 | 8 per month | 1.72 | 0.08 | 3.28 | -2.75 | 10.65 | |
| RTO | Rentokil Initial PLC | 0.09 | 11 per month | 1.99 | 0.06 | 2.62 | -2.50 | 13.77 | |
| GGG | Graco Inc | 1.79 | 10 per month | 1.27 | 0.09 | 1.58 | -2.23 | 6.11 | |
| JOBY | Joby Aviation | 0.70 | 13 per month | 0.00 | -0.13 | 5.13 | -4.97 | 28.38 |
Allegion PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Forecasting Allegion PLC's price movement relies on structured analysis of indicator behavior, momentum signatures, and historical volatility patterns. Predictive accuracy varies by market regime - trending markets and range-bound markets favor different model types.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sentiment Indicators & Methodology
Sentiment analysis for Allegion PLC evaluates news tone, positioning, and narrative momentum. Tone dispersion can increase uncertainty and volatility clustering. Allegion PLC has a market cap of 12.55 B, P/E of 23.28, ROE of 36.08%.
The analytics block for Allegion PLC relies on periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with quality checks and normalization applied before rendering. Professional analyst research is incorporated when coverage is available. Timing can vary by data vendor.
This content is curated and reviewed by:
Gabriel Shpitalnik - Member of Macroaxis Editorial BoardAlso Currently Popular
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